IHUB Posting Milestones

[lentinman]

cash:

I probably shouldn't say, but since I've already posted and I've already made suggestions to everyone I know, here is a basic rule of thumb.

Every hundred thousand takes roughly 3.3 market days.

OR 2.6 market days plus a weekend.

However, it has been trending possibly slightly faster than that. Because of that, I used 3.0 OR 2.3 + a weekend. That may be too optimistic, I will admit.

I could get a lot more technical, but this should put it on the 22nd or possibly the 23rd. The only problem with the 23rd is that if it makes it past late night on the 22nd, then with so many less posts on Thur-Sun, you are having a major period of time to try to guess on.

In other words, I think it is 60-40 that it happens before the middle of the night on Wednesday - which is technically early Thanksgiving day. The problem with the 40% probability is that if it doesn't happen on the 22nd, it could be Thursday or Friday or Saturday - maybe even Sunday with some extreme outages. That's why I narrowed it down to the 22nd. Purely statistically, the best guess would be later in the day on the 22nd up through Thanksgiving, but I went earlier in the day just because I think there might be an increase in posts. If there isn't, I lose.

But, anybody picking before the 21st or after the 26th has already lost IMO.

Len