ICPT’s results are modestly bullish for ENTA insofar as an FXR agonist has been shown to have efficacy in a phase-3 NASH trial.
ENTA asserts that their FXR agonists (plural) won’t have Ocaliva-like (debilitating) side effects at the dosages used. This remains to be proven, of course, but ENTA’s proven drug-discovery expertise in liver diseases makes me inclined to give them the benefit of the doubt.
In the short run, the market may consider ICPT's nominal phase-3 success as bearish for ENTA (and other FXR companies) if investors mistakenly consider Ocaliva a serious commercial competitor in the NASH market.
“The efficient-market hypothesis may be the foremost piece of B.S. ever promulgated in any area of human knowledge!”
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