S&P 500 - for Monday, January 14, 2019 WEEKEND UPDATE: Posted on January 12 , 2019 by tony caldaro https://caldaro.wordpress.com/ ________________________________________________________________ We are expecting a three wave bear market After that, the next bull market should begin. Keep in mind we are in a Secular generational bull market, and we are not expecting it to top until the early 2030’s. ________________________________________________________________ We see two potential support levels for the next, and maybe last, selloff . SPX 2310 C = 1.5 A SPX 2270 C = 1.62 A https://caldaro.files.wordpress.com/2019/01/spxhourly-1.png?w=640&h=485 _________________________________________________________________ The Kick-Off Months in the OTC - Jan/Feb - Jun/Jul https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=137701925 https://caldaro.wordpress.com/ https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=W&yr=5&mn=0&dy=0&id=p7587581294c _________________________________________________________________ LONG TERM: downtrend probable With Major wave 1 completed, a Major wave 2 bear market is underway. After the expected Major wave 2 Bear Market ends , the Primary III Secular Bull Market will resume . ________________________________________________________________ Nothing has changed in the long term count for the US major indices. A Primary I bull market ran from 2009-2015 Primary II lasted 9 months but did little damage ending in February 2016 Major 1 of Primary III rose from that low to September – October 2018 A Major 2 bear market , having dropped 20% already, has been underway since then. When it concludes, if it hasn’t already, an Intermediate I bull market will be underway. Intermediate I, of Major 3, of Primary III. https://caldaro.files.wordpress.com/2019/01/spxwkly-1.png?w=640&h=485 MEDIUM TERM: downtrend After the bull market high in October 2018 at SPX 2941 the market headed into a bear market. The decline appeared ordinary until December. Then the market went into avalanche mode. The market dropped from SPX 2800 to SPX 2347 by Christmas, a 16.2% decline , for the worse December since the year 1931 . After that the market reversed and changed characteristics. While nearly every rally was sold in December, nearly every decline is currently being bought . The SPX in 12 trading days has rallied from 2347 to 2598, a 10.7% gain. https://caldaro.files.wordpress.com/2019/01/spxdaily-1.png?w=640&h=485 SHORT TERM The approach I am using displays 5 impulsive waves up ( SPX 2347-2520), a choppy pullback to SPX 2444, then 5 overlapping waves (possibly an expanding diagonal) to SPX 2598 Waiting to see how this unfolds in the days ahead. Short term support is at the 2594 and 2575 pivots, with resistance at the 2632 and 2656 pivots. Short term momentum ended the week above neutral. https://caldaro.files.wordpress.com/2019/01/spxhourly-1.png?w=640&h=485 Stock Scores Chart Links https://www.stockscores.com/charts/charts/?ticker=%24SPX http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=3&mn=0&dy=0&id=p16291900332 https://finviz.com/fut_chart.ashx?t=ES&cot=138741,13874A&p=d1&rev=635706094042193689 https://finviz.com/fut_chart.ashx?t=ES&cot=138741,13874A&p=m1&rev=636365517037664961 https://www.stockscores.com/chart.asp?TickerSymbol=$SPX&TimeRange=3650&Interval=m&Volume=1&ChartType=OHLC&Stockscores=1&ChartWidth=1100&ChartHeight=480&LogScale=None&Band=None&avgType1=SMA&movAvg1=8&avgType2=SMA&movAvg2=34&Indicator1=RSI&Indicator2=PPO&Indicator3=AccDist&Indicator4=MFI&endDate=&CompareWith=&entryPrice=&stopLossPrice= https://www.stockscores.com/chart.asp?TickerSymbol=$SPX&TimeRange=3650&Interval=w&Volume=1&ChartType=OHLC&Stockscores=1&ChartWidth=1100&ChartHeight=480&LogScale=None&Band=None&avgType1=SMA&movAvg1=8&avgType2=SMA&movAvg2=34&Indicator1=RSI&Indicator2=PPO&Indicator3=AccDist&Indicator4=MFI&endDate=&CompareWith=&entryPrice=&stopLossPrice= https://www.stockscores.com/chart.asp?TickerSymbol=$SPX&TimeRange=1825&Interval=m&Volume=1&ChartType=OHLC&Stockscores=1&ChartWidth=1100&ChartHeight=480&LogScale=None&Band=None&avgType1=SMA&movAvg1=8&avgType2=SMA&movAvg2=34&Indicator1=RSI&Indicator2=PPO&Indicator3=AccDist&Indicator4=MFI&endDate=&CompareWith=&entryPrice=&stopLossPrice= https://www.stockscores.com/chart.asp?TickerSymbol=$SPX&TimeRange=1825&Interval=w&Volume=1&ChartType=OHLC&Stockscores=1&ChartWidth=1100&ChartHeight=480&LogScale=None&Band=None&avgType1=SMA&movAvg1=8&avgType2=SMA&movAvg2=34&Indicator1=RSI&Indicator2=PPO&Indicator3=AccDist&Indicator4=MFI&endDate=&CompareWith=&entryPrice=&stopLossPrice= https://www.stockscores.com/chart.asp?TickerSymbol=$SPX&TimeRange=1095&Interval=w&Volume=1&ChartType=OHLC&Stockscores=1&ChartWidth=1100&ChartHeight=480&LogScale=None&Band=None&avgType1=SMA&movAvg1=8&avgType2=SMA&movAvg2=34&Indicator1=RSI&Indicator2=PPO&Indicator3=AccDist&Indicator4=MFI&endDate=&CompareWith=&entryPrice=&stopLossPrice= https://www.stockscores.com/chart.asp?TickerSymbol=$SPX&TimeRange=720&Interval=w&Volume=1&ChartType=OHLC&Stockscores=1&ChartWidth=1100&ChartHeight=480&LogScale=None&Band=None&avgType1=SMA&movAvg1=8&avgType2=SMA&movAvg2=34&Indicator1=RSI&Indicator2=PPO&Indicator3=AccDist&Indicator4=MFI&endDate=&CompareWith=&entryPrice=&stopLossPrice= https://www.stockscores.com/chart.asp?TickerSymbol=$SPX&TimeRange=365&Interval=d&Volume=1&ChartType=OHLC&Stockscores=1&ChartWidth=1100&ChartHeight=480&LogScale=None&Band=None&avgType1=SMA&movAvg1=8&avgType2=SMA&movAvg2=34&Indicator1=RSI&Indicator2=PPO&Indicator3=AccDist&Indicator4=MFI&endDate=&CompareWith=&entryPrice=&stopLossPrice= https://www.stockscores.com/chart.asp?TickerSymbol=$SPX&TimeRange=180&Interval=d&Volume=1&ChartType=OHLC&Stockscores=1&ChartWidth=1100&ChartHeight=480&LogScale=None&Band=None&avgType1=SMA&movAvg1=8&avgType2=SMA&movAvg2=34&Indicator1=RSI&Indicator2=PPO&Indicator3=AccDist&Indicator4=MFI&endDate=&CompareWith=&entryPrice=&stopLossPrice= https://investorshub.advfn.com/uicon/155361.png?cb=636663556275030000