Friday, October 13, 2006 4:37:45 PM
Re: The problem for January is that analysts might give AMD a free pass for one quarter, until negative results are clear.
Here's what the bullish AMD analysts are expecting (Lehman):
http://www1.investorvillage.com/smbd.asp?mb=476&mn=9504&pt=msg&mid=612007
Seems rather optimistic to me (while pretty pessimistic for Intel). If this is what bullish analysts are expecting, I think they'll be disappointed.
Here's what the bullish AMD analysts are expecting (Lehman):
http://www1.investorvillage.com/smbd.asp?mb=476&mn=9504&pt=msg&mid=612007
YE2005 (YoY%) YE2006 (YoY%) YE2007 (YoY%)
MPU Revenue
- AMD $3,795M (+50) $5,146M (+36) $5,855M (+14)
- Intel $28,116M (+15) $23,653M (-16) $25,505M (+8)
- MSS 88/12 82/18 81/19
MPU Units
- AMD 43.1M (+3) 55.2M (+15) 71.2M (+13)
- Intel 190.3M (+14) 187.9M (-1) 203.6M (+8)
- MSS 82/18 77/23 74/26
MPU ASPs
- AMD $88 (+10) $93 (+6) $82 (-12)
- Intel $148 (+1) $126 (-15) $125 (0)
Diluted EPS
- AMD $0.70 (+49) $1.17 (+67) $1.39 (+19)
Seems rather optimistic to me (while pretty pessimistic for Intel). If this is what bullish analysts are expecting, I think they'll be disappointed.
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