S&P 500 - for Wednesday, November 22, 2017 https://caldaro.wordpress.com/ Tuesday Update Posted on November 21, 2017 _________________________________________________________________ Saturday, 08/05/2017 MARKET SNAPSHOT: The Stock Market's Historically Worst 2 Months Are Dead Ahead. Time To Worry? https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=133627254 Jun/Jul - are the Kick-off months in the OTC June is among the worst months for stocks https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=131884045 Saturday, 06/03/17 MARKET SNAPSHOT: Stock Market Bracing For Potentially The Most Explosive Stretch Of Trading This Year https://ih.advfn.com/p.php?pid=nmona&article=74919388 Sunday, 05/07/17 MARKET SNAPSHOT: "Sell in May and Go Away" https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=131138607 Jan/Feb and Jun/Jul - are the Kick-off months in the OTC. ____________________________________________________________ LONG TERM: Uptrend A New Bull Market - Primary III Underway We are currently expecting SPX 3,000+ in the next 2 to 4 years ____________________________________________________________ MEDIUM TERM: Uptrend SHORT TERM: gap up opening and rally, DOW +161 GOLD moved up $2, and the USD was lower . The market gapped up at the open today, jumping over the recent SPX 2590 high, then rallying past the SPX 2597 all-time high too. We can now count three waves up from the recent Minute iv low at SPX 2557: 2590-2578-2601. Again, too early to tell what degree these three waves are. But the market is already at all-time highs and appears heading to the OEW 2632 pivot range next. Short term support is now at the 2594 and 2575 pivots with resistance at the 2632 pivot. Short term momentum hit extremely overbought at today’s high . Best to your holiday trading! ____________________________________________________________ Best to your trading! Trade what’s in front of you! _________________________________________________________________ https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p52398868039&a=67199587&r=383 https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=60&b=1&g=0&id=p92268866708&a=67036679&r=483 https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=0&mn=4&dy=0&i=p36042438215&r=1444465957012 ________________________________________________________________ http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24INDU&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p73044918089&a=67199589&r=145 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24INDU&p=W&st=2009-01-01&en=today&id=p63870525915&a=67200084&r=513 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24COMPQ&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p81832879082&a=67199751&r=624 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24COMPQ&p=W&st=2008-12-29&en=today&id=p41812966202&a=477010691&r=723 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24USD&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p45549968059&a=67199594&r=845 https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24GOLD&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p87854783623&a=67199592&r=116 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SILVER&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p89645425630&a=162802799&r=576 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p11621680044&a=67199587&r=783 ________________________________________________________________ USD - Futures Charts (Hourly) http://finviz.com/fut_chart.ashx?t=DX&cot=098662&p=h1&rev=636367234663755526 GOLD - Futures Charts (Hourly) http://finviz.com/fut_chart.ashx?t=GC&cot=088691&p=h1&rev=636365508250614299 S&P 500 - Futures Charts (Hourly) http://finviz.com/fut_chart.ashx?t=ES&cot=138741,13874A&p=h1&rev=635709018989210743 ________________________________________________________________ USD - Futures Charts (Daily) http://finviz.com/fut_chart.ashx?t=DX&cot=098662&p=d1&rev=636367234866528712 GOLD - Futures Charts (Daily) http://finviz.com/fut_chart.ashx?t=GC&cot=088691&p=d1&rev=636365509921887362 S&P 500 - Futures Charts (Daily) http://finviz.com/fut_chart.ashx?t=ES&cot=138741,13874A&p=d1&rev=635706094042193689 ________________________________________________________________ https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=1&mn=3&dy=0&i=p09678522003&r=1446542025168 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p52398868039&a=67199587&r=383 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=1&mn=3&dy=0&i=p09678522003&r=1446542025168 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&yr=1&mn=3&dy=0&i=p37597622083&r=1446542134168 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=M&st=1980-01-01&en=today&id=p83353239257&a=128596702&r=538 ________________________________________________________________ http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24USD&p=W&yr=20&mn=0&dy=3&id=p24579542957&a=213338132&r=101 https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$GOLD&p=W&yr=10&mn=8&dy=3&i=p60282577765&a=212691161&r=136 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=M&yr=20&mn=0&dy=3&id=p64474151622&a=224249946&r=597 _________________________________________________________________ http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=60&b=1&g=0&id=p92268866708&a=67036679&r=483 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p52398868039&a=67199587&r=383 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&st=2009-01-01&en=today&id=p16878970123&a=67200081&r=258 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&st=2002-10-01&en=(today)&id=p59154566248&a=67200081&r=185 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=M&st=1980-01-01&en=today&id=p83353239257&a=128596702&r=538 ________________________________________________________________ http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=M&yr=20&mn=0&dy=3&id=p64474151622&a=224249946&r=597 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=60&b=1&g=0&id=p92268866708&a=67036679&r=483 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=0&mn=4&dy=0&i=p36042438215&r=1444465957012 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p52398868039&a=67199587&r=383 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&st=2009-01-01&en=today&id=p16878970123&a=67200081&r=258 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&yr=5&mn=0&dy=0&i=p77937833857&r=1446541369256 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p52398868039&a=67199587&r=383 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=1&mn=3&dy=0&i=p09678522003&r=1446542025168 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p52398868039&a=67199587&r=383 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&yr=1&mn=3&dy=0&i=p37597622083&r=1446542134168 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=M&st=1980-01-01&en=today&id=p83353239257&a=128596702&r=538 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&st=2009-01-01&en=today&id=p39807715936&a=336994741&r=697 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&st=2009-01-01&en=today&id=p16878970123&a=67200081&r=258 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&st=2002-10-01&en=(today)&id=p59154566248&a=67200081&r=185 Since 1929 there have been 13 bull markets http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=116564037 LONG TERM: uptrend This week let’s look at the big picture. The very big picture. While published data on the US stock market only began in the year 1885, we have been able to piece together, using secular Saeculum cycles and economic cycles, how the US market would have looked from the early 1700’s. As an emerging growth economy the US would have not looked anything like the European markets that do have stock market data going back that far. That data was not considered. From around the year 1700 to 1929 the US experienced a 200+ year grand super cycle bull market GSC 1 The 1929-1932 crash, when the stock market lost nearly 90% of its value, ended GSC 2 While short in time the crash made up for it in price damage. A GSC 3 bull market began at that 1932 low. Within GSC 1 there were five super cycles, approximately: SC1 1700-1770 SC2 1770-1776 SC3 1776-1850 SC4 1850-1857 SC5 1857-1929 Within the current GSC 3 there have been two completed super cycles, with the third underway: SC1 1932-2007 SC2 2007-2009 SC3 2009-xxxx Since super cycle bull markets last 70+ years, this SC3 is not likely to top until around the year 2080 . Within each super cycle bull market there are five Cycle waves. SC1 of GSC 3 divided as follows: C1 1932-1937 C2 1937-1942 C3 1942-1973 C4 1973-1974 C5 1974-2007 Notice the Cycle wave bull markets can be as short as 5 years or as long as 30+ years. Also note, no matter the wave degree the bear markets are always much shorter in time than the bull markets. https://caldaro.files.wordpress.com/2017/04/gsc3.png?w=640&h=528 Since super cycle bull markets last 70+ years, this SC3 is not likely to top until around the year 2080 . https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&st=2002-10-01&en=(today)&id=p59154566248&a=67200081&r=185 http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=W&yr=1&mn=1&dy=0&id=p83822707561 http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=1&mn=1&dy=0&id=p43140782454 http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=ES&p=h1 http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=ES&p=d1 http://finviz.com/fut_chart.ashx?t=ES&cot=138741,13874A&p=m1&rev=636365517037664961 http://finviz.com/fut_chart.ashx?t=DX&cot=098662&p=m1&rev=636365516759361065 http://finviz.com/fut_chart.ashx?t=GC&cot=088691&p=m1&rev=636365516285727249 https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24GOLD&p=W&st=2000-07-01&en=(today)&id=p05112412233&a=67200086&r=919 https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=GDX&p=W&b=1&g=0&id=p41872830988&a=237829033&r=249 https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$GOLD&p=W&yr=10&mn=8&dy=3&i=p60282577765&a=212691161&r=136 https://finviz.com/fut_chart.ashx?t=GC&cot=088691&p=w1&rev=635682916163163656 https://finviz.com/chart.ashx?t=GDX&ty=c&ta=0&p=m&s=l https://finviz.com/chart.ashx?t=GDXJ&ty=c&ta=0&p=m&s=l