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Re: mcbio post# 213796

Friday, 09/22/2017 11:52:05 PM

Friday, September 22, 2017 11:52:05 PM

Post# of 257246
I really don't see how the existence of not of a secondary project should impact the decision about whether to play a binary Phase III or not. Both the up-move and the down-move will be smaller if some value is ascribed to the remaining pipeline - but you can adjust for that by increasing or decreasing your bet.

I didn't personally follow this drug, but on the surface it looked something on the order of a 50:50 shot given a decent inferiority margin. So I can certainly see how these name-brand investors had a position.

Peter

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