S&P 500 - for Wednesday, August 9, 2017 https://caldaro.wordpress.com/ Tuesday Update Posted on August 8, 2017 _________________________________________________________________ Saturday, 08/05/2017 MARKET SNAPSHOT: The Stock Market's Historically Worst 2 Months Are Dead Ahead. Time To Worry? https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=133627254 Jun/Jul - are the Kick-off months in the OTC June is among the worst months for stocks https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=131884045 Saturday, 06/03/17 MARKET SNAPSHOT: Stock Market Bracing For Potentially The Most Explosive Stretch Of Trading This Year https://ih.advfn.com/p.php?pid=nmona&article=74919388 Sunday, 05/07/17 MARKET SNAPSHOT: "Sell in May and Go Away" https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=131138607 Jan/Feb and Jun/Jul - are the Kick-off months in the OTC. ____________________________________________________________ LONG TERM: Uptrend A New Bull Market - Primary III Underway We are currently expecting SPX 3,000+ in the next 2 to 4 years ____________________________________________________________ MEDIUM TERM Uptrend SHORT TERM: new highs then pullback, DOW -33 ____________________________________________________________ Gold added $4, and the USD was higher. Gold is now in an uptrend The market opened lower today, made a low at SPX 2476 within the first 15 minutes, and then started to rally. Just past 11:30 the SPX broke through the OEW 2479 pivot range (2472-2486) on its way to 2491 just past noon. With the breakout of the pivot this uptrend, which started at SPX 2408 in early July, cannot be a B wave. As a result we updated the SPX hourly/daily charts to display Minute wave iii of Minor wave 5 underway. The previous uptrend/downtrend reversals have been downgraded from Minor 5 to Minute waves i and ii. With a Minute iii underway it suggests Minor wave 5, of Int. iii, is extending. Which is exactly what the DOW has been displaying for several months. The short term count is not totally clear, but it does look like a possible 5 waves up from SPX 2408: 2432-2413-2484-2465-2491 to end a Micro 1. Micro 1 of Minute i was 77 points, and Micro 1 of Minute iii is currently 83 points. Short term support drops to the 2456 and 2444 pivots, with resistance at the 2479 and 2525 pivots. Short term momentum dropped from quite overbought to slightly oversold . Best to your trading! Trade what’s in front of you! _________________________________________________________________ https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p52398868039&a=67199587&r=383 https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=60&b=1&g=0&id=p92268866708&a=67036679&r=483 https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=0&mn=4&dy=0&i=p36042438215&r=1444465957012 ________________________________________________________________ http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24USD&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p45549968059&a=67199594&r=845 https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24GOLD&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p87854783623&a=67199592&r=116 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p11621680044&a=67199587&r=783 ________________________________________________________________ USD - Futures Charts (Hourly) http://finviz.com/fut_chart.ashx?t=DX&cot=098662&p=h1&rev=636367234663755526 GOLD - Futures Charts (Hourly) http://finviz.com/fut_chart.ashx?t=GC&cot=088691&p=h1&rev=636365508250614299 S&P 500 - Futures Charts (Hourly) http://finviz.com/fut_chart.ashx?t=ES&cot=138741,13874A&p=h1&rev=635709018989210743 ________________________________________________________________ USD - Futures Charts (Daily) http://finviz.com/fut_chart.ashx?t=DX&cot=098662&p=d1&rev=636367234866528712 GOLD - Futures Charts (Daily) http://finviz.com/fut_chart.ashx?t=GC&cot=088691&p=d1&rev=636365509921887362 S&P 500 - Futures Charts (Daily) http://finviz.com/fut_chart.ashx?t=ES&cot=138741,13874A&p=d1&rev=635706094042193689 ________________________________________________________________ https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=1&mn=3&dy=0&i=p09678522003&r=1446542025168 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p52398868039&a=67199587&r=383 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=1&mn=3&dy=0&i=p09678522003&r=1446542025168 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&yr=1&mn=3&dy=0&i=p37597622083&r=1446542134168 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=M&st=1980-01-01&en=today&id=p83353239257&a=128596702&r=538 ________________________________________________________________ http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24USD&p=W&yr=20&mn=0&dy=3&id=p24579542957&a=213338132&r=101 https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$GOLD&p=W&yr=10&mn=8&dy=3&i=p60282577765&a=212691161&r=136 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=M&yr=20&mn=0&dy=3&id=p64474151622&a=224249946&r=597 _________________________________________________________________ http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=60&b=1&g=0&id=p92268866708&a=67036679&r=483 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p52398868039&a=67199587&r=383 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&st=2009-01-01&en=today&id=p16878970123&a=67200081&r=258 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&st=2002-10-01&en=(today)&id=p59154566248&a=67200081&r=185 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=M&st=1980-01-01&en=today&id=p83353239257&a=128596702&r=538 ________________________________________________________________ http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=M&yr=20&mn=0&dy=3&id=p64474151622&a=224249946&r=597 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=60&b=1&g=0&id=p92268866708&a=67036679&r=483 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=0&mn=4&dy=0&i=p36042438215&r=1444465957012 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p52398868039&a=67199587&r=383 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&st=2009-01-01&en=today&id=p16878970123&a=67200081&r=258 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&yr=5&mn=0&dy=0&i=p77937833857&r=1446541369256 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p52398868039&a=67199587&r=383 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=1&mn=3&dy=0&i=p09678522003&r=1446542025168 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p52398868039&a=67199587&r=383 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&yr=1&mn=3&dy=0&i=p37597622083&r=1446542134168 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=M&st=1980-01-01&en=today&id=p83353239257&a=128596702&r=538 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&st=2009-01-01&en=today&id=p39807715936&a=336994741&r=697 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&st=2009-01-01&en=today&id=p16878970123&a=67200081&r=258 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&st=2002-10-01&en=(today)&id=p59154566248&a=67200081&r=185 Since 1929 there have been 13 bull markets http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=116564037 LONG TERM: uptrend This week let’s look at the big picture. The very big picture. While published data on the US stock market only began in the year 1885, we have been able to piece together, using secular Saeculum cycles and economic cycles, how the US market would have looked from the early 1700’s. As an emerging growth economy the US would have not looked anything like the European markets that do have stock market data going back that far. That data was not considered. From around the year 1700 to 1929 the US experienced a 200+ year grand super cycle bull market GSC 1 The 1929-1932 crash, when the stock market lost nearly 90% of its value, ended GSC 2 While short in time the crash made up for it in price damage. A GSC 3 bull market began at that 1932 low. Within GSC 1 there were five super cycles, approximately: SC1 1700-1770 SC2 1770-1776 SC3 1776-1850 SC4 1850-1857 SC5 1857-1929 Within the current GSC 3 there have been two completed super cycles, with the third underway: SC1 1932-2007 SC2 2007-2009 SC3 2009-xxxx Since super cycle bull markets last 70+ years, this SC3 is not likely to top until around the year 2080 . Within each super cycle bull market there are five Cycle waves. SC1 of GSC 3 divided as follows: C1 1932-1937 C2 1937-1942 C3 1942-1973 C4 1973-1974 C5 1974-2007 Notice the Cycle wave bull markets can be as short as 5 years or as long as 30+ years. Also note, no matter the wave degree the bear markets are always much shorter in time than the bull markets. https://caldaro.files.wordpress.com/2017/04/gsc3.png?w=640&h=528 Since super cycle bull markets last 70+ years, this SC3 is not likely to top until around the year 2080 . https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&st=2002-10-01&en=(today)&id=p59154566248&a=67200081&r=185 http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=W&yr=1&mn=1&dy=0&id=p83822707561 http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=1&mn=1&dy=0&id=p43140782454 http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=ES&p=h1 http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=ES&p=d1 http://finviz.com/fut_chart.ashx?t=ES&cot=138741,13874A&p=m1&rev=636365517037664961 http://finviz.com/fut_chart.ashx?t=DX&cot=098662&p=m1&rev=636365516759361065 http://finviz.com/fut_chart.ashx?t=GC&cot=088691&p=m1&rev=636365516285727249 https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24GOLD&p=W&st=2000-07-01&en=(today)&id=p05112412233&a=67200086&r=919 https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=GDX&p=W&b=1&g=0&id=p41872830988&a=237829033&r=249 https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$GOLD&p=W&yr=10&mn=8&dy=3&i=p60282577765&a=212691161&r=136 https://finviz.com/fut_chart.ashx?t=GC&cot=088691&p=w1&rev=635682916163163656 https://finviz.com/chart.ashx?t=GDX&ty=c&ta=0&p=m&s=l https://finviz.com/chart.ashx?t=GDXJ&ty=c&ta=0&p=m&s=l