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Re: Iwantmoney post# 195830

Monday, 08/21/2006 7:43:06 PM

Monday, August 21, 2006 7:43:06 PM

Post# of 286607
But your analysis assumes the 7400 and 8000 are correct but not the 8300. I think you base this assumption on the revenue numbers. This revenue assumption is based on the revenue per sub being constant. The subs GNF has brought in after the regional advertising got kicked off may be a different demographic than the pre 2nd quarter subs, which were mostly investors and cc subs IMO. Who's to say the regional media ads aren't bringing in a higher ratio of 1 out subs?

I think you have to make a lot of assumptions to try to back into a sub count and then imply in some posts that it is fact. You keep referencing your estimate as if it's fact in posts when you say things like we would have to get almost 4000 subs since the Q to get to 10,000.

I tend believe the article and wick. If we had 10,000 subs at approximately the middle of the quarter and most of the subs are coming from regional advertising then the 3rd q should show around 10,000 subs and we will know who was right then.


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