Thursday, August 17, 2006 2:21:10 PM
This is some of what I see happening .........
1. THE PR ISSUE
You have been anxious for PR's. The company knows this, and has issued the best ones they can. Don't you think the company would issue a better PR if they could right now? Of course they would! Wouldn't YOU? This is all they have to tell you right now.
The Market knows this. So the Market knows it will take more TIME. Time is a form of UNCERTAINTY. The Market doesn't know when a substantive PR will be issued. Uncertainty equals additional RISK from the Market's perspective.
2. THE DILUTION ISSUE
AUTHORIZED shares are not the same as SOLD shares. Most all publically traded companies use shares as a form of currency in order to buy whatever they need to survive and grow. They use shares at the beginning (IPO), and continue to use shares until they're fully grown. Some of the authorized shares, are shares that CAN be sold, and are EXPECTED to be sold, but have NOT YET been sold.
What will these shares be used for? and when? These questions equal UNCERTAINTY. Uncertainty adds risk from the Market's perspective.
3. WHY THE SELLING?
During the recent Rally, the Market percieved ATWT with higher expectations. PR's began comming out that began to remove some uncertainty. Less uncertainty is less risk. This raised the price to the recent peak (.01 area).
Then expectations began to decrease. The PRs revealed some Marketing/Sales plans and executions, but no actual $ numbers achieved or expected in the near future. Nothing "concrete", no "money in hand" yet. The uncertainty returned, so risk returned. The price will drop to a point where the risk/reward ratio is percieved by the Market as equal or better.
Individuals in the Market sell for many reasons. But most involve their own personal risk/reward ratio. Some have a shorter time frame for profits, and may want/need the money soon. They just can't afford to wait. Some can afford to wait, but have found (or will find) better investments elseware. Some just can't afford to lose any profits. Some can't afford any more losses. And some just expect/hope to get back in at a lower price.
The recent Rally to .01 shows some of the possibilities of what WILL or CAN happen when the Market has actual PROOF of the company's success and growth potential. Right now, as far as I know, the next significant PR event is expected to be the Audit.
Now, what about YOU? First of all, can you afford to hold shares until the Audit?
Do you believe the Audit results will be positive? Not by YOUR expectations, but by the MARKET'S expectations.
If the Audit is seen as just another neutral event by the Market, can you afford to hold your shares until REAL sales are reported?
If the answer is yes, than you have nothing to worry about right now. In fact, buy more shares at a price that you think is fair, if it fits into your overall financial plans, resources, and Investstment/Trading abilities.
I'm not subscribed to this message Board so I only get 3 posts a day. That's why this post is so long. Many other things are involved with ATWT, but YOU tell ME.
Not just what you think could be, or would be, or should be, according to your own personal desires and motives, But....
What are the most important factors or events that will affect share price from the MARKET'S perspective?
1. THE PR ISSUE
You have been anxious for PR's. The company knows this, and has issued the best ones they can. Don't you think the company would issue a better PR if they could right now? Of course they would! Wouldn't YOU? This is all they have to tell you right now.
The Market knows this. So the Market knows it will take more TIME. Time is a form of UNCERTAINTY. The Market doesn't know when a substantive PR will be issued. Uncertainty equals additional RISK from the Market's perspective.
2. THE DILUTION ISSUE
AUTHORIZED shares are not the same as SOLD shares. Most all publically traded companies use shares as a form of currency in order to buy whatever they need to survive and grow. They use shares at the beginning (IPO), and continue to use shares until they're fully grown. Some of the authorized shares, are shares that CAN be sold, and are EXPECTED to be sold, but have NOT YET been sold.
What will these shares be used for? and when? These questions equal UNCERTAINTY. Uncertainty adds risk from the Market's perspective.
3. WHY THE SELLING?
During the recent Rally, the Market percieved ATWT with higher expectations. PR's began comming out that began to remove some uncertainty. Less uncertainty is less risk. This raised the price to the recent peak (.01 area).
Then expectations began to decrease. The PRs revealed some Marketing/Sales plans and executions, but no actual $ numbers achieved or expected in the near future. Nothing "concrete", no "money in hand" yet. The uncertainty returned, so risk returned. The price will drop to a point where the risk/reward ratio is percieved by the Market as equal or better.
Individuals in the Market sell for many reasons. But most involve their own personal risk/reward ratio. Some have a shorter time frame for profits, and may want/need the money soon. They just can't afford to wait. Some can afford to wait, but have found (or will find) better investments elseware. Some just can't afford to lose any profits. Some can't afford any more losses. And some just expect/hope to get back in at a lower price.
The recent Rally to .01 shows some of the possibilities of what WILL or CAN happen when the Market has actual PROOF of the company's success and growth potential. Right now, as far as I know, the next significant PR event is expected to be the Audit.
Now, what about YOU? First of all, can you afford to hold shares until the Audit?
Do you believe the Audit results will be positive? Not by YOUR expectations, but by the MARKET'S expectations.
If the Audit is seen as just another neutral event by the Market, can you afford to hold your shares until REAL sales are reported?
If the answer is yes, than you have nothing to worry about right now. In fact, buy more shares at a price that you think is fair, if it fits into your overall financial plans, resources, and Investstment/Trading abilities.
I'm not subscribed to this message Board so I only get 3 posts a day. That's why this post is so long. Many other things are involved with ATWT, but YOU tell ME.
Not just what you think could be, or would be, or should be, according to your own personal desires and motives, But....
What are the most important factors or events that will affect share price from the MARKET'S perspective?
