The number of tests in 3Q16 was 68K, and the guidance for full-year 2016 remains 240K tests. Inasmuch as EXAS performed ~160K tests during the first 9 months of 2016, the full-year guidance equates to ~80K tests during 4Q16.
Meanwhile, the compliance rate continues to slip—during the 12-month period from 8/1/15 to 7/31/16 it was down to 67%. (This means that 1/3 of patients who received Cologuard never sent in the materials for analysis.)
“The efficient-market hypothesis may be the foremost piece of B.S. ever promulgated in any area of human knowledge!”
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