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Re: Bickema post# 203479

Monday, 08/15/2016 6:51:33 PM

Monday, August 15, 2016 6:51:33 PM

Post# of 257268
(RVNC)—From a cursory scan of the PR you posted, I can assert that this “research” on the botulinum-toxin market is stale.

The $4.3B forecast for global botulinum-toxin sales in 2018 is almost certainly too low. Botox by itself is selling at an annualized rate of about $3B (#msg-124379793), and its 2Q16 sales grew 16% YoY in local currencies (14% YoY in dollars).

Mentor—one of the purported botulinum-toxin-companies mentioned in the PR you posted—was acquired by JNJ eight years ago (#msg-33879830), and JNJ dropped the program in 2014 (#msg-100466796).

“The efficient-market hypothesis may be
the foremost piece of B.S. ever promulgated
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