Friday, July 01, 2016 1:28:59 PM
The ~7-12-16 10K/CC may be well-received when Avid revs for Q4(qe 4-30-16) come in at $18.4mm, almost double the previous record. This was implied (via mathematics) in the 6-2-16 Corp-Update PR, but many may have either not seen that PR, or may not have realized the implications of the statement, “FY16 AVID REVS will be $44mm”...
AVID REVENUES/GROSS PROFIT ESCALATION PER THE 6-2-16 PR
6-2-16: Corp.Update – Avid Expansion & Drug Development - http://tinyurl.com/zvmhqmr
...Avid Revs for FY'16(fye 4-30-16) will be $44mm; B/L=$56M; FY17/guidance=$50-55mm(3 curr. clients). Avid III being designed/already secured 25,000sf loc/expect complete=1H/2017. “Expect future sustainable profitability for the company in 24mos.”
**GP% est. at 48%, which is ACTUAL for the 3Qtrs ended 1-31-16, latest 10Q's
**FY'16/Actual (fye 4-30-16): Revs=$44.0mm, Gross-Profit=$21.2mm <=ie, Q4(qe4-30-16) revs=$18.4mm
**FY'17/Guidance (fye 4-30-17): Revs=$52mm, Gross-Profit=$25.0mm
**WHEN AVID II (“Myford” +$40mm) at Full Capacity: Revs=$88mm, Gross-Profit=~$42.2mm
**WHEN AVID III (25000sq Facility per 6-2-16 PR +$30mm) at Full Capacity: Revs=$118mm, Gross-Profit=~$56.6mm
- - - - - -
AVID PROFORMA – Based on 6-2-16 PR (FY'16/fye=4-30-16 Revs will be: $44mm)...
Updated PPHM REVS-BY-QTR TABLE, now thru FY16'Q4(fye 4-30-16), per the 6-2-16 Corp. update PR ( http://tinyurl.com/zntvudj ):
• Total Revs since May’06: ($173.2mm/Avid + $24.1mm/Govt + $2.5mm/Lic.) = $199.8mm
• 6-2-16: FY'17 (May'16-Apr'17) Avid revs guidance raised to $50-55mm.
• Avid’s Gross-Profit over last 4 qtrs: $21.2mm on revs of $44.0mm (GP%=48%)
• Recall, Avid Rev$ from Gov’t DTRA Contract work (6/30/08 – 4/15/11, totaling $24.15mm), went into GOVT-REVS, not AVID-REVS, in the Financials.
Avid’s website: http://www.avidbio.com
= = = = = = = = = = = = =
AVID BIOSERVICES, Inc. (Peregrine's Mfg. Subsidiary): http://www.avidbio.com
5-23-16: Pete Gagnon (100pubs/presentations, 12+patents, 30 pending patents) Appointed VP/Process-Services of Avid http://tinyurl.com/hg6abdq – See Oct'15:
3-9-16/S.King: “Avid definitely has new clients that have come onboard...” - and that's ClientS plural… Q4/FY16(q/e 4-30-16) Avid revs guidance now $18.4mm...
3-9-16/CC Q&A: George Zavoico: ”Re: Avid, have you increased the number of clients you are actually working with now or will be working with?”
Steve King: “Yes, we definitely have new clients that have come onboard, and that’s what’s helping to drive some of the work we are seeing over in the Myford facility, the nice backlog in business for now building up over there. That’s been great, because when you build a facility, you're never quite sure what the response was going to be, but it’s been pretty overwhelming right now, which is good.” http://tinyurl.com/gom7md5
3-7-16/Avid II: Formal Commissioning of Avid's New 40,000sq "Myford" Facility, “single-use/fully disposable” (potentially $40M addl revs) http://tinyurl.com/za2j9mt
12-10-15/Avid II: Avid Expansion into MYFORD Facility now GMP-run ready (potential +$40mm sales) - contemplating further expansion http://tinyurl.com/z35623w
6-17-15: Avid’s John Haney (ex-Genentech/Pfizer) speaking at BIO-INTL’5/Philly http://tinyurl.com/pnlquu3 & http://tinyurl.com/nl4vbgk
...”Designing & Implementing Avid’s New State-of-the-Art Single-Use Facility for Late Ph.3 & Commercial Prod.” - SK: "We've seen tremendous interest for production in the new facility, both from new & existing clients"
12-10-14: Avid to Double Mfg. Capacity (“expanding client roster; potential commercial launch of bavituximab”) http://tinyurl.com/mmc3qgy & http://tinyurl.com/kmdgq8t
3-24-15: Avid Receives CMO Leadership Awards for Its Commitment to Innovation & Reliability http://tinyurl.com/psep47f
AVID REVENUES/GROSS PROFIT ESCALATION PER THE 6-2-16 PR
6-2-16: Corp.Update – Avid Expansion & Drug Development - http://tinyurl.com/zvmhqmr
...Avid Revs for FY'16(fye 4-30-16) will be $44mm; B/L=$56M; FY17/guidance=$50-55mm(3 curr. clients). Avid III being designed/already secured 25,000sf loc/expect complete=1H/2017. “Expect future sustainable profitability for the company in 24mos.”
**GP% est. at 48%, which is ACTUAL for the 3Qtrs ended 1-31-16, latest 10Q's
**FY'16/Actual (fye 4-30-16): Revs=$44.0mm, Gross-Profit=$21.2mm <=ie, Q4(qe4-30-16) revs=$18.4mm
**FY'17/Guidance (fye 4-30-17): Revs=$52mm, Gross-Profit=$25.0mm
**WHEN AVID II (“Myford” +$40mm) at Full Capacity: Revs=$88mm, Gross-Profit=~$42.2mm
**WHEN AVID III (25000sq Facility per 6-2-16 PR +$30mm) at Full Capacity: Revs=$118mm, Gross-Profit=~$56.6mm
- - - - - -
AVID PROFORMA – Based on 6-2-16 PR (FY'16/fye=4-30-16 Revs will be: $44mm)...
Updated PPHM REVS-BY-QTR TABLE, now thru FY16'Q4(fye 4-30-16), per the 6-2-16 Corp. update PR ( http://tinyurl.com/zntvudj ):
• Total Revs since May’06: ($173.2mm/Avid + $24.1mm/Govt + $2.5mm/Lic.) = $199.8mm
• 6-2-16: FY'17 (May'16-Apr'17) Avid revs guidance raised to $50-55mm.
• Avid’s Gross-Profit over last 4 qtrs: $21.2mm on revs of $44.0mm (GP%=48%)
• Recall, Avid Rev$ from Gov’t DTRA Contract work (6/30/08 – 4/15/11, totaling $24.15mm), went into GOVT-REVS, not AVID-REVS, in the Financials.
Avid’s website: http://www.avidbio.com
AVID PROFITABILITY (GROSS*) BY QTR:
QTR Avid-Rev$ CostofMfg$ Gross-Profit$ GP%
FY13Q1 7-31-12 4,135,000 2,024,000 2,111,000 51%
FY13Q2 10-31-12 6,061,000 3,703,000 2,358,000 39%
FY13Q3 1-31-13 6,961,000 3,651,000 3,310,000 47%
FY13Q4 4-30-13 4,176,000 3,217,000 959,000 23%
FY14Q1 7-31-13 4,581,000 2,670,000 1,911,000 42%
FY14Q2 10-31-13 7,354,000 4,195,000 3,159,000 43%
FY14Q3 1-31-14 3,885,000 2,416,000 1,469,000 38%
FY14Q4 4-30-14 6,474,000 3,829,000 2,645,000 41%
FY15Q1 7-31-14 5,496,000 3,583,000 1,913,000 35%
FY15Q2 10-31-14 6,263,000 4,139,000 2,124,000 34%
FY15Q3 1-31-15 5,677,000 3,113,000 2,564,000 45%
FY15Q4 4-30-15 9,308,000 4,758,000 4,550,000 49%
FY16Q1 7-31-15 9,379,000 4,608,000 4,771,000 51%
FY16Q2 10-31-15 9,523,000 4,741,000 4,782,000 50%
FY16Q3 1-31-16 6,672,000 3,896,000 2,776,000 42%
FY16Q4 4-30-16 18,400,000 9,600,000 8,800,000 ~48% <=Per 6-2-16 PR
FY13 TOTAL: 21,333,000 12,595,000 8,738,000 41%*
FY14 TOTAL: 22,294,000 13,110,000 9,184,000 41%*
FY15 TOTAL: 26,744,000 15,393,000 11,151,000 42%*
FY16 TOTAL: 44,000,000 22,800,000 21,200,000 ~48%*
*Avid Net-Profit (ie, incl. Selling, G&A) not split out from PPHM-Corp. in the financials.
.
PPHM REVENUES (in thousands) DEFERRED
-------REVENUES------- REVENUES INVEN-
Quarter Avid Govt Lic. TOTAL Avid Govt TORIES
FY07Q1 7-31-06 398 0 23 421 317 0 971
FY07Q2 10-31-06 636 0 48 684 1388 0 1899
FY07Q3 1-31-07 347 0 16 363 2202 0 1325
FY07Q4 4-30-07 2111 0 129 2240 1060 0 1916
FY08Q1 7-31-07 1621 0 4 1625 1820 0 2363
FY08Q2 10-31-07 1863 0 29 1892 1338 0 3500
FY08Q3 1-31-08 1662 0 13 1675 1434 0 2394
FY08Q4 4-30-08 751 0 150 901 2196 0 2900
FY09Q1 7-31-08 1193 324 0 1517 4021 980 4628
FY09Q2 10-31-08 983 958 0 1941 6472 1701 6700
FY09Q3 1-31-09 5778 1048 0 6826 4805 3262 5547
FY09Q4 4-30-09 5009 2683 175 7867 3776 3871 4707
FY10Q1 7-31-09 2070 4671 9 6750 5755 2332 6177
FY10Q2 10-31-09 5308 1510 78 6896 4260 3989 5850
FY10Q3 1-31-10 2945 6854 78 9877 3052 76 3861
FY10Q4 4-30-10 2881 1461 78 4420 2406 78 3123
FY11Q1 7-31-10 983 2111 115 3209 3719 47 4692
FY11Q2 10-31-10 3627 966 78 4671 2447 35 3555
FY11Q3 1-31-11 1922 882 79 2883 4300 40 3915
FY11Q4 4-30-11 1970 681 78 2729 5617 0 5284
FY12Q1 7-31-11 5439 0 216 5655 4145 0 4481
FY12Q2 10-31-11 4154 0 78 4232 2012 0 3178
FY12Q3 1-31-12 3203 0 78 3281 2552 0 2722
FY12Q4 4-30-12 1987 0 78 2065 3651 0 3611
FY13Q1 7-31-12 4135 0 116 4251 6056 0 5744
FY13Q2 10-31-12 6061 0 78 6139 6221 0 5426
FY13Q3 1-31-13 6961 0 78 7039 5061 0 4635
FY13Q4 4-30-13 4176 0 78 4254 4171 0 4339
FY14Q1 7-31-13 4581 0 107 4688 4164 0 5679
FY14Q2 10-31-13 7354 0 0 7354 3468 0 4033
FY14Q3 1-31-14 3885 0 0 3885 4329 0 5224
FY14Q4 4-30-14 6474 0 0 6474 5241 0 5530
FY15Q1 7-31-14 5496 0 0 5496 4670 0 5998
FY15Q2 10-31-14 6263 0 37 6300 3612 0 5379
FY15Q3 1-31-15 5677 0 0 5677 5752 0 6148
FY15Q4 4-30-15 9308 0 0 9308 6630 0 6148
FY16Q1 7-31-15 9379 0 292 9671 8291 0 10457
FY16Q2 10-31-15 9523 0 0 9523 9688 0 12554
FY16Q3 1-31-16 6672 0 37 6709 15418 0 15189
FY16Q4 4-30-16 18400 0 0 18400 ?? 0 ??
Totals: 173186 24149 2453 199788 <=since5/1/2006
= = = = = = = = = = = = =
AVID BIOSERVICES, Inc. (Peregrine's Mfg. Subsidiary): http://www.avidbio.com
5-23-16: Pete Gagnon (100pubs/presentations, 12+patents, 30 pending patents) Appointed VP/Process-Services of Avid http://tinyurl.com/hg6abdq – See Oct'15:
3-9-16/S.King: “Avid definitely has new clients that have come onboard...” - and that's ClientS plural… Q4/FY16(q/e 4-30-16) Avid revs guidance now $18.4mm...
3-9-16/CC Q&A: George Zavoico: ”Re: Avid, have you increased the number of clients you are actually working with now or will be working with?”
Steve King: “Yes, we definitely have new clients that have come onboard, and that’s what’s helping to drive some of the work we are seeing over in the Myford facility, the nice backlog in business for now building up over there. That’s been great, because when you build a facility, you're never quite sure what the response was going to be, but it’s been pretty overwhelming right now, which is good.” http://tinyurl.com/gom7md5
3-7-16/Avid II: Formal Commissioning of Avid's New 40,000sq "Myford" Facility, “single-use/fully disposable” (potentially $40M addl revs) http://tinyurl.com/za2j9mt
12-10-15/Avid II: Avid Expansion into MYFORD Facility now GMP-run ready (potential +$40mm sales) - contemplating further expansion http://tinyurl.com/z35623w
6-17-15: Avid’s John Haney (ex-Genentech/Pfizer) speaking at BIO-INTL’5/Philly http://tinyurl.com/pnlquu3 & http://tinyurl.com/nl4vbgk
...”Designing & Implementing Avid’s New State-of-the-Art Single-Use Facility for Late Ph.3 & Commercial Prod.” - SK: "We've seen tremendous interest for production in the new facility, both from new & existing clients"
12-10-14: Avid to Double Mfg. Capacity (“expanding client roster; potential commercial launch of bavituximab”) http://tinyurl.com/mmc3qgy & http://tinyurl.com/kmdgq8t
3-24-15: Avid Receives CMO Leadership Awards for Its Commitment to Innovation & Reliability http://tinyurl.com/psep47f

