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Wednesday, April 20, 2016 6:08:55 PM
More UPGRADES for RMBS
Rating Action: Moody's takes action on $309.8 Million of Alt-A and Option ARM RMBS issued from 2002 to 2005
Global Credit Research - 18 Apr 2016
New York, April 18, 2016 -- Moody's Investors Service has upgraded the ratings of 14 tranches and downgraded the ratings of three tranches from six transactions, backed by Alt-A and Option ARM RMBS loans, issued by multiple issuers.
Complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: American Home Mortgage Assets Trust 2005-1
Cl. 3-A-1-1, Upgraded to Ba3 (sf); previously on Jun 25, 2010 Downgraded to B2 (sf)
Issuer: CSFB Mortgage-Backed Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2002-10
Cl. II-X, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jun 17, 2015 Downgraded to B3 (sf)
Cl. II-A-1, Downgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Jun 17, 2015 Downgraded to Ba2 (sf)
Issuer: HarborView Mortgage Loan Trust 2005-9
Cl. 1-A, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2015 Upgraded to Ba1 (sf)
Underlying Rating: Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2015 Upgraded to Ba1 (sf)
Financial Guarantor: Ambac Assurance Corporation (Segregated Account - Unrated)
Cl. 1-PO, Upgraded to B3 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2015 Upgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-X, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2015 Upgraded to Ba1 (sf)
Cl. 2-A-1A, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Jul 26, 2013 Upgraded to Baa2 (sf)
Cl. 2-A-1B, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2015 Upgraded to Ba1 (sf)
Underlying Rating: Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2015 Upgraded to Ba1 (sf)
Financial Guarantor: Syncora Guarantee Inc. (Insured Rating Withdrawn Nov 08, 2012)
Cl. 2-A-1C, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2015 Upgraded to Ba1 (sf)
Cl. 2-PO, Upgraded to B3 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2015 Upgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 2-X, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2015 Upgraded to Ba1 (sf)
Cl. 3-PO, Upgraded to B3 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2015 Upgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2015 Upgraded to B3 (sf)
Issuer: Impac CMB Trust Series 2005-2 Collateralized Asset-Backed Bonds, Series 2005-2
Cl. 1-A-2, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Jan 10, 2013 Downgraded to Ba2 (sf)
Issuer: Nomura Asset Acceptance Corporation, Alternative Loan Trust, Series 2004-AP1
Cl. A-5, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Jun 29, 2015 Upgraded to Baa2 (sf)
Cl. A-6, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Jun 29, 2015 Upgraded to Baa1 (sf)
Issuer: Structured Asset Securities Corp Trust 2003-37A
Cl. 1-A, Downgraded to B2 (sf); previously on Jul 5, 2012 Downgraded to Ba3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions are a result of the recent performance of the underlying pools and reflect Moody's updated loss expectation on the pools. The rating upgrades are a result of the improving performance of the related pools and an increase in credit enhancement available to the bonds. The rating downgrades are due to the weaker performance of the underlying collateral and the erosion of enhancement available to the bonds.
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "US RMBS Surveillance Methodology" published in November 2013. Please see the Ratings Methodologies page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the rating:
Ratings in the US RMBS sector remain exposed to the high level of macroeconomic uncertainty, and in particular the unemployment rate. The unemployment rate fell to 5.0% in March 2016 from 5.5% in March 2015. Moody's forecasts an unemployment central range of 4.5% to 5.5% for the 2016 year. Deviations from this central scenario could lead to rating actions in the sector.
House prices are another key driver of US RMBS performance. Moody's expects house prices to continue to rise in 2016. Lower increases than Moody's expects or decreases could lead to negative rating actions.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the performance of these transactions.
A list of these actions including CUSIP identifiers may be found at:
Excel: http://www.moodys.com/viewresearchdoc.aspx?docid=PBS_SF430196
A list of updated estimated transaction pool losses and bond recoveries are being posted on an ongoing basis for the duration of this review period and may be found at:
Alt-A
Excel: http://www.moodys.com/viewresearchdoc.aspx?docid=PBS_SF198174
Option ARM
Excel: http://www.moodys.com/viewresearchdoc.aspx?docid=PBS_SF225686
For more information please see www.moodys.com.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
For further specification of Moody's key rating assumptions and sensitivity analysis, see the sections Methodology Assumptions and Sensitivity to Assumptions of the disclosure form.
The analysis includes an assessment of collateral characteristics and performance to determine the expected collateral loss or a range of expected collateral losses or cash flows to the rated instruments. As a second step, Moody's estimates expected collateral losses or cash flows using a quantitative tool that takes into account credit enhancement, loss allocation and other structural features, to derive the expected loss for each rated instrument.
Moody's quantitative analysis entails an evaluation of scenarios that stress factors contributing to sensitivity of ratings and take into account the likelihood of severe collateral losses or impaired cash flows. Moody's weights the impact on the rated instruments based on its assumptions of the likelihood of the events in such scenarios occurring.
For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the credit rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular credit rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt, in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would have affected the rating. For further information please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.
For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit support from the primary entity(ies) of this credit rating action, and whose ratings may change as a result of this credit rating action, the associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity. Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures, if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.
Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating review.
Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued the rating.
Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.
Wenzhao Wu
Associate Analyst
Structured Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
Eric Fellows
Senior Vice President
Structured Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
Rating Action: Moody's takes action on $309.8 Million of Alt-A and Option ARM RMBS issued from 2002 to 2005
Global Credit Research - 18 Apr 2016
New York, April 18, 2016 -- Moody's Investors Service has upgraded the ratings of 14 tranches and downgraded the ratings of three tranches from six transactions, backed by Alt-A and Option ARM RMBS loans, issued by multiple issuers.
Complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: American Home Mortgage Assets Trust 2005-1
Cl. 3-A-1-1, Upgraded to Ba3 (sf); previously on Jun 25, 2010 Downgraded to B2 (sf)
Issuer: CSFB Mortgage-Backed Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2002-10
Cl. II-X, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jun 17, 2015 Downgraded to B3 (sf)
Cl. II-A-1, Downgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Jun 17, 2015 Downgraded to Ba2 (sf)
Issuer: HarborView Mortgage Loan Trust 2005-9
Cl. 1-A, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2015 Upgraded to Ba1 (sf)
Underlying Rating: Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2015 Upgraded to Ba1 (sf)
Financial Guarantor: Ambac Assurance Corporation (Segregated Account - Unrated)
Cl. 1-PO, Upgraded to B3 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2015 Upgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-X, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2015 Upgraded to Ba1 (sf)
Cl. 2-A-1A, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Jul 26, 2013 Upgraded to Baa2 (sf)
Cl. 2-A-1B, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2015 Upgraded to Ba1 (sf)
Underlying Rating: Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2015 Upgraded to Ba1 (sf)
Financial Guarantor: Syncora Guarantee Inc. (Insured Rating Withdrawn Nov 08, 2012)
Cl. 2-A-1C, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2015 Upgraded to Ba1 (sf)
Cl. 2-PO, Upgraded to B3 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2015 Upgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 2-X, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2015 Upgraded to Ba1 (sf)
Cl. 3-PO, Upgraded to B3 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2015 Upgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2015 Upgraded to B3 (sf)
Issuer: Impac CMB Trust Series 2005-2 Collateralized Asset-Backed Bonds, Series 2005-2
Cl. 1-A-2, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Jan 10, 2013 Downgraded to Ba2 (sf)
Issuer: Nomura Asset Acceptance Corporation, Alternative Loan Trust, Series 2004-AP1
Cl. A-5, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Jun 29, 2015 Upgraded to Baa2 (sf)
Cl. A-6, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Jun 29, 2015 Upgraded to Baa1 (sf)
Issuer: Structured Asset Securities Corp Trust 2003-37A
Cl. 1-A, Downgraded to B2 (sf); previously on Jul 5, 2012 Downgraded to Ba3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions are a result of the recent performance of the underlying pools and reflect Moody's updated loss expectation on the pools. The rating upgrades are a result of the improving performance of the related pools and an increase in credit enhancement available to the bonds. The rating downgrades are due to the weaker performance of the underlying collateral and the erosion of enhancement available to the bonds.
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "US RMBS Surveillance Methodology" published in November 2013. Please see the Ratings Methodologies page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the rating:
Ratings in the US RMBS sector remain exposed to the high level of macroeconomic uncertainty, and in particular the unemployment rate. The unemployment rate fell to 5.0% in March 2016 from 5.5% in March 2015. Moody's forecasts an unemployment central range of 4.5% to 5.5% for the 2016 year. Deviations from this central scenario could lead to rating actions in the sector.
House prices are another key driver of US RMBS performance. Moody's expects house prices to continue to rise in 2016. Lower increases than Moody's expects or decreases could lead to negative rating actions.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the performance of these transactions.
A list of these actions including CUSIP identifiers may be found at:
Excel: http://www.moodys.com/viewresearchdoc.aspx?docid=PBS_SF430196
A list of updated estimated transaction pool losses and bond recoveries are being posted on an ongoing basis for the duration of this review period and may be found at:
Alt-A
Excel: http://www.moodys.com/viewresearchdoc.aspx?docid=PBS_SF198174
Option ARM
Excel: http://www.moodys.com/viewresearchdoc.aspx?docid=PBS_SF225686
For more information please see www.moodys.com.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
For further specification of Moody's key rating assumptions and sensitivity analysis, see the sections Methodology Assumptions and Sensitivity to Assumptions of the disclosure form.
The analysis includes an assessment of collateral characteristics and performance to determine the expected collateral loss or a range of expected collateral losses or cash flows to the rated instruments. As a second step, Moody's estimates expected collateral losses or cash flows using a quantitative tool that takes into account credit enhancement, loss allocation and other structural features, to derive the expected loss for each rated instrument.
Moody's quantitative analysis entails an evaluation of scenarios that stress factors contributing to sensitivity of ratings and take into account the likelihood of severe collateral losses or impaired cash flows. Moody's weights the impact on the rated instruments based on its assumptions of the likelihood of the events in such scenarios occurring.
For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the credit rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular credit rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings, this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt, in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would have affected the rating. For further information please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.
For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit support from the primary entity(ies) of this credit rating action, and whose ratings may change as a result of this credit rating action, the associated regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity. Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures, if applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure to rated entity, Disclosure from rated entity.
Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the credit rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating review.
Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued the rating.
Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.
Wenzhao Wu
Associate Analyst
Structured Finance Group
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
Eric Fellows
Senior Vice President
Structured Finance Group
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
Releasing Office:
Moody's Investors Service, Inc.
250 Greenwich Street
New York, NY 10007
U.S.A.
JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376
SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653
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