Finally, courtesy of Haynes and Boone, here is a less impartial perspective thanks to a poll of banks, PE firms, and oil service companies who were asked to share their thoughts on the upcoming spring redetermination. Among the key findings:
- Overall respondents expect 79% of the borrowers to see a decrease in their borrowing base in spring 2016 - Overall respondents, on average, expect to see borrowing bases to decrease by 38% compared to what they were in fall 2015 - As to the most likely path to be taken by lenders and borrowers who face a borrowing base deficiency this spring: 36% of respondents said the would negotiate an amendment or extension with the lender; 31% said they would sell non-core assets; 15% said they would seek capital from a hedge fund or private equity fund; 4% said sell the company; 13% said restructure or declare bankruptcy
See charts and more including a slide show at the link above...