You are right when it seems so wrong to me, so often, so I'm expecting that you will prove right again, but I just don't see it reversing till it hits that major trend line.
Take a look at the 4 hour U/J chart? Do you see a long entry setting up there on any time frame? I see hidden divergence on the 1 hour chart. And it's just bouncing off a tnredline on same 1 hour chart.