S&P 500 - downtrend may have just ended. https://caldaro.wordpress.com/ Wednesday Update Posted on January 20, 2016 SHORT TERM: gap down opening, DOW -249 The market gapped down at the open today then worked its way down to SPX 1812 in early afternoon. Our potential five waves up for a C wave of a zigzag, from yesterday’s SPX 1865, was nullified at the opening. At today’s low the SPX hit 1812, which was in between the 1828 pivot and the SPX 1791 Fibonacci level noted over the weekend. The rally that followed from that low is the best rally since the Int. C wave began at SPX 2082. Also at the low there is a positive divergence on the daily charts, suggesting this 300 point downtrend may have just ended . A move into the mid-1880’s would add to this possibility. Short term support is at the 1841 and 1828 pivots, with resistance at the 1869 and 1901 pivots. Short term momentum swung from quite oversold to nearly overbought during this afternoon’s rally. Volatile market, best to your trading! http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=60&b=1&g=0&id=p92268866708&a=67036679&r=483 * Note - The October 2015 Bottom, resembles 1998 and 2011 Bottoms LONG TERM: Bear market MEDIUM TERM: Downtrend * Primary Waves I and II - completed in 2011 * Primary Waves III and IV - completed in 2015 * Primary Wave V - Failed http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=M&st=1980-01-01&en=today&id=p83353239257&a=128596702&r=538 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=M&yr=20&mn=0&dy=3&id=p64474151622&a=224249946&r=597 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=60&b=1&g=0&id=p92268866708&a=67036679&r=483 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p52398868039&a=67199587&r=383 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&st=2009-01-01&en=today&id=p16878970123&a=67200081&r=258 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=M&st=1980-01-01&en=today&id=p83353239257&a=128596702&r=538 * Note - The October 2015 Bottom, resembles 1998 and 2011 Bottoms http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=M&yr=20&mn=0&dy=3&id=p64474151622&a=224249946&r=597 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=60&b=1&g=0&id=p92268866708&a=67036679&r=483 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=0&mn=4&dy=0&i=p36042438215&r=1444465957012 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p52398868039&a=67199587&r=383 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&st=2009-01-01&en=today&id=p16878970123&a=67200081&r=258 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&yr=5&mn=0&dy=0&i=p77937833857&r=1446541369256 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p52398868039&a=67199587&r=383 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=1&mn=3&dy=0&i=p09678522003&r=1446542025168 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p52398868039&a=67199587&r=383 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&yr=1&mn=3&dy=0&i=p37597622083&r=1446542134168 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=M&st=1980-01-01&en=today&id=p83353239257&a=128596702&r=538 LONG TERM: Bear market MEDIUM TERM: Downtrend * Primary Waves I and II - completed in 2011 * Primary Waves III and IV - completed in 2015 * Primary Wave V - Failed http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24SPX&p=W&st=2009-01-01&en=today&id=p16878970123&a=67200081&r=258 Since 1929 there have been 13 bull markets http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=116564037 http://www.elliottwave.com/affiliates/images/AFFA-1407-Fig1.jpg http://www.elliottwave.com/affiliates/images/AFFA-1407-Fig3.jpg http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=W&yr=1&mn=1&dy=0&id=p83822707561 http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=1&mn=1&dy=0&id=p43140782454