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Re: market_watcher post# 129351

Saturday, 07/12/2003 3:11:03 PM

Saturday, July 12, 2003 3:11:03 PM

Post# of 704041
I think there is definitely a relationship between price and earnings, but

[1] I'm not sure that it is as close as many think; and,

[2] Between "P" & "E" I'm not certain which is the tail and which the doggie; and,

[3] I'm not certain that the old saw about PEs always dropping to single digits at the end of a bear market -- at least a bubble-blow-off-bear-market -- is correct. I think it's quite possible that in reality what happens is that PEs drop to a level below that which obtained at the beginning of the bubble.




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