With the likelihood of a rate increase on Wednesday, our leading indicator is suggesting one for the first time since 2006, and options expiration Friday, it should be quite a wild week.
After the Primary IV downtrend low in August we labeled the five waves up of the new uptrend with Major waves.
This was in anticipation that this first uptrend could end the bull market.
The five waves progressed as expected, until the fifth wave failed to make a higher high in both the SPX/DOW.
With the NDX/NAZ making higher highs, and the SPX/DOW not, we counted this pattern as a fifth wave failure.
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LONG TERM: bull market
Bad news is good news has been the theme of this bull market.
When the economy was in the Great Recession the FED started QE 1 and the bull market began.
When the economy was still weak in 2010 the FED started QE 2.
Now it looks like the long awaited first rate increase since 2006 is heading our way.
The bad news of the current correction will lead to the good news of an extending bull market into at least next year.
Primary V now has to divide into five Major waves/trends before the bull market ends. The bad news is good news, the bull market continues.