Thursday, June 22, 2006 10:16:54 PM
I like to calculate fair value based on the industry leader. Whereas I think Netflix is currently overpriced, they can still be used as the gauge.
GZFX will never be an industry. Just isn't going to happen. Can they be a distant second, third, or fourth? Absolutely.
If you reduce GZFX outstanding shares to that of Netflix, you're looking at a current PPS of somewhere around .45 to .80 depending on how many shares are actually in float right now.
I can easily see the distant second, third, or fourth in the industry pulling a PPS in the $4-5 range (in Netflix dollars) and that calculates to a current PPS with our dilution of around .02-.03.
The problem with the dilution is that there always seems to be a buyer and a seller at every price point, so it's a tough row to hoe.
I'd do the math for you on what's above, but I've been drinking and I'm tired.
GZFX will never be an industry. Just isn't going to happen. Can they be a distant second, third, or fourth? Absolutely.
If you reduce GZFX outstanding shares to that of Netflix, you're looking at a current PPS of somewhere around .45 to .80 depending on how many shares are actually in float right now.
I can easily see the distant second, third, or fourth in the industry pulling a PPS in the $4-5 range (in Netflix dollars) and that calculates to a current PPS with our dilution of around .02-.03.
The problem with the dilution is that there always seems to be a buyer and a seller at every price point, so it's a tough row to hoe.
I'd do the math for you on what's above, but I've been drinking and I'm tired.
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