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Re: BioHedge post# 119724

Sunday, 08/23/2015 4:50:30 PM

Sunday, August 23, 2015 4:50:30 PM

Post# of 405225
valuations overall are not stretched, corporate credit spreads look fine, and swap spreads which are indicative of systemic risk are not indicating anything remotely resembling a crash here. We're already down about 8% on the S&P, 10% on the Russell and DOW... I'd be surprised to see more than another few percent of downside along with a few months of choppiness. I certainly don't see anything of the magnitude you are predicting. I also see almost no resemblance to 1987 or 2000. And I think commodities, which are coming off a 10 year supercycle, will continue to underperform for the next year or 2 at least with growth moderating in China along with the resource intensive emerging markets that have been driving the demand.
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