Tornado Alley (PROG)

[fuagf]

“We consider the economy fundamental, or foundational, to presidential election outcomes,” write John Sides and Lynn Vavreck in The Gamble: Choice and Chance in the 2012 Presidential Election .. http://www.amazon.com/dp/0691163634/?tag=slatmaga-20 . There’s an almost linear relationship between economic growth and political success: If an incumbent party has growth, it wins; if it doesn’t, it loses. Yes, this is mediated by other variables, from foreign conflicts to tenure in office. But the overall pattern holds.

And what does 2016 look like? According to a range of economists .. http://www.nytimes.com/2015/07/19/upshot/the-economic-forecast-for-2016-and-what-it-means-for-the-election.html?ref=topics&_r=0&abt=0002&abg=1 , “The median forecast for the unemployment rate when voters go to the polls in November 2016 was 4.8 percent,” which would be the “lowest it has been during an election since George W. Bush and Al Gore faced off in 2000, when it stood at 3.9 percent.”

No, this doesn’t guarantee a Democratic victory, but it doesn’t hurt either.

http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/2015/07/hillary_clinton_swing_state_polls_why_you_should_ignore_the_doomsayers.html?wpsrc=sh_all_dt_tw_top

See also:

2011

The war on women continues..... We'll Shut Down in Flagstaff, Prescott, Yuma: Planned Parenthood
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=60454311

Obama's toughest critic: Obama
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=69486400

When Did Liberals Become So Unreasonable?
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=69229681

2015

Staffers at conservative website claim Trump is paying them for good press
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