MNTA’s Remaining Glatopa Milestone Payments from NVS
The triggers—but not the individual amounts—are disclosed in MNTA’s SEC filings; the total amount of $120M is known from today’s press release (#msg-114728661). Below are my guesses for the individual amounts.
• Milestones on the first N anniversaries[guess: N=4] of the US launch if there is no other generic Copaxone in the market and the profits from generic Copaxone exceed an unspecified threshold. Guess: $40M (i.e. $10M x 4)
• Exceeding an unspecified lower sales threshold during a 12-month period. Guess: $40M
• Exceeding an unspecified higher sales threshold during a 12-month period that does not overlap with the period for the lower threshold described above. Guess: $40M
“The efficient-market hypothesis may be the foremost piece of B.S. ever promulgated in any area of human knowledge!”