News Focus
News Focus
Followers 305
Posts 46029
Boards Moderated 1
Alias Born 08/27/2001

Re: Culmus post# 121064

Wednesday, 06/18/2003 6:39:27 PM

Wednesday, June 18, 2003 6:39:27 PM

Post# of 704044
There's nothing on that chart. Here's a response from another board from another guy I respect. Someone copied your post and asked him about it:

A 7 day moving average will not "pinpoint" any major trend change until well after the fact, since it will turn up or down almost on a dime, and will be subject to many whipsaws. You won't know when it has turned for real until it has made a major move in the opposite direction, by which time the move will be well under way and obvious to everyone. This is a great example of a backtested strategy that has no practical application in real time.
Using March 21st of this year as an example of where it pinpointed a "top"? C'mon. A wiggle top at best. That top lasted barely a week and look where we are since.

And, oh BTW: the 7 DMA of actual index prices is even more miraculous in "pinpointing" tops and bottoms:

http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$spx,uu[w,a]daca...



http://www.investorshub.com/boards/board.asp?board_id=1613
AJTJ's Market Pulse
Do your own DD. Void where prohibited. Observed side effects include darkening of the stool, spontaneous amputation, and death. Rosebud.

Discover What Traders Are Watching

Explore small cap ideas before they hit the headlines.

Join Today