Saturday, November 08, 2014 6:28:38 PM
We can't deny that management has tried to pump up the stock repeatedly in the past. I am not working for the competition. I wish I did, because then I would have some direct insight what the industry really thinks of AOT's commercial viability.
I am just wondering how long you or other bulls would hold on to their shares without any news regarding actual orders? 3 months, 1 year, 2 years? The company will continue to burn a few million a year in free cash flow, and will have to dilute existing share holders until that turning point. The lower the share price gets, the company will have to dilute existing shareholders at an increasing pace and will have difficulty raising new capital. Especially, once the share price get below $0.30-$0.40, below the exercise price of several options and warrants, the company won't be able to raise cash from warrant holders through conversion. It is not just a question of whether the technology works, but to what extent. And whether it makes commercial sense for TC to do a deal. At a certain point, it is not only a question if but even more when and how large TC's orders are.
I am just wondering how long you or other bulls would hold on to their shares without any news regarding actual orders? 3 months, 1 year, 2 years? The company will continue to burn a few million a year in free cash flow, and will have to dilute existing share holders until that turning point. The lower the share price gets, the company will have to dilute existing shareholders at an increasing pace and will have difficulty raising new capital. Especially, once the share price get below $0.30-$0.40, below the exercise price of several options and warrants, the company won't be able to raise cash from warrant holders through conversion. It is not just a question of whether the technology works, but to what extent. And whether it makes commercial sense for TC to do a deal. At a certain point, it is not only a question if but even more when and how large TC's orders are.
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