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Re: orkrious post# 114260

Wednesday, 06/04/2003 12:34:56 AM

Wednesday, June 04, 2003 12:34:56 AM

Post# of 704044
Ork the pain of believing FA matters, a little bit,anyway:(
via Decision Point --so based on Pro Froma the fair evaluation of SPX would be 608.(as of 5/31/2003). I give link at bottom of post to their commentary on their view of the "Earnings don't matter crowd arguing with them, basically saying all that they were saying in 1999/2000-- skies the limit, to hell with reality".The bottomline we are now EXACTLY in the same area where we were in the middle of the Bull---earnings mean nothing.It took LESS than 3years for the whole scam to get back in control---and we have "the Bull is Back!!!!" crowd for the time in command. AbsoluteNothing has changed, the majority learned nothing from the past.Greed rules now,that is the reality and i have to ask do or i don't i jump in (with deep scorn of that preposterous situation) like i did last time and play the game bull side none the less????. Wish i had all the data on the post low 1974 run, the critical TA levels, did they get blown out to record levels?how high did P/E levels go? etc etc; in other words to cross and back check the move in 1974 with this move.
As Reported" (GAAP) EPS is $30.42; P/E is 31.68.
"Core" EPS is $23.75; P/E is 40.57.
"Pro Forma" EPS is $47.47; P/E is 20.30.


Based upon the latest GAAP earnings the following would be the approximate S&P
500 values at the cardinal points of the normal historical value range. They
are calculated simply by multiplying the GAAP EPS by 10, 15, and 20:

Undervalued (P/E = 10): 304
Fair Value (P/E = 15): 456
Overvalued (P/E = 20): 608>>


http://decisionpoint.com/tac/Swenlin.html


He played his video game night and day.
The MAZE of Death.
But that is the game we all are in, the trick, don't believe it.Get above it all and imagine nothing is what it seems.Kill the machine.otraque

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