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Tungsten Demand on a Downswing to 2018; Non-Chinese Tungsten to be Significant

Jul 01, 2014 02:08 GMT Source:Investing News Network

Tags: Almonty Industries, Blackheath Resources, TSXV:AII, TSXV:BHR, tungsten demand, tungsten price

Monday June 30, 2014, 3:42pm PDT
By Vivien Diniz+ - Exclusive to Tungsten Investing News

Tungsten demand is waning, says Roskill, whose most recent tungsten market outlook foresees demand slowing to 2.6 percent per year until 2018 as one of its most well known applications- filaments in lightbulbs – shows signs of decline. However, despite the lackluster overall outlook from the analyst firm, it seems that the alloys and hardmetals facets of tungsten demand are slated to do well.

With a vested interest in cost savings, both in residential and commercial applications, tungsten demand stemming from the lighting application industry is slated to drop by about 5 percent per year over the next four years. In 2013, tungsten demand from lighting applications accounted for about 12 percent of total demand in 2013. Roskill‘s report does however note that newer lighting technologies do still require greater volumes of refractory tungsten alloys in their manufacture, bolstering the demand in the alloy sector.

Despite the lagging demand in lighting applications, Roskill does see some growth coming from the automotive sector, particularly in North America, China and Europe. Demand for cemented carbide products is expected to increase by 3.6 percent per year into 2018m as well as increasing its overall marketshare of tungsten demand. Furthermore, Asian demand primarily from China, is expected to increase to 52 percent by 2018 from the 48 percent from 2013. Roskill’s expectation is that China’s demand for tungsten will outpace European and North American tungsten growth.
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On the back of demand ebbing and flowing, tungsten prices are also expected to see a downward slide in the coming years.

“After peaking in 2011 and spiking again in 2013, tungsten prices are forecast to fall throughout 2014 and early 2015. Improving availability of raw materials from new mine projects is increasing oversupply pressure in the market.” Roskill said.

Despite demand slipping on some fronts, it is increasing on others and lower prices will most likely have an impact on developing assets which will inevitably aid in balancing out the market as availability of supply will become a concern.

To that, Roskill adds that the “focus may shift to the cost position and viability of specific mining operations, including China where lower costs have previously insulated suppliers from lower prices.” The firm also adds that non-Chinese tungsten supply is going to become more significant as projects line up to come online by 2018.

Company news

Almonty Industries (TSXV:AII) has entered into a binding agreement for the acquisition of the Wolfram Camp tungsten and molybdenum mine from Deutsche Rohstoff for the $18 million. Per the terms of the acquisition agreement, Almonty will issue roughly 12.2 million common shares for $0.86 per share for an approximate amount of C$10.5 million. This will subsequently be translated into a shareholding 24.9 percent of Almonty’s issued stock.

For the remaining $7.5 million, Almonty will issue a convertible debenture to Deutsche Rostoff with a maturity of 2.5 years and a coupon of 4 percent. The debenture may be converted into shares at a conversion price of $1.45 per Almonty share.

Blackheath Resources Inc. (TSXV:BHR,FWB:04B) closed an oversubscribed non-brokered private placement for the gross proceeds of $1.3 million. Blackheath has issued 5.2 million units at a price of $0.25 per unit.

The company’s president, Alexander Langer commented that the company has “closed two oversubscribed financings in less than six months. We feel we are well capitalized and expect to be able to achieve our corporate goals for 2014.”

Blackheath has also signed on Shining Capital LP and ShanDongLin Investments as shareholders to which Langer stated, “ Bringing in two large funding partners in Shining Capital and ShanDong DongLin validates our vision that Blackheath Resources is poised to take significant steps forward in the coming years. We welcome the addition of these great organizations and look forward to continuing our partnerships in the years to come.”