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Re: ReturntoSender post# 6854

Wednesday, 05/14/2014 12:32:21 PM

Wednesday, May 14, 2014 12:32:21 PM

Post# of 12809
Chart of the Day - Rating the current Dow Rally

http://www.chartoftheday.com/20140514.htm?H

The Dow just made another all-time record high. To provide some further perspective to the current Dow rally, all major market rallies of the last 114 years are plotted on today's chart. Each dot represents a major stock market rally as measured by the Dow with the majority of rallies referred to by a label which states the year in which the rally began. For today's chart, a rally is being defined as an advance that follows a 30% decline (i.e. a major bear market). As today's chart illustrates, the Dow has begun a major rally 13 times over the past 114 years which equates to an average of one rally every 8.8 years. It is also interesting to note that the duration and magnitude of each rally correlated fairly well with the linear regression line (gray upward sloping line). As it stands right now, the current Dow rally that began in March 2009 (blue dot labeled you are here) would be classified as well below average in both duration and magnitude. However, the magnitude and duration of the current post-financial crisis rally has now reached median status -- its magnitude and duration is greater than six and less than six Dow rallies since 1900.


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