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Critical Audit Matter Description that Deloitte highlighted
gets a third pair of eyes...
page 51 in 2023 10K filing...
https://www.otcmarkets.com/filing/html?id=16892625&guid=gmY-kFtjc_XiIVh#SMCI-20230630_HTM_icac7281ee66a4bc980041b3207ca2865_148
Deloitte Audit was basis of SMCI
getting up listings in 2024...
Inventory that becomes obsolete with tech
evolving so fast must be written down then
and reduces the net earnings...
SMCI has been using a constant basis from
appearances on that subject...
10Q filing link from 03/30/2024...
https://www.otcmarkets.com/filing/html?id=17511383&guid=gmY-kFtjc_XiIVh
SMCI had about 1.4 billion of inventory to
end the 06/30/2023 quarter,,,fiscal year end...
then came the rapid advances of Ai
and new products...
Nine Months Ended
March 31,
2024 2023
OPERATING ACTIVITIES:
Net income $ 855,422 $ 446,429
Reconciliation of net income to net cash (used in) provided by operating activities:
Depreciation and amortization 29,174 25,932
The depreciation didn't change much from
03/31/2023 for nine months versus the
nine months ended 03/31/2024...
This could be an area where EY chose to
probe more and didn't get answers that
they felt ok with...
Maybe SMCI are magicians and never had
a need to depreciate or write down more
inventory as tech changes accelerated...
BDO can perform an Independent Audit
and add as many pages of Critical Disclosures
needed for the public review...
And SMCI will need to file that 10K then as
things are found to look since they could
be near the end of a timeline extension...
If Deloitte saw it as a Critical Matter then
it is good to be slower on the trigger until
another Auditor reveals their results...
Cash, sales, loans, inter company dealings
are easier to track...
An outside Auditor may need more assistance
to review how the older inventory moves or
whether it is out of date and should be recorded
as a charge against earnings...
Just something to watch as the Ai appears in a
little stall mode now anyway...
Old inventory in tech is like an oil company
spending to drill a dry well and has to be
accounted for timely and correctly...
So we watch...LJ
AMD tests fastest supercomputer... Hot Blackwell
chips may be overheating servers...
NVDA new chip delays might make this
be remembered as the Lost Quarter
in Ai revenue streams for companies...
Share Prices don't look like the market has
reacted to that possibility yet...
so we watch...LJ
During the fiscal years ended June 30, 2024 and 2023 and the subsequent interim periods through November 18, 2024, neither the Company nor anyone on its behalf has consulted with BDO regarding: (i) the application of accounting principles to a specific transaction, either completed or proposed, or the type of audit opinion that might be rendered on the Company's financial statements, and neither a written report nor oral advice was provided to the Company that BDO concluded was an important factor considered by the Company in reaching a decision as to any accounting, auditing, or financial reporting issue; (ii) any matter that was the subject of a “disagreement” within the meaning of Item 304(a)(1)(iv) of Regulation S-K and the related instructions; or (iii) any “reportable event” within the meaning of Item 304(a)(1)(v) of Regulation S-K.
https://www.otcmarkets.com/filing/html?id=17984736&guid=gmY-kFtjc_XiIVh
No peeking allowed before taking the
auditor position...
so we watch...LJ
https://x.com/PiQSuite/status/1858443105998954917
https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/artificial-intelligence/elon-musks-xai-reportedly-shifts-usd6-billion-ai-server-order-from-troubled-supermicro-to-its-rivals
It took 5 days before hearing about
an auditor resignation...
An 8-k on losing a huge contract to
lower quarterly revenue guidance isn't
a sure thing if true...
Taiwan news broke the story and that
link hasn't come off X yet on Monday...
Which may mean nothing...
so we watch...LJ
11-18-24 reports of SMCI losing XAi orders...
https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/artificial-intelligence/elon-musks-xai-reportedly-shifts-usd6-billion-ai-server-order-from-troubled-supermicro-to-its-rivals
https://udn.com/news/story/7253/8367269
Always plenty of bad news to come
out when it tries to rebound...
Long road ahead for recovery by SMCI
looks to be the task ahead...
so we watch...LJ
EY was auditor at Healthsouth when that
accounting problem happened...
Will be interesting to watch what another
auditor eventually reveals...
Most likely will be months of waiting...
so we watch...LJ
Biden approved Strategic Long Range Missile use
by Ukraine against Russia...
It could be nip and tuck on timing
on whether we can get him out of
office before a nuclear war ends
everything for everyone...
Biden was way off in Brazil at G2 meeting when
the news was released...
Is there some kind of safe haven there
for all world leaders?...
so we watch...LJ
SMCI gamblers may give Nasdaq a dilemma
on whether to approve an extension
of trading with all their problems
to navigate...
Those fundies turned their trader bots
loose on it on Monday...
And they won't be holding after selling
probably to retail if things don't get
cleared up by SMCI...
Scary day to be holding and needing the
company to be reserved in praying to
Nasdaq for an extension...
Gov't will appoint auditors to review company
financials if SMCI doesn't get one...
so we watch...LJ
It is good that you are financially able
to potentially bet on a false start...
Some of us in the hole don't have
that luxury,
and need to see an acceptance of
an extension request...
https://www.gurufocus.com/news/2607337/super-micro-computer-smci-seeks-nasdaq-compliance-amidst-reporting-delays
Downward guidance recently for current
quarter wouldn't be showing growth...
And no forward guidance past that is
understandable at this time...
Fingers crossed that there is no trading
suspension ahead if a request is sent
to ask for an extension...
So we watch...LJ
There is a CFO with a video out that
shows institutions dropped about
60% of their ownership in SMCI...
Not sure where he gets the numbers
that Most can't get since he posted
the info in a video...
Video is seems iffy for that reason so
a link won't be posted...
SEC rules on Fund filing make the filings
worthless anyway...
Funds only have to post once a quarter
and could make changes in the last
week of a quarter to frame a picture...
Funds can trade every day in and out
of companies and only have to report
that quarter ending number held...
Wouldn't be much volume at all in
markets if funds weren't trading...
so we watch...LJ
Israel doesn't care what Pope thinks about genocide
being done in Gaza...
https://apnews.com/article/pope-vatican-gaza-israel-genocide-book-62907898cead13dbcfd603592263904c
U.S. funding keeps rolling in...
so we watch...LJ
Some fundies bot up some shares on Friday
to excite retail and that drove up
option prices again sky high...
just like on earnings day...
Those same fundies can start selling
at the open into any buying green and
if news hits then the price drops again...
Any news on something that has to be
done anyway by a delinquent filer isn't
going to change anything...
Still many items that they can update
on to create price weakness...
Just don't think it is time yet...
And will not debate the health of the
company financials until months out
if they get an auditor and file 10K...
Buying cheap weekly puts by Tuesday
and then buying calls if prices drop a
lot on a double test of a bottom would
both be considered...
so we watch...LJ
GME had 12 price in December before
it started it's run, and you could buy
20 calls for January at a nickel,
back then...
Hate to say I know that because looked
at it and didn't try it...
https://www.barchart.com/stocks/quotes/SMCI/options?expiration=2025-01-17-m&moneyness=50
The option prices are extremely high on
this low price still,,,
too many retail over paying for them...
so we watch...LJ
Friday runup allowed unreal put premiums
to be sold above $15...
https://www.barchart.com/stocks/quotes/SMCI/options?expiration=2024-11-22-w
Odds are that the money to be made
by those sellers to folks chasing the
yarn daily will lose a lot...
Call prices were also ran up well beyond
anything reasonable to pay for those...
On a 17 to 18 dollar stock into the next
Friday expiration is that pricing...
Unreal high, so the big money makes
money with price lower...
That is why I am reserved...
None of the put or call buyers make any
money if price bounces up or down and
back near current area by Friday with decay...
so we watch...LJ
NVDA news on moving shipments to coreweave
and away from SMCI back in 1st
week of November disappeared...
Don't be surprised to see the article from
Barrons about SMCI shares to also
disappear later...
Susquehanna lowered price target to
$15 for SMCI on 11/08/2024 after SMCI
made big drop in 2nd quarter guidance...
Institutions are still in sell only mode
until and if SMCI gets an extension from
Filing Requirements to keep trading
on the Nasdaq...
SMCI obligation was to seek an extension
before now and any pr about filing for it
would be wasting money needed on attorney
fees now to address litigation...
A pr on getting an extension approved is
an item to highlight if it comes...
With tech sector so weak now, it isn't a
good time to buy a false start...
Any sellers may be wanting more money
to play on NVDA earnings...
The sellers in tech now are fearful of any
moves that a party change coming may
end up having...
And that sentiment may not change at
anytime in the near term...
so we watch...LJ
SMCI, Susquehenna may have fooled Barrons into
putting out a piece that helped move
SMCI up in afterhours Friday...
Using a Manager of a related fund to
report holdings is allowed by SEC...
SEC trilogy filing to follow...
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/918950/000091895024000007/xslForm13F_X02/primary_doc.xml
13F filing to SEC...
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1446194/000144619424000008/xslForm13F_X02/primary_doc.xml
Susquehanna apparently ownership dropped from 16.4%
previously to 5.3% in new filing...
It does say 13G filing but they don't show
any past filings to SEC under the SMCI filings,,,
so Yahoo got previous numbers somehow...
old info...
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SMCI/holders/
new filing...
https://www.otcmarkets.com/filing/html?id=17972890&guid=B2Y-kF7exZLBh3h
81 mil down to 30 mil...split adjusted...
SEC guide to 13F filing...
https://www.sec.gov/divisions/investment/13ffaq
Is Susquehanna even holding anymore
shares after 09/30/2024 date of report?...
They put a price target of $15 on SMCI
in a downgrade on 11/08/24 after 1st quarter
earnings release on 11/05/2024...
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/susquehanna-slashes-super-micro-computer-030421899.html
Blackrock filings released before these reflected
a drop in percentage ownership also...
Problem with reporting of large holders
investing in companies is that it is old
info when it comes out, and may not reflect
anything in fast changing companies...
This is only a thesis based on a
peon interpretation...
We need to remain objective while taking
hopie pills for a recovery later...
so we watch...LJ
good for you, betcoin is only pump
holding up now...
so we watch...LJ
Those buyers of over 10, 000 puts around 17.50
for next week don't care what prices
do in after hours...
another 10,000 puts bot at 15 for next
Friday...
both bot this Friday at high prices...
Barrons putting out info on an ownership
filing appears to have missed about 9%
reduction by the filer is odd...
Tech is sinking right now and folks are just
looking for quick flips cheap...
NVDA getting new competition from Amazon
should also make folks watch being too
high on it around earnings time...guess...
so we watch...LJ
It is sad if they waited this long
to even file to Nasdaq for an extension
and the news is true...
I've been watching daily for approval news
to the company and they haven't filed
yet to try to get extension?...
More waiting then to see if they get
an extension from Nasdaq...
Sitting in offices in an earthquake zone
and wait till last day doesn't really
add a lot of comfort...
Then an auditor might sign on If they
get the extension from Nasdaq, is my
own guess on potential timeline...
Need a bounce, but Extension Approval
seems a potential bounce point...
so we watch...LJ
SMCI should have filed for extension a
week or two before the deadline...
Nothing in that headline to boost
any buying...
so we watch...LJ
Buys after hours could be considered insider
trading if news breaks Monday...
Would only consider it potentially as
pump and dump activity right now...
They suckered me good on the Wednesday
afternoon before earnings came out...
so we watch...LJ
Susquehanna apparently ownership dropped from 16.4%
previously to 5.3% in new filing...
old info...
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SMCI/holders/
new filing...
https://www.otcmarkets.com/filing/html?id=17972890&guid=B2Y-kF7exZLBh3h
81 mil down to 30 mil...
SEC trilogy filing to follow...
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/918950/000091895024000007/xslForm13F_X02/primary_doc.xml
so we watch...LJ
put entry prices might be a lot cheaper
Monday if they connect to the
after hour pricing...
they were very high into close...
no filing ahers as/at 7:45 et...
so we watch...LJ
Nasdaq list of non-compliant companies is so long
they don't even number it...
https://listingcenter.nasdaq.com/noncompliantcompanylist.aspx
Probably not motivated to lose income
by not giving companies a chance
to comply...only a guess though...
Only time it is good to be on a list
of losers...
SMCI being diversified with AMD, INTC,
and NVDA products helps them a touch
during this economy downturn...
Squeeze on margins for all companies
with high shipping costs due to Red Sea
closure during worldwide slow down isn't
helping any companies...
so we watch...LJ
SMCI became a Meme stock at 17.76 and
will help make America Great Again...
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SMCI/
That price is about 1.76 times quarterly
revenue for 1st quarter, 2025...
Is that coincidence?...
so we watch...LJ
Will Jensen of NVDA feel comfortable in San-Jose
if he makes any actions that hurt
jobs at SMCI?...
Tech industry overall hasn't been kind
to the workforce in the area in 2024...
https://insider.govtech.com/california/news/despite-bay-area-tech-layoffs-pace-of-job-cuts-slows
Wall Street has cheered job cuts those
tech companies did in 2024...
SuperMicro expanded jobs and has been
attacked by Wall Street...
There are Folks behind job numbers...
Unless Jensen is buying up cheap shares
of SMCI for a reason, his silence has been
unexpected in the SMCI bear attack period...
As for your puts, NVDA has multiple Billions
of cash to hold up to bear attacks and is in
better shape than SMCI in that area...
so we watch...LJ
SMCI put/call ratio surged to 2.02 Thursday
for Friday expiration...
put/call ratio was .44 on NVDA...
SMCI put/call ratio jumped to 1.37 Thursday
for Friday, 11/22/2024 expiration...
https://www.barchart.com/stocks/quotes/SMCI/options?expiration=2024-11-15-m&moneyness=20
You couldn't build a better bear trap with
a 3D printer if you had the plans...
Still needs a reason for a price jump...
so we watch...LJ
Insider trading on Monday before hindenburg report
broke causing that big down day
was the biggest we have seen...
Regulators should have easily noticed it
and started looking at it,,,
because it came with so much media
attention when it happened...
Each event with an 8-K filing has seemed
to trigger an excessive down price move...
4th quarter earnings announced,,,big drop,,,
10K filing delay...big drop,,,
EY, the quitter auditor, 8k filing on them
leaving the company...Excessive Price Drop...
EY had a Public Obligation to stay and find
reporting problems and report them to
regulators if they suspected any!...
So that price drop was Excessive after
EY quit...
It seems like all the big money traders in
indexes are wearing diapers...
Soros bot shares, according to pump posts
on message boards, and got the price
looking good and up just before all this
bear poop chit started...
Probably only a coincidence...Isn't he loved
by Mr. Musk?...
Thinking all this is a schemed crock of chit,
but am still broke watching it...
But it rained over night and seeds will
sprout, so everything should be OK...
so we watch...LJ
They will want to break 20 put, 21,
and 22 put buyers for Thursday on Friday...
That would need price above 22...
About 3 million bet on each of 21 and
22 put on Thursday...
Massive bets on below 20 puts for Friday
on Thursday alone...
Call sellers also surged on 20, 21, and
22 on Thursday for Friday...
Sure money for those big call sellers, right?...
https://www.barchart.com/stocks/quotes/SMCI/options?expiration=2024-11-15-m&moneyness=20
In theory, a bunch of float could be
flipped to new hands cheaply with
Friday expiration above $22 when
shares change hands next Tuesday...
Only a Peon student of the game
and how it works...
so we watch...LJ
How do you know when they hear from
Nasdaq?...
Are we supposed to believe a filing
or pr from company on it?...
Haven't seen a playbook on it...
'Watching for Delisting While Losing'...
One damn thing Charles, of SMCI, said
in CC is true...NVDA isn't shipping new
Blackwell chip yet and no way to increase
any guidance until chips start coming...
NVDA has had two pump prs about shipping
chips to new companies that they can't deliver
yet since the SMCI CC was done...
And buyers of NVDA just sucked down more
high priced shares from them...
But Charles, of SMCI, can't be trusted...
Swell...
https://www.otcmarkets.com/filing/html?id=17943172&guid=tPY-kHcmvrwfJth
"The Special Committee has completed its investigation based on a set of initial concerns raised by EY.
Following a three-month investigation led by Independent Counsel, the Committee’s investigation to date has found that the Audit Committee has acted independently and that there is no evidence of fraud or misconduct on the part of management or the Board of Directors.
The Committee is recommending a series of remedial measures for the Company to strengthen its internal governance and oversight functions, and the Committee expects to deliver the full report on the completed work this week or next. The Special Committee has other work that is ongoing but expects it to be completed soon."
so we watch...LJ
Noticed it and price plummeted next day
on the last time they did it...
Seriously, how do they run the option
prices up when the price is still low
for the day which implies no change
for the bot pricing it?...
They pulled this crap in last hour before
the company announced earnings that
afternoon and price swooned...
See, there are a lot of words for drop...
Hope to be wrong...
Scanning the obituaries now in San Jose
to see if all managers died and that is why
the shareholders haven't been update...
so we watch...LJ
SMCI could be quick double if afternoon
has news on extension from Nasdaq...
took profit on puts bot yesterday...
they actually get to appeal if they don't
get first extension...
which better happen with Blackwell deliveries
starting or NVDA could weaken...
when does Blackwell start getting delivered?...
SMCI has billions of inventory waiting on
new chip so they can start delivering DLC
systems already ordered...
tense moments for sure...
so we watch...LJ
SMCI could squeeze 95 million short-shares Thursday
if they announce Nasdaq extension...
New Auditor seems more likely to
be announced after an extension...
Will let you think about why that may
be a logical wag...
Next thing to come might be Jensen
of NVDA delivering new Blackwell chips
to SMCI in promo at SMCI...
May not be about sticking with your wing
man or sticking with good karma like
from past year growth...
Free ad time helps gross margin of NVDA...
Aaahhhh, we can still dream the dream...
so we watch...LJ
Groundhog year, SMCI sux, Tampa Bay watching tropics...
Next Wednesday is more sure of
watch for Florida watching tropics...
should mainly end up a rain maker...
still early in forecasts...
so we watch...LJ
06/02/2024- https://www.supermicro.com/en/pressreleases/supermicro-liquid-cooled-ai-superclusters-will-power-large-scale-ai-data-center-japan
10/03/2024- mhttps://www.supermicro.com/en/pressreleases/fujitsu-and-supermicro-announce-strategic-collaboration-develop-green-ai-computing
do you sense a theme growing there?...
and Blackwell chips will come...
10-15-2024- https://www.supermicro.com/en/pressreleases/supermicros-liquid-cooled-superclusters-ai-data-centers-powered-nvidia-gb200-nvl72
This has become a stupid show to
watch on Wall Street, Imo...
Why would anyone think that Taiwan will
ever change their Law to allow advanced
Ai chips to be built in Arizona by TSMC if
SMCI gets delisted?...
Charles, of SMCI, is a lot more respected
in Taiwan than the U.S. is giving SMCI...
That may be the real big deal on the line...
so we watch...LJ
That very large number for fixed costs at
end 0f 03/31/2024 resembles about
what they may be paying NVDA for
GPUs in each of last two quarters...
$2.9 billion sounds like a lot when you
have to pay what the Big seller wants
for Ai chips in big demand...
rough estimate example...100,000 GPUs
in 1st quarter,2025 that were bot at say?,
$30,000 each in fixed cost agreement...
one year ago, 2024 1st quarter, 09/30/2024
Certain materials used by the Company in the manufacturing of its products are available from a limited number of suppliers. Shortages could occur in these materials due to an interruption of supply or increased demand in the industry. Two suppliers accounted for 55.1% and 10.3% of total purchases for the three months ended September 30, 2023, and the same two suppliers accounted for 25.7% and 16.1% of total purchases for the three months ended September 30, 2022.
The increase in concentration of total purchases to one of the Company's suppliers to 55.1% of total purchases for the three months ended September 30, 2023 is as a result of the purchase of GPUs to build its solutions for the Company's customers.
Purchases from Ablecom, and Compuware, related parties of the Company (see Part I, Item 1, Note 8, "Related Party Transactions") accounted for a combined 6.4% of total cost of sales for both the three months ended September 30, 2023 and 2022.[/]
comparison, 3rd quarter,2024, 03/31/2024...
The increase in the concentration of the Company's total
purchases from supplier A for 69.8% and 65.8% of total
purchases for the three and nine months ended March 31,
2024, respectively, is as a result of the purchase of key
components to build its solutions for the Company's customers.
All the inter company dealings with relatives
involved has been going on for years
and is how SMCI operates...
Ablecom agreement...
The Company retains full ownership of any
intellectual property resulting from the design
of these products and tooling.
The author you noted was very thorough...
https://orcafin.substack.com/p/smci-an-intriguing-story
But you keep dealing with the smartest
people that you know like in past history
and stay ahead of competition with tight
corporate protection on intellectual property!
gray line sales...SMCI saw 10 fold decrease
in sales 800,000 regarding a China entity in
1st quarter,2024, sales, 09/30/2023...
In October 2016, the Company entered into agreements pursuant to which the Company contributed certain technology rights in connection with an investment in a privately-held company (the “Corporate Venture”) located in China to expand the Company’s presence in China. The Corporate Venture is 30% owned by the Company and 70% owned by another company in China. The transaction was closed in the third fiscal quarter of 2017 and the investment is accounted for using the equity method. As such, the Corporate Venture is also a related party.
The Company recorded a deferred gain related to the contribution of certain technology rights. There was no balance in the deferred gain in the consolidated balance sheets as of September 30, 2023 and June 30, 2023.
The Company monitors the investment for events or circumstances indicative of potential impairment and makes appropriate reductions in carrying values if it determines that an impairment charge is required. In June 2020, the third-party parent company that controls the Corporate Venture was placed on a U.S. government export control list, along with several of such third-party parent’s related entities and a separate listing for one of its subsidiaries. The Corporate Venture is not itself a restricted party. The Company has concluded that the Corporate Venture is in compliance with the new restrictions. The Company does not believe that the equity investment carrying value is impacted as of September 30, 2023. No impairment charge was recorded for the three months ended September 30, 2023 or 2022.
The Company sold products worth $0.8 million and $11.3 million to the Corporate Venture during the three months ended September 30, 2023 and 2022, respectively. The Company’s share of intra-entity profits on the products that remained unsold by the Corporate Venture as of September 30, 2023 and June 30, 2023 have been eliminated and have reduced the carrying value of the Company’s investment in the Corporate Venture. To the extent that the elimination of intra-entity profits reduces the investment balance below zero, such amounts are recorded within accrued liabilities. The Company had $0.2 million and $1.9 million due from the Corporate Venture in accounts receivable, net as of September 30, 2023 and June 30, 2023, respectively.
The Company sold products worth $4.3 million and $6.4 million to the Corporate Venture during the three months ended March 31, 2024 and 2023, respectively, and $16.5 million and $23.6 million to the Corporate Venture during the nine months ended March 31, 2024 and 2023, respectively.
That .04% of sales revenue isn't something
that the company needs to be fooling with
and should just out for a loss on investment,,,
too many hassles with it...
FREE CASH FLOW in quarter two and three
of 2024 were negative due to spending on
new inventory increasing at a fast pace while
waiting for closed sales to catch up...
1st quarter, 2025 free cash flow moved back
to positive for quarter ended, 09/30/2024,,,
which helped gross margin increase...
Higher Pay Grades will have to determine if
SMCI has Three Independent Directors on
the Audit Committee,,,
and if not, changes will Have to be made...
No exceptions to that rule...
Charles, of SMCI, stated in CC the guidance
ahead is cloudy because no new Blackwell
chips were being delivered yet...
NVDA pr about Softbank confirmed that they
Blackwell chips aren't being delivered yet...
My losses incurred are still hindenburg
Caused until an Auditor with grit steps
in to say different...
so we watch...LJ
10-18-2023- https://www.supermicro.com/en/pressreleases/supermicro-starts-shipments-nvidia-gh200-grace-hopper-superchip-based-servers
A year of growth later and...
no celebrating...only in America...
$10 should be around market cap of
one times quarterly revenue...
$19 and around 1.8 times quarterly
revenue looks pricy compared
to that $10...
Big state retirement funds that had
shares might be feeling drunk if
they are still holding...
Where is the big volume selling for
a potential delisting?...
Did Institutions already dump out of
about 380 million shares?...
so we watch...LJ
SMCI will need delivery promo with NVDA
and new Blackwell chip delivery
to recover some from this...
If they get Nasdaq extension...
OTCMarkets doesn't allow quotes for
trading companies without Audited Financials...
Bot puts for next week because it appears
pretty gloomy now...
so we watch...LJ