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With a year to see the effects of the fallacies,
it seems the administration fooled itself more than any
other entity.
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/FC26Ak01.html
The Islamic think tanks and CIA think tanks agree on one point.
Those groups who sacrifice strategic clarity in order to have a simple moral clarity soon lose their cause from a lack of flexibility to changing circumstances. While the U.S. may never win a war of good against evil, it could have won a war against Al Qaeda.
TP
If Dell continues to sell products that it doesn't build, then what advantage does it have over other retailers like Best Buy, who has stores, or Amazon who doesn't?
TP
I handload all my rounds. Actually this is because I shoot blackpowder muzzleloading pistols. The one trick I have learned is to use a popcycle stick to dip grease to seal the cylinders after loading. This keeps your fingers from getting slippery which can affect holding onto the hammer. Does anyone have a trick for having to put your finger over the powerder horn while measuring? It gets my fingers really dirty and ends up getting on my clothes. The only thing I have heard is to wear gloves, but that adversely affects my handling of the caps and balls.
TP
The Fallacies of this war.
The Bush administration is advancing the cause of their war by using a series of logical fallacies. A fallacy is, very generally, an error in reasoning. This differs from a factual error, which is simply being wrong about the facts. To be more specific, a fallacy is an "argument" in which the premises given for the conclusion do not provide the needed degree of support.
Probably the most used logical fallacy used in support of the war is the fallacy of Misleading Vividness. This is the fallacy of letting a single strong example or a single vivid case to outweigh strong statistical data. The vivid case of course is the terrorist attack of 9/11. This fallacy is used in support of not only Bush's war, but almost every other action he has taken in the last year. The response to this dramatic TV footage of the towers is way out of proportion to the actual dangers or consequences implied in the actions taken since then.
http://www.csicop.org/si/2002-09/9-11.html
When it comes to justifying this specific Iraqi incarnation of their war, the administration used several other logical fallacies to confuse the public. In the fallacy of Begging the Question the premises includes the claim that the conclusion is true or (directly or indirectly) assume that the conclusion is true. This is commonly seen in the Rumsfeld & Bush claim that Saddam must have weapons hidden because the inspectors have not found them yet. Implied in the premise is the conclusion that there are weapons to be found. In actually the claims say nothing about the presence of weapons while the inspectors say at least something factual on the subject.
http://abclocal.go.com/wpvi/news/12502_iraq.html
This argument is further confused by the fallacy of Special Pleading. This is the fallacy of failing the present a reason why this case should be considered differently from other similar cases.
http://www.nixoncenter.org/010502Is%20North%20Korea%20More%20Dangerous%20than%20Iraq.htm .
or even from the case of the arguer. http://www.salon.com/news/col/scheer/2002/12/11/weapons/ .
The Bandwagon is a fallacy in which a threat of rejection by one's peers (or peer pressure) is substituted for evidence in an "argument." The Bush administration does this domestically with their accusations that all who question their war are un-American. http://www.newsfrombabylon.com/article.php?sid=1355 . Internationally the fallacy is extended to the point of outright threats. http://www.cnn.com/2001/US/11/06/gen.attack.on.terror/ . None of these threats or appeals to polls provides any justification for Bush's war; they only convey his threats and perhaps reasons to worry about confrontation with Bush himself.
The Bush administration deflects the more measured responses in a fallacy known as the Excluded Middle where it is claimed that if a war with Iraq is not begun, and begun soon, then nothing will be done and Saddam will get mass weapons and destroy the world. The fallacy completely ignores any other possible actions besides war or nothing. http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2003/02/09/1044725672665.html .
While the Bush administration uses a great many fallacies, such as Appeal to Emotion, Poisoning the Well, and Burden of Proof, probably the most used false justification for Bush's war is Guilt by Association in which the crimes of terrorist Osama Bin Laden are associated with Saddam Hussein by the irrelevant fact of their Muslim heritage.
http://www.buzzflash.com/perspectives/Osama_Clock.html
TP
http://www.nizkor.org/features/fallacies/
U.S. Government seizes web site because they don't like chat group.
http://www.cnn.com/2003/TECH/internet/02/27/industry.copyrig...
ISO News, which claimed up to 140,000 hits each day, does not contain illegal copies of video games, software and movies, but instead features message boards where Internet users can trade tips about such "warez."
This is just a beginning. If Ashcroft can seize this part of the internet, then how long before he siezes Investorshub because he doesn't like the truth being told on this chat site?
TP
Debt Grows at Slowest Rate in 8 Months
http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-rup8.1oct08,0,1972825....
Consumer confidence has slipped for four straight months, reflecting weak job growth and the declining stock market.
TP
Gephart agreed to fight Iraq. Markets down severely.
This pattern will repeat as people, foreign and domestic, pull out of the market with each announcement that is closer to war. The question must be raised, Are there any adults left in the government?
TP
he owns several blunder policy decisions since then,
The biggest and best blunder was tossing his stimulus tax cut into the bubble so that it was burst along with everything else. If there was one thing the economy didn't need it was another stimulus. Now we have fires all around and George has already pissed his last drop. Interest rates are at effective zero and the deficit is through the roof, and there is nothing left but distraction and borrowing, bread and circus.
TP
Don't forget West Coast Dock problems. This promises to be the fallback distraction in case the War with Iraq gets suppressed by inspectors. Armed Guards at the negotiations? I gather that goon squads are next, all to keep the headlines away actual constructive actions that could be taken on the economy.
TP
AMD Acquisition of Alchemy Semiconductor
http://www.amd.com/us-en/Corporate/VirtualPressRoom/0,,51_104_543~14491,00.html
AMD has had two products, PC compatible microprocessors and Flash memory. Everything else they made was supporting infrastructure for these two lines.
The microcontrollers of Alchemy represent a distinct and new product line. I wonder if this is just the first of a series of aquisitions.
The average buyer looks at speed (MHz) and amount of RAM
The average, or at least the novice, buyer may not notice that the model number on an Athelon does not correspond to clock speed. So far it appears to be the case, and the advanced user has a better ability to compare the different solutions.
TP
The was on drugs hasn't worked well, so it may take an emphasis on treatment to solve the problem. Similarly, a "war" on terrorism may create as many terrorists as are killed. It may be necessary to try to determine the root cause, poverty, fundamentalism, or whatnot, and solve that.
TP
There is already only one company which writes software in the world. Of course that is a hyperbole but not by much. There could be thousands of software companies, but instead college students would rather be a lawyer than consider software as a career. The "efficiency" of a single company is going to create havoc in the future.
TP
I am sorry for the delay in response. My source is now indicating that "maybe" there was a shortage of sockets, or "maybe" the demand was too low to make the shortage noticable. At any rate, it certainly doesn't seem to have materialized as a threat to Intel lately.
On another subject, the AMD redefinition of performance from clock speed to relative performance seems to have hit a nerve.
TP
people with drugs or weapons.
Security is expensive. It may be necessary to decide between drugs and weapons throughout the system. Now may be a time when treating drugs as a medical event may make sense and leave more resources to treat terrorism as a criminal event.
TP
A supplier tells me that Pentium IV sockets are not available, and that Pentium III is not available. AMD is the only game in town this quarter?
Dell is very near the recent historic lows of $19 or so. It is tempting, very tempting.
I'm not convinced the Afghanis aren't going to turn Bin Laden over.
It would make it politically difficult in the international realm to attack Afganistan if Bin Laden were turned over (he may consider it his own suicide mission). Could throw the whole war into doubt.
The market is a world market and one way or another has to sort itself out, just like always. Today I put in a market order for AMR 5 minutes after the open and it took over an hour for it to be filled (not some odd lot either). The whole world trades here and that is what makes the American market the biggest and best.
TP
There are still some investors I know who will probably be selling tomorrow because of margin calls. They've been holding on by the skin of their teeth for months now. I'm not sure if they are representative of a larger group.
Tom Meredith to resign from Dell.
Following the departure of Mort Topper a year ago this leaves Michael Dell as the only veteran executive.
TP
Looks like 850 Mhz is about the top speed for notebooks.
After a decade of phenominal growth Dell has been caught in the consolodation of the PC industry. Earnings report is tomorrow.
TP