I am compounding my money with technical analyst.
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March stocks now picked. I am taking BSX. I had my choice of several good ones but I took a consistent one for March. Here is the chart. I am trying to learn to make the window much smaller to meet the chart. But, I don't know enough yet. Forgive that part of me. The chart for the March picks. Who would you have chosen? And, why?
Ken
For my friends who have been paying attention.
Here is the short list of the stocks that I found searching through the entire S&P 500 for March. They are: AMD BJS CPN NBR & RDC.
I am submitting a monthly chart instead of a quarterly chart to show you the difference from the two. You'll notice that you can own a stock for just thirty days most of the time and if you find its best month, you'll make as much as if you held it all year. I am submitting AMD for its last five years up to the end of 2002.
I hope that you can see what I am talking about as far as growth is concerned. It seems foolish to hold it for a year, if a month will do the job.
Ken
I look forward to it. Make your quarters fit your stocks. I am going to start work tonight on March for the monthly portfolio. The summer months are by far the toughest. But, I do have some thoughts on the matter. March should be easy though. See you when you get back.
Ken
OK, greg, I will do that. Thank you.
Ken
Hello, Sallen. If I understand you correctly, you are trying to add spaces on your message board intro and you are not having much luck putting in spaces. If you look at the signature that I leave at the bottom of every message it will take you to my board and you can see my design. You simply hit enter after each subject that you place down, or you place the brackets in for the tables with no space inbetween. For tables it is like this one that I just posted last night on my board.
This was from an excel program. Make sure that you place the word chart and /chart inside the brackets and before and after the chart or table to be shown.
Ken
Way to go QuillandPenn. You're going to do well. You enjoy the challenge of things. You know in your heart that I am telling the truth about the quarterlies and that stocks like Johnson and Johnson may look good on paper, but when you really look at it, you don't want it. Do you have an EXCEL program on your computer? If not let me know what your stocks are and I will do them, place them on my web site and you can print them. I can see readily that stocks do as well during a single month period as they do all year long. To hold a stock that you know will lose money is stupid because everyone else is doing it. I am placing my chart that I did on AMES or Ames Department Store. The company went bankrupt, but if you owned the stock in its best quarter, even in its worst year, you would have turned $25,000 into $900,000 in just 8 years. People are so very stubborn to learn new things. I don't know how long I shall deal with them like this. I is a pleasure to talk to you, I hope you succeed in finding just what you need to learn to make it over the top.
Ken
I noticed that you had CSCO on your intro board. I just did a revolving quarterly on CSCO and here are the results. It is probably the same as INTC's quarterlies. No offense to the post if it doesn't fit the paradigm of the board.
Ken
CSCO CHART for QuillandPen
I did the three stocks that you mentioned and placed them on my web site to hold them for viewing. You have to go to home.cinci.rr.com\kgoodrich and there you can open the other two stocks GMCR AND SBUX. Both by the way are excellent choices. I commend you on your wise choices. Here is CSCO. I think this chart is fantastic. I will also place it on another board.
Ken
February pick now in.
Here is the results of the best stocks to have for February. Remember, I went through the entire S&P 500 for 6 years. These are the tops. I chose Big Lots to use in my portfolio.
Now, we have LSI and BLI in my running portfolio. Who shall I choose for March?
Ken
Rien
Here are the answers to some of your questions. I am sorry it took me so long. I place the stop-loss at -15%. I would buy at market. I would use a floating quarterly to fit my chosen stocks that interest me the most. I have back tested it. I am stupified why professional investment managers tell you to hold it unless there is some ulterior motive in back of keeping it. I split the investment up equally with the chosen stocks as best I could. And, stepping up the investment when the stock is going good is pretty sound business.
Here is my porfolios that I am running the system with. Notice that I have more than the allotted 5 or 6 stocks. I am also not equally splitting the money. I cannot impose a stop-loss on this site so I didn't bother with the other stuff. I have three portfolios running on this site. Feb-Apr which is about to close. Mar-May and Apr-Jun. All are in the black.
Here is the list of stocks that I am picking from for my February month of the 5 year run. The January stocks all were exceptional but I could only chose one. I chose LSI.
February stocks: ADSK BLI DDS SFA SDS
This is a tough month to look for a winner.
Ken
Here it is January's choice.
This is the results of the list. This is what the stocks have done each year during the month of January. I have chosen to take LSI as my stock for January. Next I will sort out for February.
I will keep you informed. And, by all means record these for yourself.
Ken
You're neet, QuillandPenn. Sorry about the other revolving quarterly site. It is for premium posters. I cannot even post on it until happy hour. As for the stocks time to buy. You do buy as you say on the last day of the previous month to a specific quarter that you are searching for. Or, you can wait until the quarterly reports come out and watch for insider trading two weeks before they do come out. Buy at market. Set your stop-loss at whatever you feel comfortable with. Note that to lose 20% means that you'll need more than 20% to get you back to even. I would set it around -15%. You can get off either when the stock has reached its average for the year during that quarter, or go the distance. I prefer going the distance of the quarter. Sell on the last day of the quarter. I will do your two mentioned stocks and try to post them here for you. Or, was it three. Anyway, visit my web site for other stocks. And, I may place two of those stocks on the site. See you after I get back home from work today, QuillandPenn.
Ken
PS: Rien I will have to answer yours when I come home too.
Yes, Rien. That seems to be working very well. My portfolios on Smartmoney.com at the introduction statement are set up the same way. I took a 10% growth average each year for a quarter because there may come a following quarter whose stop-loss eats that one up. This way you stand a better chance to make 40% growth each year. I cannot for the life of me see why anyone would hold a stock all year long, Rien. I have studied every stock in the S&P 500 and many other penny stocks, and I have seen this repeated. Each stock has a sweet spot that it makes growth on, most likely to make it. And, each stock has a definite time to lose profits. You may have seen that on some of the other charts that I have posted. On my web site which I pasted the address above, I have each stock on the Consumer Discretionary Sector of the S&P 500 and you can see by the chart there is a period of the year that all of them lose money at the same time. Buy a stock at the end of a month preceding its best quarter, hold it until the quarter is up (3 months) and sell it, reinvest it in another stock that does the same thing. Don't get burnt with a CD that pays you 1.2% for a three month period. You lose again when you pay capital gain and handling expenses on it. Keep an eye on this type of format, Rien. It works.
Ken
Here are the finalist for the month of January in my 5 year run portfolio for months. You may already have guessed that LSI has the inside track, but who knows, some great stock may jump up and have a better last 5 years. And, by the way, these are the years up to December: 2002, 2001, 2000, 1999, & 1998.
The challengers for the sole position for the 5 year monthly run are.
AMD
AMAT
BBY
DELL
INTC
KLAC
LLTC
LSI
MU
NVLS
All of these stocks have the standard criteria of not having two losing years in the last 6 during this month of January. One will grab the spotlight. Which would you chose?
Ken
This is what I am talking about.
Forgive me for posting this stock on your board, but it is to be an example only. You can tell almost precisely when this stock was do to go up. It went up today, big. It runs a true course seemingly every year, and gives it back around fall, or a little before.
For those of you who have seen my message board where I ran a $25,000 initial investment into $34,600,000 with this type of searching and waiting, I plan on running a 5 year portfolio with a mechanical trade every month, and using the same stock each month, each year. It should prove to be a real enjoyable ride. See you.
Ken
You're quite wrelcome, Phylann. If there is another stock that you would like to see in this format, let me know. I am enjoying the learning process.
Ken
Monthly portfolio.
As you can see my 10 year portfolio above turning $25,000 into $34,600,000 is impressive using the best quarters only of a stock and using just 4 stocks. Now, I will run a five year portfolio using 12 stocks in a monthly format instead of a quarterly format. I will only use the S&P 500 stocks. I will impose a -15% stop-loss limit order. This means that I will use the same stock every January and trade automatically every February for that month's top stock, and so on through December. I will do this mechanically each year. Using the original 12 stocks. Note. If I desire, I may use the same stock more than once in this. Though, it would make better sense not to. What stocks do you think I will wind up using to create this portfolio.
I can create charts that are revolving quarterly of course. But, I can also create them using months, weeks, best days to buy the stock, bi-monthly. Best thirds of the year. Best half year. There is no end to trying to locate the best time to own the stock. But, of a truth. You must be out of your mind to own it all year long.
Just my humble opinion.
Ken
NVEI charts and graph
I finally am learning how to post my Revolving Quarterly charts and graphs. I am still learning so bear with me as I need much more schooling. NVEI looks like if it is going to do something positive, it has to be doing it now. These next few months could be very good for New Visual. I hope so. I bless each of you with prosperity. Hope and goodness.
If there is a different stock that you need to see in this revolving quarterly format, please feel free to let me know.
Ken
I have to learn how to do that, Chrisau, I have tried to drag from the crosshairs, but it pulled the whole screen with it. There must be some special button that I must push before or after I paste to the paint program.
Ken
When times look rough, know that the better times are on the way.
Here is a factual graph of how LOOK has demonstrated its ability to comeback and gain ground. This is a definite must have stock for the latter part of the year.
Do not lose heart if it seems the company isn't doing its best. What you lose in the spring and summer, you'll double in the fall. I hope anyway. Good luck.
Ken
Thanks to both you and Chrisau, I post this as a tribute to your skills as teachers, and to lostcowboy and TC my mentors. I have a lot to learn my friends, but I am stubborn. How do I get the whole chart on there? I Hit the print screen key, with my excel chart open. I open Paint from accessories, I hit paste in the edit section. I hit the rectangle, which suddenly freezes the whole picture to whatever is there. I now cannot manuvuer to what is just below. And, the picture does have a different color. Is that normal. I welcome you advice always.
You can see the original version of this chart with graph at my site and the jpg version.
home.cinci.rr.com/kgoodrich
Ken
HRCT the chart
I think what this chart tells us is that as good as Hartcourt is doing now, it will do better when it is suppose to do better, historically. It is indeed making its history as we speak. This stock could go wild by late in the year. I am sorry that my chart posting isn't as good as some of the others can do it, and have done it. But, this is my first day in doing the color ones. I couldn't figure how to put the graph on it too, and it was less than a inch down the same page on this EXCEL chart. You can still go to my site and see the whole thing done much better if you had a mind to. It is
home.cinci.rr.com/kgoodrich
Hartcourt in its history making run.
Good luck throughout the year.
Ken
Thank you, arkieboy, it took a great deal of effort on my part to learn all of this technical stuff. I have to give all of the credit to the Computer Learning message board for their teaching me. I will now go into my pile of stocks and redo HRCT and sent it back to the HRCT message board. I will leave it up in color. Their company is making history even now.
test bbby
TENNISSTUD,
I am trying to place the HRCT chart back on the message board, but it was on another person's web site. I didn't have one, although I did start this up yesterday. You cannot place a chart on the boards the way you created them unless you have a site to send them from. I know it is strange. But, until I learn how to do it. I placed the chart and its graph on my new site which is a joke, by the way. Here is the address. It should get you to the chart. Just click on it and print it, or copy it to yours. See you. If you have any other stocks that you need checked out let me know.
Ken
http://home.cinci.rr.com/kgoodrich/
BBBY still going strong.
BBBY NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
2003 -6% -5% 0% 11%
2002 36% 3% 0% 8% 3% 12% -16% -4% -13% 14% 8% 6%
2001 7% 19% 11% 8% 19% 25% 13% -2% -19% -24% 16% 32%
2000 -17% -6% 21% 36% 32% -8% 0% -5% 36% 40% 25% -6%
1999 16% -5% 10% 14% 18% 6% -3% -18% -4% 3% 16% 0%
1998 23% 27% 19% 23% 15% 12% -12% -30% -4% 31% 61% 41%
1997 10% 1% 1% 1% 10% 24% 19% 10% 16% -2% 9% 11%
1996 25% 33% 33% 43% 25% 2% -27% -20% 6% 16% 17% -11%
1995 -9% -17% -18% -23% -2% 0% 44% 20% 28% 2% 19% 26%
1994 -7% -16% -16% -1% 4% -1% 2% 4% -10% -1% 0% 16%
1993 29% -5% 4% 6% 36% 14% 35% 32% 47% 37% 17% 6%
1992 15% 22% 35% 29% 49% 49%
TOT 108% 29% 65% 124% 161% 87% 71% 9% 119% 146% 238% 170%
AVG 10% 3% 6% 11% 16% 9% 6% 1% 11% 13% 22% 15%
MIN -17% -17% -18% -23% -2% -8% -27% -30% -19% -24% 0% -11%
MAX 36% 33% 33% 43% 36% 25% 44% 32% 47% 40% 61% 49%
LEXR Lexar Media Inc.
This stock should have no trouble reaching its average during the March to May quarter. What do you think of it. It is a stock located between the $2.00-$5.00 range, but soon may be a bit above that.
LEXR NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
2003 50% -53% -58% 6%
2002 154% 14% 13% 24% 46% 55% 36% 22% -43% 8% 115% 120%
2001 -39% -33% 60% -4% 87% 40% 3% -72% -41% -21% 96% 139%
2000 -24% -60% -88% -147%
TOT 165% -72% 15% 27% 133% 95% 39% -50% -107% -72% 123% 112%
AVG 55% -24% 5% 9% 67% 48% 19% -25% -36% -24% 41% 37%
MIN -39% -53% -58% -4% 46% 40% 3% -72% -43% -60% -88% -147%
MAX 154% 14% 60% 24% 87% 55% 36% 22% -24% 8% 115% 139%
Hi, TC. I had it up until I tried to figure out what open paint was. I completed the certification for Microsoft's EXCEL program, WORD, POWERPOINT, and ACCESS. I can not find an open paint anywhere, only a format painter. Also, I was off a bit on the part where I was to go up and click the rectangular tool selection (at the top right of the toolbar on the left of the screen). That was a tough one.
Also do I do this after I place them on the site, or before? It seems after I place them on the site and try to send them or paste them, I just get some writing on the side of my site, which, as yet I haven't been able to get rid of. And, when I delete it from my uploader, it says it isn't there to get rid of. Strange, I know. But, there it is. See you, TC. I am both excited and scared as a long-tailed cat in a room full of rocking chairs.
Ken
I will try, TENNISSTUD. I have recently started a home page so that I can post my charts on the message boards, but I don't know how to do that, yet. I had the chart on anothers program at his home and as long as he kept it, it stayed up. I have the HRCT chart on my site, though. While I am learning to post them, you can go to the site and copy it, or print it. My web address is
home.cinci.rr.com/kgoodrich
It should take you there. If not you can email me. My email is under my name in blue under posted by. The good people at the computer Learning board have really stepped it up helping me to post charts and graphs and such. See you.
Ken
Thank you, TC. I shall give it an Easter try to beat the band.
Ken
Thanks, TC. How do I place the charts on my site, though. I have tried to bracket the web site like the pre/pre deal, but it just comes out the same.
Ken
Hello, TC. I downloaded the program from ipswitch and now have the problem of figuring out how to place this thing on my desktop into my personal home page. The remote site says ipswitch downloads, the local systems says windows\desktop. What should I do now to get my EXCEL charts to be uploaded on my personal home page and to delete the crap they put on there to start my off?
Thanks much.
Ken
TC, how do I upload? All that I see for an option is Set up home page, view home page, manage, and see other members. None of these has anything to do with uploading, I deleted my home page three times, and haven't found a way to place even my name on the page they congratulated me for. Any ideas? I can't even delete whatever they placed on there to start me off.
ken
Hello, neighbors, thanks for inviting me. I just finished posting my list of the 72 worst S&P 500 stocks to own when I remembered a little 8:00 get together. I hope you all had great fun. I have my grandkids here and we are going to watch another rerun of Harry Potter. Maybe Harry can whip us up some good stocks to watch. Here is my list of those not to watch. Have a wonderful night.
1 ABS 21 CCR 41 HLT 61 PCL
2 AYE 22 CSX 42 HBAN 62 PNC
3 AEE 23 DPH 43 JHF 63 PFG
4 AEP 24 DLX 44 K 64 PGN
5 ASO 25 D 45 KR 65 PRU
6 BUD 26 DJ 46 LTR 66 RTN
7 ATH 27 DUK 47 MET 67 RF
8 ASH 28 EK 48 MON 68 COL
9 AWE 29 EIX 49 MCO 69 SAFC
10 AV 30 EMR 50 NCC 70 SPG
11 BDX 31 EFX 51 GAS 71 STI
12 BMS 32 EOP 52 NKE 72 TE
13 BA 33 EQR 53 NFB
14 BNI 34 FE 54 TXU
15 CAH 35 GT 55 PTV
16 CZN 36 UNP 56 PLL
17 CMA 37 GLK 57 PGL
18 UPS 38 HNZ 58 PCG
19 ED 39 HPC 59 PHA
20 CEG 40 HSY 60 MON
Don't ever buy these stocks to hold.
These S&P 500 stocks give back far too little for their risk. You can do much better with others. In a six year study not one revolving quarter was ever found of these companies to equal a 10% average growth. How pitiful. How stupid to have them, and to be told that they are worth having.
1 ABS 21 CCR 41 HLT 61 PCL
2 AYE 22 CSX 42 HBAN 62 PNC
3 AEE 23 DPH 43 JHF 63 PFG
4 AEP 24 DLX 44 K 64 PGN
5 ASO 25 D 45 KR 65 PRU
6 BUD 26 DJ 46 LTR 66 RTN
7 ATH 27 DUK 47 MET 67 RF
8 ASH 28 EK 48 MON 68 COL
9 AWE 29 EIX 49 MCO 69 SAFC
10 AV 30 EMR 50 NCC 70 SPG
11 BDX 31 EFX 51 GAS 71 STI
12 BMS 32 EOP 52 NKE 72 TE
13 BA 33 EQR 53 NFB
14 BNI 34 FE 54 TXU
15 CAH 35 GT 55 PTV
16 CZN 36 UNP 56 PLL
17 CMA 37 GLK 57 PGL
18 UPS 38 HNZ 58 PCG
19 ED 39 HPC 59 PHA
20 CEG 40 HSY 60 MON
TC, Lostcowboy. Help
I created a home page to be able to place my charts on and I can't do anything with it. I called and talked to Roadrunner for over an hour and they said you have a page to upload, but I can't touch the darn thing. I just have this stupid site that says congratulations. What do I do. I am going bonkers.
Here is the home address.
http://home.cinci.rr.com/kgoodrich/
Any advice. I deleted this page three times because I couldn't fix anything on it.
Ken the prayful one.
It is following my prediction. I said in messages on HRCT to hold and expect some explosive moments and to expect some profit taking come July. Look at msgs: 20861, 20857, 20859
HRCT can roll up towards the .50 range before it falls to a month of profit taking.
ken
ARG Airgas, Inc.
This stock could be heading to its run like 1999 and 1993. It looks to be running good now. It is at its 52 week high, so mark it down for next year to be looked at.
ARG NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
2003 13% 4% 7% 13%
2002 27% 16% 30% -3% -5% -13% -10% -4% -25% 6% 12% 29%
2001 16% 9% 16% 15% 26% 44% 31% 34% 12% 14% 8% 14%
2000 -18% -31% -9% -20% -18% -32% -8% 23% 20% 25% 13% 1%
1999 -10% -10% -5% 22% 31% 45% 4% 14% -4% -23% -27% -18%
1998 1% 26% 23% 1% -16% -17% -13% -23% -16% -15% -15% -29%
1997 -11% -27% -25% -27% -10% 19% 30% 8% -15% -23% -25% -18%
1996 29% 27% 19% 22% 16% -4% -15% 10% 32% 24% 16% -12%
1995 -16% 6% 23% -5% 3% 4% 24% 6% -1% -5% 2% 24%
1994 21% 6% 0% -14% 10% 22% 23% 4% 4% 7% 3% -22%
1993 10% 16% 17% 23% 31% 31% 46% 20% 19% 17% 15% 10%
1992 16% 20% 0% 8% 19% 25% 28% 0% 3% 8% 33% 37%
1991 25% 25% 38% -3% -1% -18% 7% 17% 28% 24% 15% 23%
TOT 102% 88% 134% 32% 86% 106% 148% 108% 58% 60% 49% 39%
AVG 8% 7% 10% 2% 7% 9% 12% 9% 5% 5% 4% 3%
MIN -18% -31% -25% -27% -18% -32% -15% -23% -25% -23% -27% -29%
MAX 29% 27% 38% 23% 31% 45% 46% 34% 32% 25% 33% 37%
Hello, Lostcowboy. I tried to set up a personal home page again. I can't get any farther than http://home.cinci.rr.com/makemoneynow/
I can't upload/download. I can't even touch the darn thing with a letter being typed on it. I tried to upload the free WS FTP whatever and they wanted $300 for it. I am so mad I can do something nasty. Anyway. I did every thing they told me to do three different times and nothing is happening. If it could help I would email you my username and password and you can look at where I am messing up. It has to be me.
Ken
RANGY gold stock
I ran a revolving quarterly on RANGY and it can make you money if you locate its best time to do so. This is the best gold stock according to Barcharts.com. Their year-to-date indicator says RANGY so I did the chart on it. Timing is everything. Gold will blossom one day like it never did before, but when.
rangy NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
2003 124% 90% 35% -11%
2002 21% 40% 30% 23% 83% 62% 27% -28% 4% 20% 14% 61%
2001 -36% 35% 25% 61% 11% 61% 5% 19% -17% 1% -16% 0%
2000 -20% -1% -1% 11% 26% 16% 43% -6% -30% -26% -28% -30%
1999 -52% 13% 88% 138% 63% 29% -28% 9% 21% 9% -3% 2%
1998 -16% 0% -2% -21% -23% -58% -43% -59% 12% 29% 46% -33%
1997 -14% -22% -52% -55% -51% -10% -40% -70% -71%
TOT 20% 178% 177% 186% 138% 59% -52% -116% -19% -5% -55% -71%
AVG 3% 30% 29% 27% 23% 10% -9% -19% -3% -1% -9% -12%
MIN -52% -1% -2% -21% -23% -58% -55% -59% -30% -40% -70% -71%
MAX 124% 90% 88% 138% 83% 62% 43% 19% 21% 29% 46% 61%