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A Low-Risk, High-Reward Gold Trade Right Now
By Dr. Steve Sjuggerud
Tuesday, September 17, 2013
Gold is more hated right now than it's been in years… and I love it.
We have the perfect setup for a great trade in gold.
Your upside is 70%-plus in the next year. Your downside risk is just 9%. A risk-versus-reward setup just doesn't get much better than that!
Let me explain…
The last time gold was even close to this hated was back in 2008… And it soared 71% in the following 13 months.
This time around, it could go even higher. You see, gold is even MORE hated than it was in 2008…
The clearest measure of how hated gold has gotten is what real traders are doing with real money. And the real money has bailed on gold…
A couple of months ago, the Commitment of Traders report showed that "large speculators" – hedge funds – were more bearish on gold than they have been in years.
Take a look at the chart below. You can see how these large speculators bailed out:
Please Enable Images to See this
Large speculators became extremely bearish on gold a few months ago… but in late June, the position started to reverse, around the same time gold bottomed.
Gold bottomed at less than $1,200 per ounce. Today, gold is up… but not dramatically – at around $1,300 per ounce. This could be the start of a new uptrend.
So gold is HATED. And it has a bit of an UPTREND in place. These are two of the three things I look for in an investment. (The third thing I look for in an investment is "cheap." But it's almost impossible to put a fair value on the price of gold.)
This is about as good as it gets for placing a trade in gold.
We have incredible upside potential here… Remember, gold soared 71% in 13 months the last time we saw a similar setup. And gold is even more hated today than it was back then.
Here's what you should consider doing…
I suggest putting on a 12-month trade in gold, right now. Buy today, and sell next September. You could pocket 70% or more. To protect your downside risk, set a stop loss at gold's June low.
The easy way to make this trade is through SPDR Gold Shares (GLD), the big gold fund. GLD's June low was around $116. So if shares of GLD close below $116 any time in the next 12 months, sell the next day for about a 9% loss. On the flip side, a 70% gain in gold would put shares of GLD well above $200.
Those are great trading odds.
We have an excellent setup for a low-risk, high-potential-upside trade in gold right now. Don't miss it.
Good investing,
Steve
Where is this run heading to? Steady volume and price increase for past 3 days. .85 and higher would be great.
And the beat goes on!
K Street Financial email update came out this morning maybe why.
http://kstreetfinancial.com/
High of .429 already Wow
Four Trades at .365 for 5000 shares each according to Schwab, now at .313
Anecdotal
http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Hollywood/2013/05/13/china-2010-world-movies
REPORT: CHINA TO BECOME WORLD'S LARGEST MOVIE MARKET BY 2020
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by CHRISTIAN TOTO 13 May 2013, 3:14 PM PDT 6 POST A COMMENT
Now we know why Hollywood is doing all it can to appeal to Chinese movie goers. Buzzfeed reports that China is expected to become the world's number one box office market by 2020.
We're already seeing signs that Hollywood is taking the Chinese market very seriously. Famous filmmakers like Quentin Tarantino are pruning their product to appease Chinese censors. Blockbusters like Iron Man 3 are shooting extra sequences featuring Chinese actors to engage that country's audience. The upcoming World War Z departed from the source material, a book written by Max Brooks, to ensure the film's zombie outbreak did not start in China.
More films will not only feature Chinese-friendly material but will be funded at least partly by Chinese patrons. Expect many more changes in Hollywood product geared to keeping the industry's Chinese relationships healthy--with the films themselves getting nips and tucks along the way.
Thank you apdn1mill,
So APDN is being somewhat quiet about who they have authorized or have contracts with. We are inferring since these companies are receiving contracts under this DLAD directive, they must be using APDN's product?
Do we know for sure that these companies are using APDN? Thanks.
I like that first paragraph:
"The Securities and Exchange Commission (“Commission”) deems it necessary and appropriate for the protection of investors to accept the Offer of Settlement submitted by Crystallex International Corp."
Thank you Mr. Fung. I feel very protected.
JC, you were right all along. The warning signs were there.
JC,
Based on what has happened in the past with shareholders, managements treatment thereof, it does not bode well for us. Why or what reasons would it get any better for us? Because of Fung's "back of the napkin" speech at the shareholders meeting? Past actions or lack thereof speak to their concern for shareholders. Logic tells me it will not get any better. Emotion hopes that it does.
Your insight is much appreciated. Thanks.
Thank you for your thoughts.
A settlement offer to GRZ would give us a lift or is their case too far along for that? Are they waiting for the ICSID to rule on their claim or do you think there is a possible settlement offer being talked about?
This does not look good does it. I find it hard to believe this is something that "slipped through the cracks". What is Fung's goal?
After the reverse split, this has been a slow march down. We are close to $1 now. Nice news on all these license deals and agreements but YOD needs to show the profit not just the potential.
Big volume day most within the last 40 minutes of trading. 123,000 shares plus. Outlook looks good.
Yes, very nice! A close at the HOD would be nice also.
I do not know. We had a strong week last week. This morning it's off it's bottom of 5.91. I hope to see another close above 6.
Broke out of the 50-56 range. Hopefully holds up and goes higher.
Sorry if this has been discussed before. How do you guys know NIA sold their shares? Did they send and email? Thanks.
I know this is not the same, but I am old.
Merry Christmas to you Max!
Here we go!
I sent a personal email a little over two weeks ago. No response.
All over now but the crying.
Here is what he sent me:
Of course you still have your shares. They will later be exchanged by the transfer agent.
Best Regards
Arne Dunhem
Sent from my HTC Tilt™ 2, a Windows® phone from AT&T
From:
Sent: Thursday, August 09, 2012 6:36 PM
To: Arne Dunhem <adunhem@arielway.com>
Subject: RE: AWYI Shares
OK, but how? Will the shares I own now be un-revoked? or exchanged with the new class of shares created?
On August 9, 2012 at 6:26 PM Arne Dunhem <adunhem@arielway.com> wrote:
Mark Bradley,
Of course they will be worth. They will be worth as I indicated below probably much more than before. There is nothing you need to do for now.
From:
Sent: Thursday, August 09, 2012 4:38 PM
To: Arne Dunhem
Subject: RE: AWYI Shares
Mr. Dunhem,
Can you answer the question about my shares I own now? Will they be worth anything or exchanged with the new shares? Thank you.
On August 9, 2012 at 3:59 PM Arne Dunhem <adunhem@arielway.com> wrote:
Mark Bradley,
Here is text from email I sent earlier today to another Shareholder:
We would not do what we are doing if we thought that the price would drop back to 0.000 something. As you understand, we do not want to remain on pink sheets, but rather move up to a higher and more respected trading platform. When we start trading again, we plan to be at as a minimum OTCBB and/or OTCQB, but our preference is NYSE/Amex or NASDAQ. We will have audited financials that include operations from GovBuys and should we start trading again on OTCBB then at least we have revenues and good contracts. How many pink sheet companies have that? When we start trading again, we of course intend to make appropriate announcements demonstrating solid business. This we believe should, based on financials, make the price per share higher than it was. On the other hand, we are very actively working on some major acquisitions, and should these work out, then we could potentially enter NYSE/Amex or NASDAQ instead. The price could then potentially be even higher.
Regards,
Arne Dunhem
From:
Sent: Thursday, August 09, 2012 3:29 PM
To: adunhem@arielway.com
Subject: AWYI Shares
Mr. Dunhem,
I have a question I hope you can answer for me. According to the shareholder letter dated July 12, 2012, your proposal to the SEC was accepted by the SEC and the shares of AWYI, of which I own some, have been revoked. As I understand it since the shares have been revoked, the shares I own now have no value. Will you be replacing the revoked shares I have with the new class of shares which were created at the 200 to 1 reverse split ratio? Thanks for you answer.
Mark Bradley
Max, do you have a way I can get a copy email exchange over to you? Or send me and address to big_b_1147@yahoo.com. I do not have a premium membership. Thanks.
Arne1,
How do you know that the shares you have now, which are revoked, will be "un-revoked"? Or, do you know they will be exchanged with the new class of shares created?
No I do not really comprehend it at all. How does revoking the shares help shareholders? Why would Arne even have a chat? I was on the chat and thought only the reverse split but did not understand what had really taken place and the question I do not believe came up. Arne knew and yet did not say it. Help me understand.
So the SEC "deemed it necessary and appropriate for the protection of investors to impose the sanctions specified in Ariel Way’s offer." and that Ariel Way's offer included revoking all existing shares, thus protecting us.
What a crock. If this is the way it is and we get no new shares and our existing shares are worth nothing then Arne Dunhem is truly a crook and a liar.
Arne1,
What flyersfan is saying is that we have no shares, they have been revoked. Are you contradicting what fryersfan is saying? Please be specific. Thank you.
Wow, this truly is a game for these guys to see how much money they can squeeze out of this company. Oppenheimer at $30,000/month for what? He is the same guy that sold all his shares right before Crystallex got the ax from Hugo. (and there is no such thing as inside information) This is geting to be a joke. Will there be enough money left to get through arbitration at the rate they are burning?
What a nice kick in the teeth! Thanks Arne Dunhem.
The next Chat Room event will be held this Friday July 13, 2012 and certain updates of events within the Company will be discussed.
Friday June 13, 2012 09.00 am – 09.30 am
What possibly is he going to tell us?
My expectations are high with SPUR but I must admit, this is slow. I have no idea where they are at with a possible purchase.
I agree that there have been some shenanigan's with this stock over the years, but now would the judge and the monitor not see right through this or be aware of this if the plan of compromise with the note holders is lopsided against all stake holders?
AWYI symbol is back on the boards
Thanks JCwillis
Yes I wish I would have sold also. I was two ticks too high. Hopefully trading tomorrow. It will be a good sign.
You are right, I do not know anything about this company for certain. But the longer this goes on without clear information from the company, the worse it starts to look. That is why I am thankfull for this board and the free exchange of opinion and ideas it represents. Maybe somebody knows something cause we sure are not getting much from Ariel Way.
My thoughts are the more pressure to get Arne to act the better. I am certainly no whiz in understanding Arne's business model but it sure would be nice to read up on current finacials and if this suspension helps speed up that process then great. The overiding concern is this business model is a sham and us retail stock holders have been played.
Max, what do you mean by "Paranoia suspended it"?