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tea, this note is to you also -
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=25879907
your charts are fantastic!
oh . . . VBG -
that makes sense then. Some chartists are thinking the bull top is in 2009. I see that you aren't one of them ;)
thanks mucho to you and teaparty. You guys have been doing a fabulous job . . . .
morning aj -
I'm sure you must have posted this before and I missed it, but, assuming that you don't think we are there yet, what are you final target lows for the ndx and spx?
The ndx low yesterday was near its' 200 ema. If you are eventually looking lower, do you see the ndx near its 400 sma, which is currently around 1725?
thanx
OT -That's the only toilet I saw like that, traveling thru Italy, Monaco, France, Lebanon and Dubai
And hubby didn't see one in the men's room . . . .
don't know why. I think guys need it more! -ggg-
OT - I took this video of a wc in a Monaco casino a couple of years ago. I HAD to. I thought I had really had too much to drink, at first - ggg
[URL=http://s86.photobucket.com/albums/k109/challo1/personal/?action=view¤t=Toilet.flv][IMG][/URL]
teaparty,
have you ever looked at the BIX as opposed to the BKX?
it is the S&P bank index.
it just put in a triple bottom going back to 2004. there is a divergence in the rsi, but you know how aj feels about triple bottoms . . . . -g-
thoughts?
LG, spx data is/was correct on quotetracker also.
I earlier said "datastream" for lack of a better term -g-
for whatever reason, all of the commercial sources were stuck.
I had cnbc on, saw the spx at the top reading 1449 something will the spy was running across the bottom at 145.22. I checked bloomie's and yahoo and they were all stuck too.
those criminals at work again - -g-
I don't know if anyone has noticed but the data feed for spx ticker was stuck - on cnbc, bloomberg, yahoo - for over an hour or more.
While the spy was ramping up, spx didn't reflect the move.
Now they are working . . . .
thanks, Ib - I missed that.
how ya' been?
Hi aj-
the similarites to Jan.03, 2001 are uncanny . . . there is
just something missing from the current chart . . .
and take a look at Armstrong's business model. We all
KNOW that the market (in it's infinite wisdom) sees out six months ahead of time. If we are in fact due for that MOAHAST, could we see the end of the disruptive period in October, focusing on a recovery (if we do, indeed, have something to recover from -g-), in March '08?
btw, please sir, what would be the end target of that unmentionable? Does history really repeat in such a mirror fashion??? %-}
Excuse all of those trendlines on my charts. I like 'em messy. VBG
January 03, 2001 - SPX closes up 64+ points
http://money.cnn.com/2001/01/03/economy/fed/
August 17, 2007 - SPX closes up 34= points
IE7 Will Auto-Install; Here's How to Stop It
http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=22929142
Getting Better,
Your advice was very informative and I appreciate it. Yes, I found it there under the add/remove programs. What a relief.
I knew it was there somewhere! -g-
I have since read all about it and found out how to download streaming video from you-tube. Your link to flvplayer was a big help. Thanks.
In case anyone is interested - these are the steps needed -
I posted this on SI.
================
yes, streaming video can be captured.
depends on the file extension as to how easy it is.
I finally found out how to copy from you tube. Putfile is very easy.
use this site (free)
http://www.savevid.com/
You-tube videos need to be saved in .flv extension so you need to get the .exe file.
Need to download an FLV Player (a 'flash' component).
1. Go to www.download.com (c-net)
2. In 'Search' type FLV Player 1.3.3 (This is a freebie download)
3. Screen comes up with the product.
4. On the right hand side of the page click 'Download', on next screen click on 'Save'
5. Follow the rest of the directions to install - easy - no problems - takes only a few minutes.
for firefox - go here-
http://javimoya.com/blog/youtube_en.php
hello all.
I have a little problem and was wondering if any of you might know what it is and/or how to solve it.
I posted the question on the SI computer thread and, either it's a very stupid question, or no one knows the answer. -g-
So, here goes -
I have xp,sp2 with wmp
If I save videos to my hard drive from putfile, (using http://www.savevid.com/) I have no problem - they save in the .wmp format.
If I try to save videos from youtube, no can do. They need to be saved in the .flv format. When I try to save them with that ext, my only option is to save in html format.
Now, here's the dumb question: The .flv ext is for flash player (adobe - the old macromedia). I have macromedia
somewhere on my computer, but I can't find it!!!
Is the flash player imbedded in (or part of) windows media player?
I'm stumped!
I went to the Adobe site and did the test.
http://www.adobe.com/cfusion/knowledgebase/index.cfm?id=tn_15511#test
It says I have version 8,0,24,0 installed but I cannot find a program specifically called Macromedia or Flash player.
Any ideas?
tia
5. Syria can stop this, but the cost to it stopping it is higher than the cost of letting it go on.
I disagree with this assessment.
Syria wants a "legitimate" excuse to come back into Lebanon.
World-wide disapproval forced them out after the assassination of Hariri. They would like nothing better than to come back in and be seen as the "liberator" of Lebanon, once again.
Lebanon is the lowly pawn in this chess game. And totally expendable, in everyone else's eye.
It will probably cause some Christians to re-think their future in Lebanon.
aj - it already has - years ago . . . . .
arbitrary line drawn to fit the result . . .
I can understand why you said that, and I agree with the BB and fib preferences. But what I found interesting is that I drew that line in early May and had not looked at the chart until I saw your post yesterday.
When I pulled up my chart, I was kind of amused to see that hammer resting on that trend line.
aj -
wrt I still can't figure out why the TNX stopped where it did today at 38.03-
In addition to pstuartb's BB's, I found this weekly chart of the tnx interesting -
http://www.ttrader.com/mycharts/display.php?p=34415&u=challo&a=challo%27s&id=1399
hi RTS -
do you remember our conversation back in March? I posted some charts of the advance/decline lines for the nyse, compq and ndx.
http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=21155812
Just to update, the adv/dec lines for the above indices don't look so good.
http://www.ttrader.com/mycharts/display.php?p=32969&u=challo&a=challo's&id=1399
http://www.ttrader.com/mycharts/display.php?p=32970&u=challo&a=challo's&id=1399
http://www.ttrader.com/mycharts/display.php?p=32971&u=challo&a=challo's&id=1399
------------
Do you also recall my post wrt the 3 peaks and dome?
http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=21155565
I drew up a chart numbering the relative spots to mimic Barbera's 3P&D chart - (all in good fun, of course -g-)
I will be interested to see how this works.
http://marketswing.com/forum/attachment.php?attachmentid=5840
-
thanks opie -
hi opie -
would you mind checking your p-mail on MS, pretty-please? -g-
dry, now -g-
and you?
aj,
Don's signals have been erratic. Notice, he needed a market to close at its highs for a weekly sell. The selling started early. -g-
Merlin uses neural nets. They really are pretty good.
btw, SI's jaime got sell signals on Thursday and JOAT got them on Friday.
so we probably go up -g-
jj, fwiw -
some comments from CB on Friday wrt the trin-
---------
I think we had four TRIN readings over 2.0 after we broke the rising wedge on March 9th. Did you happen to keep the dates of those readings?
-----
I'll check after the close. 2.0's are one thing. Readings over 2.5 are another, as they are historical rarities to occur two days in a row.
---
As I remember, the four readings were very close together (maybe 6-8 trading days). If you look, check between March 9-24. I could be wrong.
Seems that at least one of the four readings was pretty high.
-----
In March we had 3 consecutive closes above 2, and 2 consecutive closes above 2.5 (Mar 9 2.83, Mar 10 2.51, and Mar 11 2.36). On the 12th it was 0.41, and on the 15th it was 2.80.
Over that span the SPX dropped 40 handles. We got a tradable bounce that didn't last long, and the market hit its initial low a week later.
-
(In March we had 3 consecutive closes above 2, and 2 consecutive closes above 2.5 (Mar 9 2.83, Mar 10 2.51, and Mar 11 2.36). On the 12th it was 0.41, and on the 15th it was 2.80).
. . . I remember that the TRIN readings were very extreme after we closed below the rising wedge on March 9.
(Over that span the SPX dropped 40 handles).
The break of the rising wedge put SPX 1102 IN PLAY.
(We got a tradable bounce that didn't last long),
We bounced from SPX 1102 on March 16 to SPX 1125.
( and the market hit its initial low a week later).
Yeah, with the 3.0+ TRIN reading that xxx mentioned, right before we bounced off the August 6 up trendline on March 24.
I didn't like the break of SPX 1102, and didn't think that we'd rally higher than SPX 1125-1127, but we got a 63 pt. straight-up rally . . .
--
In that same time period of march 1st to 22nd, the dow gave up 600 points, and the HIGh trins exagerated the 5 and 10 day averages.
The higher trin reading of 335 on the 22nd was more indicative of the LOW point.
I would suspect the 2 highs trins of the last 2 days would lead to a similar decline into the July12th date.
Possible secondary lows around the 20th also, but after a brief option expire rebound.
well, last Sunday, Donald Sew (remember him?) had these signals (plus more at link)-
http://marketswing.com/forum/showpost.php?p=12032&postcount=78
If the Market rallies at all this week Don will probably get across-the-board Weekly Class 1 Sell signals on all indices.
What does this mean? It means that within 1 week of the signal generating the market should top off and begin to decline.
----
So, if we are up big tomorrow (like Merlin thinks), we could generate weekly sell signals. I found it interesting that AJC showed up right on cue. -g-
However, I am curious to see if those sell signals will be negated . . . .
maybe in the new bull, it's "buy" after three days -g-
Ok aj -
I'll have to wait for happy hour, though. -g-
thanks, aj
I wondered if I were in that camp alone . . . -g-
I understand what you are saying, but I actually got them from somewhere other than their site -g-
as if that means anything . . . .
btw - where's that Onischka translation? -g-
I try to grab those whenever I can . . .
My target is 2946.50, and I'm looking for a 30% dump from there
which puts us right back where we are now.
aj, are you thinking that the "bear" market is finished and we will remain in a BIG trading range for a while (a while meaning months or years) but not seeing 2002/2003 lows again?
or, are you not looking that far ahead? -g-
jj, you might like these . . .
http://trending123.com/annotated/11e0bc1e0.png
http://trending123.com/annotated/11dfbc720.png
http://trending123.com/annotated/11f2bc1e0.png
http://trending123.com/annotated/11e6bc1e0.png
http://trending123.com/annotated/11e7bc1e0.png
http://trending123.com/annotated/11e2bc1e0.png
http://trending123.com/annotated/11e1bc1e0.png
if I'm not mistaken, you are looking for that time frame for "the" high also, aren't you?
jj,
I found this on CB, postd by Porter (who also posts here at Ihub sometimes). No chart, though.
CYCLES
The four year cycle bottomed in October 2002.
As we are in a cyclical bull market I expect the top to occur after the midpoint of the cycle.
Thirty months is a guess. That equates to April 2005.
Another cycle which seems to be in play is Hadik's 45-week cycle.
That cycle also points to April 2005 as a top.
If Hadik's cycle is working there should be and IT top any time now.
If it is not working then the 9-month cycle with bottoms in October 2002, August 2003, and May 2004 would appear to be dominant.
A third cycle which has been amazingly accurate is the 12-month cycle.
That cycle points to a February 2005 top.
I have to laugh! -g-
no comments to this so far -gggg-
that and TA . . . . .