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Just looking at the 538 aggregate poll numbers and there are a few surprises.
They have the R's ahead in Governor's races in AZ by 1%, Nevada 1%, WI even, OK 1%. These are all stalwart Red states so it appears the natives are restless. History would indicate that these shouldn't be close races at all.
On the Senate side, even more drama, with R's ahead in NV by 1%, OH 1%, NC 2%, WI 3%, FL 4%. Again, seemingly close races looming in some of the reddest of the red states, with incumbents fighting for their seats.
Rubio within the margin of error? I love the smell of MAGA desperation in the morning.
Yeah, those darn Big Government Marxists. Why, under Dear Leader they gave a $1T tax cut to corporations and the very wealthy. They subsidize the fossil fuel industry and the defense industry and big agriculture. The nerve of them!
That shite is all cool to your cohort, but when you try to get some money to feed hungry children, that's socialism motherfuckers. Trying to provide money for desperately needed infrastructure repairs, where do they get off?
You have the same mindset as those who have never gotten over the New Deal, the people who will drive out of their way to spit on FDR's grave. (for real). Those, like yourself, who feel that democracy is incompatible with capitalism.
As for sortagreen, maybe he's angry that the minority of Americans is increasingly ruling over the majority, via the Supreme Court, gerrymandering, etc. As we should all be.
Democrats have won 7 out of the last 8 popular votes for President, it's clear where this country stands.
Thanks, I am enjoying it. Careful on the length of time you steam the vegetables, though, nutritional value, like memory, is fleeting.
Had a dentist when I was a kid, a friend of my parents. It turned out years later that I was able to figure out that he was doing work on my teeth that apparently didn't need to be done, like fillings. Who goes for a second opinion to another dentist about relatively minor work?
His family had an expensive lifestyle, though, guess the money had to come from somewhere. I'm figuring this situation is not uncommon.
Go vegan, or at least vegetarian, and lose weight, have more energy, feel better all around. Guaranteed.
If that person processes financial information with the same skill they process political information, it's hard to believe there is any sort of net profit as a result.
There are several Republican candidates, like Lake in AZ (see Trump), who believe in only two possible outcomes of an election. Either they won or there was significant voter fraud and it was a stolen election.
And, acting on that premise will, actually, be the death of democracy.
So we have on video Walker's ex-wife describing the FIRST time he put a gun to her head and threatened to kill her. But that's cool, right?
Warnock ran over his ex-wife's foot, no witnesses supported her assertion it was on purpose, but that's a deal breaker.
https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2020/nov/16/erick-erickson/no-proof-warnock-ran-over-wife-obstruction-case-dr/
You MAGAts are something. Just pull bullshit out your ass and think if you repeat it enough on public forums that you can get some other brain dead MAGAts to believe it.
Walker continuously lies about everything, clearly is suffering from CTE, has a history of violent and murderous threats, ignores the biological children he, at first, denied fathering, flashes his toy badge around, is about as dumb as a doorknob, but he's your guy? Got it.
Do you understand that Trump is being deposed in a libel suit? All your bullshit about the context of a rape is bullshit, he defamed her. That's what this case is about, where she works is also irrelevant.
Ever been in an upscale NYC department store and seen the layout of the dressing rooms? I didn't think so.
You live in Georgia and are complaining about border chaos. Sure, those people in South Carolina can be problematic or maybe you mean Floridians? If Kemp wins again, maybe he can go to Texas and fly a bunch of asylum seekers to Charleston. Meanwhile, who exactly is going to harvest your peaches?
Yours is a red-run state and you're complaining about crime?
https://thehill.com/opinion/campaign/3274797-we-have-a-murder-problem-in-america-especially-in-red-states/
Maybe try some Democrats, since blue states have less crime, or are you angling for marital law?
https://ballotpedia.org/Party_control_of_Georgia_state_government
How's a Senator clearly suffering from CTE going to deal with the crime issue? By flashing his toy badge around?
If free speech is being suppressed, why do I see articles quoting conservative Republicans all over the place? You want the consequences of hate speech to be lessened, that's the whole of it.
It's a little mind boggling that you're so uniformed about issues and continue to comment in an issues oriented forum. I'm tempted believe you're a plant by Democrats and doing a poor job of acting like a conservative by doing a terrible job of convincing anyone about anything.
Yes, the NY Times comment can be seen as funny, I'll grant you that, any comment section can be viewed likewise.
But there's a level of vitriolic rhetoric, and calls for violence in the Breitbart comment section that's clearly unhinged, and unmatched in other media comment sections.
If you can't see that, well, I'd advise you to not apply for a position as an astute observer of the obvious anywhere.
No, seriously, read the comments at the end of the article, they are your Breitbart fan peer group, a nasty bunch. Would you be pleased to consider yourself to be like them? (for the most part)
Breitbart is funny, you have to admit.
All individual polls are outliers, subject to a variety of anomalies. This is quite obvious to almost everyone.
That's why Nate Silver's 538 Polls are valuable, they aggregate with ratings and funders, if any, listed.
Ok, lets' see what's on there today, shall we?
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/
It's very hard to square the article in The Onion, I mean Breitbart, you posted with actual reality, but enjoy!
Well, maybe, Dear Leader shouldn't have passed the $1T tax cut that went mainly to corporations and the very wealthy. He even gave tax breaks to those who buy private planes
https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/politics/2022/10/13/ron-johnsons-children-buy-new-plane-after-federal-tax-break/10485403002/?gnt-cfr=1
But yeah, that money wouldn't have helped with our budget deficit, it's all Biden's fault, amirite?
Let the Saudis buy their military hardware from some other country. Let's see, not Russia, not Iran, not Israel, not Europe, hmm, Chinese don't seem to have much for sale, not Japan, maybe Venezuela?
They don't have all the cards.
Well put, thank you.
It appears to be that the Federal Reserve views persistent and / or increasing inflation as more of a problem than a recession. The commoners will be sacrificed to the cause of neoliberalism.
Watch for when the average national cd payout rate is 5% or more, then fasten your seatbelts.
So, this used to be a weather related site, about storms? With all due respect to F6, I think it has evolved since then. I much prefer to think of this in the way I've previously described, what does the historical context mean, now, in relation to these current posts? Although, it's true, that with climate change now in the house it might be a good idea to revisit discussions about storms, like Pakistan, for example.
With respect to the two you mentioned, it seems that taking them seriously enough to joke about them is sort of a waste of time. What's the point? They don't provide meaningful links or defend their assertions when asked directly. Is one really this desperate for amusement, that picking on handicapped children is entertaining?
I don't understand the Conix allusion. You hyped the joke, the arguments with the bolt head MAGAts can sometimes be tiresome, so on with the joke.
I mean, a "tornado alley" in real life is a storm tossed- often violently so - area, so maybe you strive for a stormy environment here? Hence the board name, Tornado Alley?
Seriously, are you a crabby old guy? Don't take it so seriously, no harm was meant or implied or attempted.
I'm spending a few days, now, in Keene Valley, up on a mountain, definitely not camping out. It's nice around here.
And it would be a lot more interesting than the pointless arguments with the local dead end MAGAts, which seem to predominate. Unless that's the idea.
ok, print the joke in two parts so no one can jump to the ending.
Plus, all the people, so far, testifying against Trump have been Republicans, several of them appointed by him.
I think the right wingers' wet dream is that there will be info on the laptop that confirms the Ukraine government was corrupt, thereby justifying Dear Leader's attempt to withhold weaponry already approved by Congress. Which wouldn't have helped Putin at all, no sir.
And somehow it will show that the Russian meddling in the 2016 was fake news. It will be additionally horrible because it will prove that Hunter's corruption far exceeded that of any other politician's kids, it will put to shame the $600M that Javanka made during the Obese One's term.
https://www.citizensforethics.org/reports-investigations/crew-investigations/jared-and-ivanka-made-up-to-640-million-in-the-white-house/
It doesn't matter what they find because the R's will lie on television about what's on the laptop and their non-reading base will believe it and be incentivized to vote for them in the midterms.
Maybe the base will come out to vote, anyway, because they don't like the way Biden is handling the economy. And as wing nuts like Conix make abundantly clear, they don't even need to be able to have an explanation about how he's not handling it well.
Hence the phrase, ignorance is bliss.
Wait, you don't want to post a joke because it's too long? Going by several of your posts, that's a joke, too, right?
A good joke always bears repeating, no matter the length. Phrasing like yours is just a tease, please, please tell us.
Republicans believe in socialism for the wealthy and let everyone else fight it out for the leftovers. Capitalism for the working class is crucial, let them live on the minimum wage, just make sure unions are busted and pensions are eliminated. Income inequality are us!
In addition to the various industries that are government subsidized, with management making big salaries, the beachfront homes of the fabulous are rebuilt on the taxpayer dime after major storms. Etc.
Let's not even get started on "foreign aid" which is your basic money laundering scheme. It takes taxpayer money, washes it though foreign agents, then mandates it be spent in the private sector on American made products.
But let's gut Social Security and Medicare, that's the answer, and let hungry kids go back to work in factories.
Here's how to judge management of the economy. If you don't understand what this is, ask around:
Year
Federal Deficit
Change (current yr-previous Year)
2016
$600 Billion
2017
$700 Billion
$100 Billion
2018
$800 Billion
$100 Billion
2019
$1,000 Billion
$200 Billion
2020
$3,200 Billion
$2,200 Billion
2021
$2.800 Billion
- 400 Billion
2021 (11 Mo)
$2.720 Billion
2022 (11 Mo)
$945 Billion
-1,775 Billion
p.s., this means Biden is on course to reduce the deficit by $1.7T this year. In the glory years of Your Savior, it appears to have gone up by $1T.
It's interesting to compare what's going on in Iran with what's going on here in America. While many Iranians have taken to the streets to demand a more "American" lifestyle, the Conservatives and Republicans and MAGAts in America are striving for a more Iranian lifestyle.
Iranians are fighting, literally, for a more secular government while the American rightists are striving for a more religious based government. The protesters over there are demanding more rights for women as the American Taliban demands fewer rights for women.
The ruling claque of Iran has labeled protesters as enemies of the nation in a similar fashion to the White Nationalists here claiming the BLM protests were the same. Funny how we admire their struggle for equal rights for women while denigrating a similar looking struggle for equal rights for brown skinned people here.
And some will claim that irony is dead. Tell that to the Iranians who are trying to desperately get what we have while the Regressive Party here is trying to desperately get what they have.
I very much doubt that. Maybe the demand they create brings in service and medical and educational jobs, restaurants, hotels? A horrible state of affairs!
It also brings educated liberal leaning voters into previously red strongholds, I guess that's what is really bothering you about the situation.
Were you much against Trump tax cuts? They totally contributed to wealth inequality
https://www.americanprogress.org/article/trumps-corporate-tax-cut-not-trickling/
https://www.forbes.com/sites/christianweller/2019/05/30/the-2017-tax-cuts-didnt-work-the-data-prove-it/?sh=6b04a2358c13
Because smart people who make more money tend to live in liberal areas?
Figures you'd have a problem with girls wanting to get into the sciences or computer stuff.
And, there've never been been men fashion designers or interior designers or whatever, things that girls like, too.
What do any elections (and what's a "Democrat position") have to do with personal fulfillment?
Would you mandate everyone be as miserable as you seem to be? Yours is a sad life, by all indications - to be bothered by this nothing burger while there are so many real problems out there.
I get it, in lieu of any policy ideas, you try to exacerbate a culture war as a deflection from your absence of ideas.
Oh wait, my bad. I remember that your plans to improve the economy is to repeatedly state that Biden is doing a poor job - with no ability to support that assertion.
Know the room.
Republicans are busy trying to take rights away from women not encouraging them to expand their horizons as children. The Evangelists and Dominionists amongst us, and there are a lot of them, believe that women should be subservient to men.
I can't understand why they're so offended by gender selection and appropriate behavior. Like, how does it affect them, personally?
I have a childhood friend, a guy, who married a woman who's also a childhood friend, ,they've been together since high school. After they had been married for about 40 years and had 3 adult children, the guy decided to transition to a woman, which he's done.
And you know what? His family doesn't give a shit so why should anyone else?
An exhaustive review of the headscarf in history. I think the discussion, as much as I could follow, falls apart, though, when it lumps together women wearing headscarfs as a fashion accessory with those who are mandated to wear them.
No woman was ever arrested by the fashion police, and later murdered, for wearing a headscarf unfashionably or incorrectly.
Meh. Races always tighten as you get closer to the election.
Of course you cite Breitbart, which is an outlier poll. I guess you embrace fake news when it suits your purpose. How about the aggregate polling?
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/governor/2022/michigan/
Which has Whitmer up overall by 11%.
And if you want to talk about races tightening, how are Vance, RoJo, Walker, and the rest of the MAGA crew doing?
I wish you wouldn't bring up Conix's views to oppose, they are generally uniformed and link-less. It's sort of like claiming you are better read or tougher than a child who lives on your street.
Who cares what that person, man or woman, writes, why do you bother?
Otherwise, yes, you'd think the little ladies would be happy enough to have the vote, but, no!, now they want control of their own bodies. Will they never learn their place?
It's so convenient to have Eve as the scapegoat for humanity's woes and to take that anger out on modern women. Maybe in the future, religious fanatics will be equally upset by the misdeeds of a woman Marvel super hero and act accordingly.
The head covering thing goes back to St Paul and, much like the views of gun enthusiasts in America, you'd (wrongly, I guess) expect those opinions would evolve as the situation on the ground changes over the course of hundreds or thousands of years.
There's surprisingly little news, in the West, about the protests by women happening all over Afghanistan against the Taliban lifestyle.
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/10/3/afghan-women-protest-against-recent-attack-on-kabul-school
Odd that women are protesting for their rights against repressive religious regimes in various countries, while, at the same time, conservatives in America are trying to curtail women's rights.
Just reading about hair throughout history this morning. Apparently Paul was the first one on record calling for women to wear head scarves, as a symbol both to their devotion to a Supreme Being and their subservience to men.
Yup. Hard to view their work in Ukraine as anything other than war crimes.
Seems that he is, true.
These hare brained conspiracies fuel the fringe far right. It turns out facts are whatever you want to believe. What if I told you that a good number of people seriously believed that Democrats were running a child sex operation out of the basement of a pizzeria in DC that doesn't have a basement?
Or that JFK Jr is still alive? Looks like a fair number of American Conservatives had parents who were siblings.
Really? Those are some serious stats, haven't seen them before. Totally believable, Russia's military has been shockingly inept on every level.
I don't understand what Putin views as his end game in all this. He's making NATO stronger and the EU larger and, at this rate, is liable to re-lose Crimea, too.
There's a good novel by Anthony Marra, A Constellation of Vital Phenomena, that deals with the brutality of the Russian occupation of Chechnya. And Russian troops were famous for the vast numbers of German women they raped at the end of WWII.
Fuck 'em.
The Russian situation is inexplicably weird. It seems like not too long ago they found out in Afghanistan how hard it is, impossible, to overtake and control a country whose people are willing and skilled fighters.
And, what I've been seeing about Putin seems analogous to what the US leadership did in Vietnam. He's hearing what he wants to hear from the generals he wants to hear it from, in the same way that our Presidents were fed misinformation about how well our invasion of Vietnam was proceeding. Which dragged it on long after its expiration date.
I think we're inching closer to Vlad being backed into a corner and seeing tactical nukes as the solution, he's definitely setting the table for it. Now we'll see if there's a palace coup, if his generals will seize power from him before he blows up the world. I think they will.
At least she didn't pass on classified info to Vlad
https://www.npr.org/2017/05/15/528511980/report-trump-gave-classified-information-to-russians-during-white-house-visit
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trump-russia/trump-revealed-intelligence-secrets-to-russians-in-oval-office-officials-idUSKCN18B2MX
Totally cool, amirite?
Oh, and remember this? No quid pro quo, for sure.
https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2017/05/eric-trump-russia-investment-golf-course
https://thehill.com/homenews/news/332270-eric-trump-in-2014-we-dont-rely-on-american-banks-we-have-all-the-funding-we/
Republicans have a history of nominating for various offices either entertainment or sports stars who are mentally deficient or are sociopaths. Or Both.
Off the top of my head we have George Murphy, Reagan, Jim Bunning, Walker, Trump, Jack Kemp (marginally smarter), JC Watts, Arnold S, Fred Thompson, Linda McMahon, there are a lot of them.
On the other side of the aisle, I'm thinking Bill Bradley, who was a Rhodes Scholar and Al Franken, a Harvard guy who was also a best selling author and head writer for SNL.