Explore small cap ideas before they hit the headlines.
Explore small cap ideas before they hit the headlines.
Is Weil Trying To Confuse Us? Post by ghostofreag... on Y Board:
8-Feb-10 08:34 pm
Just filed:
http://www.ghostofwamu.com/documents/08-...
It says the March Omnibus hearing on the 8th has been moved from 10:30 to 11:30. The only problem was the hearing was scheduled for the 4th at 10:30, not the 8th. So is Weil trying to confuse us so we show up (or listen in) on the wrong day?
This was the original document they refer to:
http://www.ghostofwamu.com/documents/08-...
I'am "out of here". Everyone have great day.
I agree. THE FDIC STOLE a "SOLVENT" (A>L) bank (WAMUQ) that is currently selling at "INSOLVENT"(A<L) bankruptcy prices. What a tremendous bargain and opportnity of a lifetime!!! lol. eom
“Does the .20s seem like the new baseline?”
WAMUCrazy, some very smart people believe that “support” and “resistance” areas/levels (“demand” and “supply”, .i.e., “buying” and “selling” areas/levels) should be drawn with a crayon and not with a pencil. Therefore, in keeping with that basic idea, I would say that the new support/baseline is in the $0.18 to $0.20 area/range.
Of course, this is all imo.
Hi xoom,
Yes. I was a kind of “geek” when I was a kid. And the fact that you know about the great investors/traders shows that you are knowledgeable about them also. I believe that one can study and learn from the great investors/traders.
Very interesting day in court today. The only questions in my mind are: "How much will the settlement be?" and "When?" I attempted to answer those questions for myself (and shared them with the members of this board) with my Post # 146762 yesterday. i.e., $9.18 Minimum Price Projection for WAMUQ (by Friday, February 12, 2010?????). I may be "off" with the time frame, but I feel very confident with the $9.18 Minimum Price Projection (Most on the board seem to agree that settlement to occur with 30 days). Therefore, I took today's decline as an opportunity to accumulate a few more shares. I especially noted the following posts by silicon valley au and mordicai:
silicon valley au: Mordi, what is your speculation on how this settles, i.e. all cash, stock swap, or cash and stock swap?
mordicai: partial cash and stock swap. JPM doesn't care if it dilutes its shareholders. FDIC has to pony up the cash. I think $12 PLUS is in the cards.
Let’s see what happens.
(Note: I would have responded to your post sooner, but I ran out of posts yesterday).
mehedi, You're welcome.
Yes. That's true. And if you have your "tickets"/WAMUQ shares, then it really won't matter will it? eom
Wonderful analogy, fsshon. Those the market manipulators can’t “fake” out/and or “shake” out, --- they can “tire” out.
Jesse Livermore (the legendary trader who wrote REMINISCENSECES OF A STOCK OPERATOR), said that a Trader must “Be Right” and “Sit Tight”. However, he said that the most difficult thing for him to learn was to have patience and “Sit Tight”. And one of the posters (I was unable to find the posts) on this board at the conclusion of his (or her) posts always had the quotation that in essence said that the difference between success and failure was having patience or not having patience.
hardasset, only time and subsequent events will tell. eom
freddy80, When (not if) that happens....lol eom
fsshon, that is exactly what diamondguru-one says will happen: WAMUQ will be halted and reopened at a different price.
Thank you.
Yes. I could be “way off” on the timing (but not the minimum price projection). As Warren E. Buffett says, He tries to determine "what will happen", and not worry about "when it will happen".
That I made a similar prediction back in September of 2009 is true. Any "good scientist" revises his theory in the light of additional data. Therefore, I have revised my prediction accordingly.
The key to the “Minimum Price Projection” is the “Breakout” above the “TD Supply Line”. That “Breakout” did not occur until January 29, 2010. Remember that was the day after the "official approval" of the EC (and the very first day of trading after approval of the EC. The market was closed at the time of the January 28, 2010 bk court hearing). And think about it, prior to then, we WAMUQ common stock holders would have been “wiped out” but for the EC. But with the EC the whole "game" has changed.
So, What has changed with WAMUQ since then? We have an EC. And the EC makes all the difference in the world for we WAMUQ shareholders. I feel very confident of the minimum price projection. However, I am not so sure of the "time factor", because that is my “unproven” hypothesis. To quote mordicai: “EC is formed, that is all I need to know. soon or later this baby
pays...BIG”.
Hi, mehedi , I read mostly all of your posts and I am a great fan of yours. And I only share this “secret” (not widely known) research with you and members of this board because I have benefited so much from your (and members of this board’s) DD that you all have given so freely.
Why Friday?
Friday, February 12, 2010 is my own innovation/hypothesis that I derived from Thomas R. DeMark’s “Price Symmetry” Theory. It is 14 days added to WAMUQ’s January 29, 2010 “breakout” above the TD (Thomas R. DeMark) Supply Line. I consider this to be my hypothesis that is of course subject to future verification.
who is this person sir?
Thomas R. DeMark is not well known to the public. Thomas R. DeMark’s work as a consultant has been mostly restricted to large institutions and many of the legendary traders in the world today. He has advised the companies and individuals such as George Soros, Michael Steinhardt, Laurence Tisch, Paul Tudor Jones, Charlie (“D”) DiFrancesca, Larry Williams, Goldman Sachs, Citibank, Morgan Bank, IBM Pension, Minnesota Mining Pension, Atlantic Richfield Pension, etc.
$9.18 Minimum Price Projection is not so outrageous. Go back and re-read posts by wamuvoodoo; mordicai; diamondguru-one (..."2 TIMES VALUE PLUS); etc. Imo, The only question is (not "what will occur"? but rather) "when will it occur"?, i.e., the timing. If you become impatient and want to "flip”, or get discouraged by “the bashers” and sell, you will “lose out” on “an opportunity of a life time”.
Why is WAMUQ still trading at $0.22? imo, WAMUQ is still trading at $0.22 because of the two (2) following reasons:
1. Market Manipulation. As you may or may not know, prices of this stock is being manipulated (for various reasons) in order to keep the price low. The fact that WAMUQ is being manipulated has been pointed out by others on this board. Read their posts especially the ones by diamondguru-one.
2. “Mr. Market”. imo, There are really two (2) prices for WAMUQ. One is the (real) “Intrinsic Ultimate “Settlement” Price and/or “Court Determined” price and the other is the Current prevailing “Mr. Market” Price(s). Do yourself a “big favor” and read about “Mr. Market” pages 63+; Chapter II A - Corporate Finance and Investing from THE ESSAYS OF WARREN BUFFETT: LESSONS FOR CORPORATE AMERICA by Warren E. Buffett; First Revised Edition; Library of Congress cataloging-in- Publication Data, HG4061.B8372 2001 and or ISBN 0-9664461-1-9. WARREN gives a beautiful discussion regarding "Mr. Market" written by his Financial Guru, Benjamin Graham.
Joyce in her last post on her website, (before it was deactivated because she is now a member of the ec), said that there was going to be lots of "fire works" in the following months. So…
Suggestion: Yes. Be a an Intelligent Investor: “…remove all sell limit orders, and wait for the $9.18 Minimum Price Projection. Sit back, relax, and enjoy the “fire works”. It’s going to be so much fun!!! lol.
I could be "off" with the time frame, but imho the $9.18 Minimum Price Projection is highly probable. eom
I'll take you up on that!!! lol eom
$9.18 Minimum Price Projection* for WAMUQ (by Friday, February 12, 2010?**)
*$9.18 Minimum Price Projection Based on Thomas R. DeMark’s “Price Symmetry” Theory, [Chapter 1 –Trendline, pages 5+ (especially Price Projections pages 22+)] from his book: THE NEW SCIENCE OF TECHNICAL ANALYSIS; copyright 1994 by Thomas R. DeMark; Published by John Wiley & Sons, Inc.; New York - Chichester – Brisbane – Toronto – Singapore;
ISBN 0-471-03548-3.
**Friday, February 12, 2010 time frame hypothesis derived from Tom’s “Price Symmetry” Theory.
Let’s see what happens.
Suggestion: Mark this post.
I agree!!!!!
Happy Birthday SF!!!!!
Happy birthday to you!!!
Happy birthday to you!!!
Happy birthday dear SF!!!
Happy birthday to you!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
lol
That EC sure made an unforgettable perfect birthday present for you!!!!! eom
Wow. How unfortunate for your friends. eom
Sorry. My error: This is Washington Federal Savings and Loan Association, Seattle, Washington, not WMI.
Washington Federal Savings and Loan Association, Seattle, Washington, Assumes All the Deposits of Horizon Bank, Bellingham, WashingtonFriday, January 8, 2010 6:07 PM
From: "FDIC Subscriptions" <subscriptions@fdic.gov>
Press Release
Washington Federal Savings and Loan Association, Seattle, Washington, Assumes All the Deposits of Horizon Bank, Bellingham, Washington
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
January 8, 2010 Media Contact:
David Barr (202) 898-6992
Cell: (703) 622-4790
Email: dbarr@fdic.gov
Horizon Bank, Bellingham, Washington, was closed today by the Washington State Department of Financial Institutions, which appointed the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) as receiver. To protect the depositors, the FDIC entered into a purchase and assumption agreement with Washington Federal Savings and Loan Association, Seattle, Washington, to assume all of the deposits of Horizon Bank.
The 18 branches of Horizon Bank will reopen during their normal business hours beginning tomorrow as branches of Washington Federal Savings and Loan Association. Depositors of Horizon Bank will automatically become depositors of Washington Federal Savings and Loan Association. Deposits will continue to be insured by the FDIC, so there is no need for customers to change their banking relationship to retain their deposit insurance coverage. Customers should continue to use their existing branch until they receive notice from Washington Federal Savings and Loan Association that it has completed systems changes to allow other Washington Federal Savings and Loan Association branches to process their accounts as well.
This evening and over the weekend, depositors of Horizon Bank can access their money by writing checks or using ATM or debit cards. Checks drawn on the bank will continue to be processed. Loan customers should continue to make their payments as usual.
As of September 30, 2009, Horizon Bank had approximately $1.3 billion in total assets and $1.1 billion in total deposits. Washington Federal Savings and Loan Association did not pay the FDIC a premium to assume all the deposits the Horizon Bank. In addition to assuming all of the deposits of the failed bank, Washington Federal Savings and Loan Association agreed to purchase essentially all of the assets of the failed bank.
The FDIC and Washington Federal Savings and Loan Association entered into a loss-share transaction on approximately $1.0 billion of Horizon Bank's assets. Washington Federal Savings and Loan Association will share in the losses on the asset pools covered under the loss-share agreement. The loss-share transaction is projected to maximize returns on the assets covered by keeping them in the private sector. The transaction also is expected to minimize disruptions for loan customers. For more information on loss share, please visit: http://www.fdic.gov/bank/individual/failed/lossshare/index.html.
Customers who have questions about today's transaction can call the FDIC toll-free at 1-800-430-6165. The phone number will be operational this evening until 9:00 p.m., Pacific Standard Time (PST); on Saturday from 9:00 a.m. to 6:00 p.m., PST; on Sunday from noon to 6:00 p.m., PST; and thereafter from 8:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m., PST. Interested parties also can visit the FDIC's Web site at http://www.fdic.gov/bank/individual/failed/horizon-wa.html.
The FDIC estimates that the cost to the Deposit Insurance Fund (DIF) will be $539.1 million. Washington Federal Savings and Loan Association's acquisition of all the deposits was the "least costly" resolution for the FDIC's DIF compared to all alternatives. Horizon Bank is the first FDIC-insured institution to fail in the nation this year, and the first in Washington. The last FDIC-insured institution closed in the state was Venture Bank, Lacey, on September 11, 2009.
# # #
Congress created the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation in 1933 to restore public confidence in the nation's banking system. The FDIC insures deposits at the nation's 8,099 banks and savings associations and it promotes the safety and soundness of these institutions by identifying, monitoring and addressing risks to which they are exposed. The FDIC receives no federal tax dollars – insured financial institutions fund its operations.
FDIC press releases and other information are available on the Internet at www.fdic.gov, by subscription electronically (go to www.fdic.gov/about/subscriptions/index.html) and may also be obtained through the FDIC's Public Information Center (877-275-3342 or 703-562-2200). PR-4-2010
The FDIC does not send unsolicited e-mail. If this publication has reached you in error, or if you no longer wish to receive this service, please unsubscribe.
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fsshon, What is WASHINGTON MUT INC CONV7.75%SER R WAMPQ?
It looks like it is some kind of convertible preferred stock. And if so, do you know the terms of coversion into WAMUQ?
I Just Sent My Message. eom
I Just Sent My Message. eom
Thanks Dan. Moderators, Please make this a "sticky" eom.
I previously registered my shares with Joyce at www.wamuequity.org/
However, she has already submitted the list to the attorney that gave it to the Bankruptcy Trustee who in turn is going to present it to the court.
I got some more at 0.095s!!! eom
Chiron, Thanks for your comments and observations. eom
EC = Equity Committee for WAMU stockholders/shareholders. Wamuequity.org has been trying to establish an Equity Committee for WAMU stockholders/shareholders for some time now. However, since David Bonderman/TPG control 50.2% of common stock, there is a question as to whether or not an Equity Committee is needed. As a BIGHAMMER says: when David Bonderman/TPG gets paid; BIGHAMMER gets paid; (and we all get paid).
See http://www.wamuequity.org/ for additional information.
Great Posts, fsshon!!!!!
I agree. “What really matters and that is where the center of the legal struggle is if the seizure was of a solvent bank or not, if it was fraudulent or not.”
And did WAMU received “fair liquidation value” for its’ assets acquired by JPM?. Remember that a primary purpose of the Bankruptcy court is to insure equity/fairness and insure that WAMU receives “fair liquidation value” for its’ assets acquired by JPM.
Proper link: www.kccllc.net/documents/0812229/0812229081119000000000001.pdf
NOLs preserve commons
19-Nov-09 04:36 pm by flowlogic6 on Y Board
Page2 point # 3.Please explain.Looks like this is huge for us.
http://www.kccllc.net/documents/0812229/...
Thanks mordicai,
I am always enlightened by reading your posts. eom
mordicai, Will you address the following question by matt2216 from the Y Board? (I didn’t see a response to the question by Bop):
Bop a question about Re-org... 12-Nov-09 12:06 pm
From the latest filing:
The recent amendments to the Bankruptcy Code impose a hard deadline of March 10,2010 on the Debtors' exclusive period to file a chapter 11 plan. If the Debtors recover the Deposits from JPMC, they will be well-positioned to file a plan in advance of their exclusivity deadline. Without the Deposits, however, the Debtors will not be able to construct a viable plan beneficial to their creditors.
The question is this: I know that exclusivity is essential for the debtors to stay in control of their future. Will they be able to put together a viable plan with the litigation still outstanding? Doesn't this mean that the litigation, claims, etc. need to be wrapped up by this date or can the debtors somehow get an extension if these issues are still outstanding? Can the plan include coming out of bankruptcy at some point in time in the future when the litigation is settled (in other words have an unexecuted plan just as long as the plan is in place to satisfy this requirement of the 18 month deadline?)
Thanks for your help.
Some Interesting Posts By vivianbalbo...; marymbobh; bopfan; and matt2216 on The Y Board:
vivianbalbo...
I'm Blown Away by WMI Response to FDIC 12-Nov-09 02:19 am.
Thanks to Rover and Ghost for highlighting WMI's latest response to FDIC's request for relief from the stay previously imposed in the BK case. All SINCERE longs should read this brief carefully. I know it's 26 pages of very dense legal argument, but it is brilliant, devastating and full of positive implications for WAMU longs. I would really love to hear Bop's insights on these developments.
See http://www.ghostofwamu.com/documents/08-...
Caveat: It's 10 p.m. PST, I've just returned from a 500-mile drive and 5 days of fun-in-the-sun and surfing in San Diego, and have a couple of scotches under my belt, so I'm not really not in a position for incisive comment here (nlu55 isn't the only one who has a nightcap), but allow me to observe:
(1) This response to FDIC is subtle and yet overwhelmingly correct on so many different levels. One begins to see wheels-within-wheels in WMI's previous legal strategy. It's almost as if, a year ago, WMI was beginning to set up FDIC and JPM for this point, today.
(2) The argument about WMBfsb (which holds almost all of WMI's $4B disputed deposits) having passed (obviously) to JPM OUTSIDE OF the FDIC receivership makes one conclude that that is precisely why, sensing the possible FDIC takeover move in Sept. 2008, Weil (who was already retained by WMI) counseled WMI to move its deposits to the "little bank" (fsb) in order to stymie the FDIC and JPM, and protect those legitimate deposits.
(3) Weil & its co-counsel (Richards, Layton & Finger and Elliott Greenleaf, and Quinn Emanuel) saw the FDIC's 9.5 argument coming a LONG time ago and were totally prepared, ready, and loaded for bear when it came. There is no way that they could have gotten such a thorough, authoritative, and densely documented brief together so quickly unless it was already anticipated. This team is the best!
(4) On page 20 (note the bold-faced, italicized passage) and page 22 (noting the FDIC's "newly-minted threat to reverse course and do what it aid it wouldn't do . . .") WMI's attorneys are really amping up the rhetoric and high-lighting the FDIC's hypocrisy and its transparent collusion with JPM to make a mockery of the bankruptcy court by "unseemingly gamesmanship". This cannot but help make THJMW incensed at both JPM and FDIC.
(5) In making it's argument for relief from the stay order, FDIC has totally undermined its argument against the motion for summary judgment.
Rover and others on other threads today have made other pertinent observations, with which I concur. But beyond those, I see this brief as a tipping point, where WMI has thrown down a gauntlet, of sorts. Now that the procedural niceties of "due process of law" have been satisfied, I expect Judge Walrath to deny the FDIC's request to lift the stay in short order and to grant the motion for summary judgment soon thereafter.
IMHO . . . GLTA
Sentiment : Hold
vivianbalbo...
July MOR shows $4BB issue resolution needed 29-Aug-09 07:11 pm
I'm no accountant, but reviewing the July 31st MOR statement posted on kccllc, the numbers underscore why resolution of the $4 billion deposit account issue is important for both the short and long term: In short, WMI is spending a lot more money (mainly on lawyers) than it is taking in. I'm not trying to create anxiety here, just throwing out information which may be instructive.
While WMI shows $2,178,000 in receipts for July, $650,000 of that is listed as "interest" on the JPM deposit accounts, and that begs the question of whether JPM is actually paying out that interest or if it's just on paper. Also, the vast majority of the "receipts" are the $1,500,000 listed as "interest and investment returns" from a B of A bank account with an opening balance of only $3,800,000, meaning to me that stocks or other assets in that account were sold and withdrawn during the month, as it obviously couldn't just be bank interest.
But that's not the whole story: They show $3,638,000 in actual disbursements for July, almost all for lawyers and litigation services, almost twice the "receipts" for the month. And, even then, it appears that not all the lawyers are actually being paid in a timely fashion. Looking at page 5, Weil, Alvarez & Marshall, and some of the smaller firms weren't paid anything at all in July. (As you know, BK lawyers can't get paid unless and until they submit a detailed billing to the court and get court approval for the bankrupt estate to pay it.) And on page 12 there is a listing of accounts payable totaling $6.7 million, with $1 million owed to Quinn and $2.8 million owed to A & M. (Interestingly, Quinn is not even on this list, which means to me that they haven't yet submitted a bill.) Elsewhere, a total of "professional fees" cumulative-to-date is listed as $53 million, which comes to about $5 million per month of "money burn" for lawyers since BK was filed.
Although in the long run the above facts shouldn't make any difference (and I'm sure our Masters-of-the-Universe lawyers are worth the up to $950 per hour they charge), in the short run it appears to mean WMI will have liquidity problems until it can actually get its hands on the $4 billion. This also provides a strong motive for why JPM has been blustering and prevaricating to delay resolution of the issue: JPM is hoping it can strangle WMI financially and thereby impede its will to fight on the other issues. Why agree to give your adversary a huge war chest to use against you if maybe you can wear them down?
This also may explain in part why Weil, A & M and Quinn haven't filed any billing statements with the BK court lately: They've agreed to defer payment until the $4 billion issue is resolved, and have no reason to file detailed statements with the court when the estate doesn't have enough current liquid funds to pay them anyway.
The positive flip side of this is that it indicates a real confidence on the part of our lawyers as to the ultimate outcome of the litigation, which will result in payment to them in full. Understand that bankruptcy attorneys traditionally to NOT get paid on a contingent basis, i.e., they're not like personal injury attorneys who get a percentage (usually around 30%) of the judgment. BK lawyers get paid on an hourly basis, as authorized by the court.
So, to me, although the $4 billion will hopefully be just a large drop in the bucket in the long term, winning this issue ASAP is very important to the overall strategy.
JMHO. Any thoughts?
marymbobh:
Countdown to Summary Judgment 13-Nov-09 11:17 am
Everyone is wondering when the bankruptcy court will give its decision on WAMUQ's Motion for Summary Judgment for the turnover of the $4 billion. The importance of this decision is significant. If WAMUQ wins, it would mean that the court agrees that they had $4 billion in cash at the time that WMB bank was seized and placed into receivership. That would be a big help for WAMUQ in their case against the FDIC in DC Court. Also, WAMUQ would have a warchest of $4 billion in cash which would be far more than needed to sustain all of the litigation through to the ultimate bitter end and terminate JPM's and the FDIC's war against the banking system. So...when will the decision happen? Based on past decisions, it should happen before Thanksgiving which is 11/26. And...the judge will probably want to get it out before the 11/24 hearing. So...my prediction (just for the fun of it) is that the opinion will come out on the friday before the hearing...which would be November 20.
Sentiment : Buy
bopfan
Clarke's Silly, Empty Threat 23-Oct-09 08:33 pm
A number of people were unnerved by John Clarke's threat to compel JPM to give the FDIC the $3.7 billion. There is no reason for any concern.
A debtor's estate consists of "ALL legal OR equitable interests of the debtor in property" as of the commencement of the case. Section 541(a). http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/usc_se... Congress made this very broad description of estate property for a reason: to prevent creditors from claiming that property in question doesn't come within the definition of Section 541. As you can see, any conceivable type of property is covered by Congress' definition, including bank deposits.
Property of a bankruptcy estate cannot be interfered with absent court order. See Section 362(a)(3). http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/usc_se... Moreover, that protection is in effect until, among other things, (1) the property is no longer property of the estate (362(c)(1)), or (2) the case is dismissed (362(c)(3)), which is what many of us expect will happen in a settlement.
The writings and depositions WMI has submitted to the court are compelling evidence that the money belongs to WMI, though the court has not ruled on the matter. This evidence is enough to trigger the protection of Sections 362 and 541 -- and Clarke knows it.
The only thing that could override the protections in Sections 362 and 541 would be a FIRREA provision placing authority to adjudicate the money in the hands of the D.C. district court, notwithstanding Chapter 11. Such a provision only exists in the FDIC's dreams, because if it existed Clarke et al. would have cited it in neon lights.
As there is no such provision, Clarke wouldn't dare tell the FDIC to compel JPM to turnover the money (JPM wouldn't do it anyway for fear of violating the automatic stay).
Every lawyer in the courtroom knew that Clarke was making a fool of himself, and the only people who were frightened were some lay people on this board and day traders fearful the FDIC could drag things out. While the latter is certainly true, both JPM and the FDIC know they can't move that money without Judge Walrath's consent, and from what I know about this case that isn't forthcoming.
Rating :
matt2216
Bop a question about Re-org... 12-Nov-09 12:06 pm
From the latest filing:
The recent amendments to the Bankruptcy Code impose a hard deadline of March 10,2010 on the Debtors' exclusive period to file a chapter 11 plan. If the Debtors recover the Deposits from JPMC, they will be well-positioned to file a plan in advance of their exclusivity deadline. Without the Deposits, however, the Debtors will not be able to construct a viable plan beneficial to their creditors.
The question is this: I know that exclusivity is essential for the debtors to stay in control of their future. Will they be able to put together a viable plan with the litigation still outstanding? Doesn't this mean that the litigation, claims, etc. need to be wrapped up by this date or can the debtors somehow get an extension if these issues are still outstanding? Can the plan include coming out of bankruptcy at some point in time in the future when the litigation is settled (in other words have an unexecuted plan just as long as the plan is in place to satisfy this requirement of the 18 month deadline?)
Thanks for your help.
lol. I Love it!!! eom