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So far so good.
How? Not all is in their control?
Just you wait - it's coming!
I am still puzzled by the "two month" reference by Ashkan. By my count it was four months, from May 10 to Sept 10 almost to the day. Can someone elucidate his meaning?
At what website can we Dr Ashcans presentation? Or can you present a summary of what he said?
How I see the trading of the last several weeks.
first, the trading range was narrow - but limited to a near certain daily decline of a penny or two. This had the effect that the effect that the volume shrunk even further, as retail buyers stopped buying. Why buy today, when it is a sure loss and I can buy it later cheaper. So I imagine (not sure if this is legal) that NWBO or some other large interested party hired some MMs to backstop the share price in daily trading - so witness the current trading pattern. Some initial price rise that gets capped by mid day, and even gets into negative territory, but then the MMs go into action and pop the SP up to near the open, so that the investors where no longer being presented with a sure loss short term. BUT, it was still dead money still presenting no urge to buy for many. Now as we get closer to an inevitable ASM PR, the final move at the close has changed to a small but regular rise in SP at the end of the day. Unfortunately, most investors still remember the days when the londs and shorts battled and over several days there was a multi penny rise in share price that at the end of the week or after several days was totally lost in a half hour or less by a bear attack that took back all of the last weeks gains. Investors are tired of this kind of action and wary of putting in their dollars too early - even if they are a committed long for the long term play..
The only thing to change these similar patterns will be be real hard news - not innuendo, bread crumbs or telephone calls with DI. We all hope this materializes sooner rather than later. I surely hope that the prediction of some for Sept-Oct happen.
Can anyone comment on the ability by and insider. to hire a MM to daily backstop the share price. Does this violate and regs and make the SEC unhappy?
I would not have chosen T-DM1 as it has no meaning that a buyer can identify with, as opposed to DCVAX.
thanks for this. I appreciate the information.
I am sure that there are many who are very familiar, but i am also sure there are many others who are not. I am certainly not suggesting a dissertation length post or anything that comprehensive, but a bit of basics as to what lines on the graphs are referred to and some mark up as to the area of interest and perhaps from time to time a sentence or two of explanation. Of course it is up to you how large a section of the iHubbers you wish to address with your post. Any help would be appreciated.
Thank you for that. Explanation of the analysis would be great, but very basic stuff such as an indication of which lines are being referred to, and in particular which section of the graph is the telling portion such as "the coiled xxx is ready to spring..." For example from your last post "Weekly Wedge Breakout and 200 MA taken back" ??. or "Bullish Divergence" ?? "many Indicators" ?? "RSI & TSI (Black Line crossed above Red Line)" - what are they? or "Support Trend Line. PMO Coiled to max and Black Line held" ?? or "STRONG. Long Term MACD Histo" and "right side and wrong side of the EMA" - ??
I mean, what you take for granted, many of us have no idea about , like the jargon, or what it means or predicts, and why it predicts what it predicts. this may be more than you want to do, but it could come in repetitive bits and drabs. It does not have to be a very long post right up front.
Hi Judge,
You may be aware that I am skeptical of the value of TA. Nevertheless I appreciate the posts you and Sojo take the time to post. Maybe I will learn something new - who knows,
But I have a suggestion for you. To the uninitiated like myself (most of us) your post is a mumble and jumble of lines all over the place that give me very little meaning or method in how to read the information provided. Sojo post the basic thrust of what the chart tells us. I am sure the charts are full of meaning to those familiar with TA, but meaningless to those like me. Perhaps you might comment on each chart you post what the chart is meant to tell us and what each of the many lines and areas on the chart mean.
Thanx.
I find it amazing how those last few seconds of the day affect the value of the company at our current share price. At 3:59:38 the share price was $0.697 and at 3:59:44 the last transaction was for 1,740 shares at $0.690 which dropped the value by about 1%. think about it, a sale worth about $1200 (.69 X 1740) reduced the market cap of this company by about $8,280,000.
...or more, if all gors well over the next years.
I spoke with Less a couple of weeks ago when the Cs were introduced, and from reading between the lines on what he told me on the JA I believe that the to and fro on the review is taking longer than they thought and getting tiresome. No idea how far they have progressed since then.
and several trials with DCVAC-Direct on several different solid tumors.
I am sorry to hear about your mother's passing. what you tell us about her other treatment, seems to anecdotally suggest that when DCVAX-L is approved, much thought should be given to dropping the associated radiation and chemo treatments that may actually work to weaken the immune system and hinder the benefits of DCVAX and also ruin the quality of life that might be had with DCVAX alone.
I live in Canada, so I also need to know if the warrant treatment under Canadian tax law is different than in the US.
Yes, very good PM. The section you high lighted in red seems would be applicable to LP,
Assuming that my warrants would be called non-compensatory, then this paragraph probably applies to me. Hope I am right.
"Non-compensatory Warrants
The receipt and exercise of a non-compensatory investment warrant is normally a non-taxable transaction..."
I will be away over the weekend so will have to get back to this thread when I return.
If what some are posting is correct, that the exercise of warrants is a taxable event, and worse yet it is ordinary income, not taxable gain, then LP has a double advantage over the rest of us non insider warrant holders. 1) She can keep extending her exercise date, with one consequence being that she postpones her taxable event by as many years as she gives herself, 2) By knowing when NWBO will be putting out news of success, she can time her exercise before that news goes public, so that the bulk of her gain will be capital gain and not ordinary gain, as opposed to the rest of us who will likely be converting after the news and thus be stuck with ordinary gain on that exercise. Thus she could use her insider information in a less obvious way than actually buying or selling shares before news is released.
Btw, if they are right what would the cost basis be for the warrants received with purchase of the shares but are not registered to trade so they have no "market value"? How much value of the original purchase price of the shares purchased with warrants do you appropriate to the warrants and how much to the shares? Are you free to say make it 50/50? Are you free to choose that ratio? Obviously, the more you apply to the warrants the less ordinary income you will have on exercise of the warrants and the more income you will have on sale of the shares - but at capital gain rates. What rules govern this allocation of "cost" between the shares and the warrants?
Not correct. You are again making the same mistake I warned you about in my previous post. There is NO tax upon exercising the warrants. the only cap gain tax is on the sale of the shares where the gain is the diff between the exercise price (ir, the price paid) and the sale price of those shares. There is no cap gain attached to the warrant itself. IMHO.
What analysis? He just asserted his statement without making any analysis unless it is in some earlier post that I am not aware of.
Comm'on guys, this is worth a lot more than a mere 4 cents!
One more duck that is added to the row....
Missing once, twice or even three times on a forecast can be excused. But to NEVER get it right leaves one with a major problem in credibility. In fact I would say that this leaves one open the the charge of intentional misdirection.. You know the story, "fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice, shame on me ...." The worst is that there is rarely ever really any "forecast," it is all done by innuendo and bread crumbs. Patience is really wearing thin.
Cute idea.
My response in bold:
1) Why did the NWBO investor cross the road?
He had nowhere else to go!
2) What do you get when you cross an NWBO investor and an elephant?
That depends on how many years the gestation period will be.
3) Knock knock!
Who's there?
NWBO shareholder!
NWBO shareholder who?
NWBO shareholder holding a ticket to the ASM.
___________
4. David Innes, Les Goldman, and Linda Powers walk into a bar
They have a drink, and charge it to NWBO, call it the ASM, and then go home.. . .
5. ATLnsider, Poor Man, and Sojourner55 walk into a bar .
. . That can not happen as Poor Man can not afford to get into a bar.
6. When you're at a cocktail party, how can you tell if someone holds shares in NWBO? He keeps asking everyone at the party if they know why the NWBO shares were halted in 2015.
7. (limerick)
There was an old man from Ohio
Who bought shares in Northwestern Bio
After May 10 he saw
The deal was so raw
It made him say me-O my-O
There was an old man from Ohio
Who bought shares in Northwestern Bio
After a decade he expected
The deal was not as rapid as expected
It made him hope the pharmas will BUY-O
8. (haiku)
Shares at sixty-two
Volume keeps on falling down
My wife strangles me
Shares at times go up
Shares may also sometimes drop
But NWBO gives us hope
Better not mess it up with her - she sounds like a keeper!
I doubt it will happen so quickly. Why, it is really quite simple. LP will not accept any pharma bid based on a low value of the shares - will below what LP feels (knows) they are worth. And the pharmas will not offer anything that is a very high multiple of today's share price that will meet LP sales price. so the market price has to rise substantially before they get to be in the same ball pek as LP's expectations. This will not happen over night - but it will happen!
You misunderstand my post. I am not trying to "pretend" that there is a "secret partner" just that the deal Umibe described does not necessarily preclude any such partner. No definitive conclusions can be drawn on this issue from that bit of information one way or the other.
This should not really bother you. This sale to Umibe was being contemplated in the context of the previous purchases of Umibe, so NWBO had a fair idea of the order of magnitude of the shares that Umibe might want. They realized that there would be plenty left for other potential C buyers. If in fact he had surprised them and wanted many more shares than previous experience would indicate, they could then always impose a limit on the number of shares they would sell to him.
Not for all.