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The great thing about CTIX is that there are multiple irons in the fire. B is an entire platform with many possible uses for different indications. Hopefully, a partnership will be inked soon, and will de-risk the portfolio further. What many new people may not appreciate is the brilliance in which CTIX acquired B in a stalking horse bid for $5M and some stock. They went all-in for K, but happened to fall into B while nobody was watching. Re-tooled B, and now are getting great results. Dr. Menon has a track record with drug development. Leo is proving to be a great captain, running the show lean, mean, and with purpose.
I believe BigKahuna called for $60 in March on the heels of a partnership. How nice would that be?
BK, You've nailed a lot of what was going to happen here. What percentage odds do you have on a partnership for B in the next several months? What is the ballpark upfront cash you expect?
Have to wonder if Leo basically has a partnership in the works, and plans to use the cash for the up-list. It always seemed to me that the Durata deal excitement he showed in the Cox interview was due to having a good fish on the hook and then got leverage for the deal they are willing to sign.
I might have to watch that Cox interview for a fourth time.
Well done centillion! I'm not there yet, but hope I can stay as disciplined as you have just demonstrated. I am afraid I may not ![]()
No positive press yet. Imagine what that may do.
Under the trending tickers section. Hit refresh a time or two if not there.
I see it, nice!
Congrats to Leo and Dr. Menon for one of the most brilliant acquisitions in biotech history? What does this say about K?
Perfect Storm
CTIX Chart...
http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=CTIX&p=D&b=5&g=0&i=p97712654986&a=378966642&r=1418055223742
If you can draw targets from charts, and I know that is debatable, it measures to $5. Let's see if it occurs.
Finally moving through like buttah.
Irrationally undervalued.
The horse race could start soon. The SF conference in January should help.
Don't these type of chart setups tend to produce doubles or more over a quick period?
I think everyone that knows is in, or has what they are willing to risk before these events.
Putting so much emphasis on a short period of time makes me nervous, but we've been given every reason to trust that the news will be positive.
Hoping Leo has a partnership lined up, just awaiting FDA nod to phase 3, and that's why no update on uplist, and why off OTCQB.
Looking forward to your analysis of bottom line data.
The distributor of shares has inched up a penny or two each day with a decent sized ask. Nice and orderly.
Everyone that knows about CTIX is in or have as much as they feel comfortable with now. Up to the news to spur more demand from current eyes and to find new ones.
Disagreement makes a market. We agree on a lot. I diverge on the deflation opinion. I think Japan and Euro Zone will successfully export it for a period of time to spook our marke, but then we'll get QE infinity after an 87 style crash.
If the business/market acumen of this board is any indication, CTIX is going to be one hell of a ride. I would venture to say that CTIX is comprised of the smartest all-retail owned equity in the market.
Thank you for the suggestions! I believe deflation is going to be the driver of any potential large decline. I think your suggestion may well out perform, but I think they'll still decline. I guess cash/treasuries will be king in the scenario I'm painting. Problem is the risk and reward of treasuries just isn't there.
That was indeed a great post. I agree with your views, including CTIX's ability to counter against. Wouldn't be immune at times, but I wouldn't rule out an uptrend staying intact during any major market correction/decline.
Besides inverse strategies, and maybe bonds, any ideas on where to put money?
Maybe nowhere to run with deflation. Feel free to PM me if too off topic. TIA
CTIX is knocking on resistance...
If it breaks and follows the "rules", it would suggest $5 is in the cards.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=CTIX&p=D&b=5&g=0&id=p97712654986&a=378966642
Sometimes I have the same trouble. Sometimes that fear was warranted, but sometimes I kick myself after watching it double again. This chart however wouldn't trouble me. Fairly textbook pennant within a very well supported multi-year consolidation breakout. Haven't even started on the fundamentals ahead.
It was a really good article, but it might have been just good timing with the FDA meeting in two days. At any rate, would love more articles!
And people love to receive confirmation. It's been a little frustrating for some, myself included, to not get as much confirmation from the stock lately. The news has mostly fallen on deaf ears, and the amount of shares for sale has demotivated buyers from being in any rush.
People also prefer to act in herds, rather than go out on a limb. Once we get a little third party credibility, the herd will start to move in.
Looks like someone is a little hungry today. Going into the end of the week and next week should prove to be a little more entertaining than watching paint dry.
I was thinking the 4th for B, based on some of the posts last week.
Next week should be very interesting. I would think Leo will release the Brilacidin results Friday or Monday. If not then, then very shortly afterwards.
Time seems to be running out for this company to be our little secret. Any day now someone will probably set the wheels in motion to reach a large group of new investors, or for those sidelined to take action in a major way.
Sorry, OTCQB
Interesting battle of the tape today.
Leo clearly believes the stock should be higher, and will be higher going into SF in January. I for one will put my faith that he will be proven correct.
If not, we'll have to tail between the leg and pay the fee to "up-list" to the OTCBB.
I've been surprised at the amount of available shares for sales in the face of everything.
I think the market is waiting for the statistics from the Brilacidin trial. We'll probably stay in this range until they are released.
Will CTIX receive a Thanksgiving effect? CTIX rules, pass the potatoes please! We could be two to three weeks from unblinding data on Brilacidin. I'd like to see us break into new all-time highs into the release, and then onward to spread the news in SF and get a horse race going for a partnership! One can dream, right?
INH-thanks for you thorough analysis, as always. I think you and I are quite alike with our trading views.
The only difference is that I felt the break to new highs at $2.44 would signal the high probability of a move to $5-7, and haven't felt like trading it in the meantime for fear of missing another $2-4 trying to make .30-.50. I've studied too many huge moves to see that at some point in the climb, it will throw a move that 99% of traders wouldn't have survived. It always seems to boil down to, you have to believe with all your heart if you want to take the huge journey. I want that chance, but know that not everybody's goal.
I am glad that a nice consolidation has formed, and that it is adding more data that a move to this $5-7 area is still strongly in play.
If this move occurs, I'll probably take out a decent chunk of my holdings, but will likely keep some shares for the hopeful $5 Billion plus valuation. I'll just hopefully have entirely free, or very low basis shares for that portion of the hopeful ascension.
Oops, you're right, that probably eliminates BSC.
Or Boston Scientific!
We're a giving bunch.
Leo to address the shorts publicly again. J/K!