MOG,
Some free time you have to bash and write a long statement....anyhow, keep on saying that over and over again, time will surely prove you wrong.
Taking your dilution assumptions and adding to it, to reach a total count of 500m outstanding shares. With a positive red-it and increase in scripts, i would say a total sales around $800million is quite achievable. Why this number, just to reach the point (easy math for you) that this will give us a fair valuation of around $5Billion (multiple of sales + royalties,,,etc) and with your 500m outstanding shares ----> $10/shares price...in other words a 410% from current 1.96$...ie an annual return of 102.5% (again going with your assumption of 4 years...2019...which is more than mentioned by management)
Personally, i would take such a scenario and possible return at any time
So using all the negative assumptions you mentioned and the return is great, now take a chill pill and use the math for a neutral / base case scenario and do the math for the possible return. I am not going to mention the best case scenario....