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staccani

04/12/14 4:28 AM

#8682 RE: Pyrrhonian #8681

Pyrr, thank you for taking the time to provide this updated comprehensive summary. I also find the idea of updating it whenever a material event happens very good.
A couple of points/questions:
1) Why don't you try to have it published on Seeking Alpha for instance? This could reach many more people and be information tool not only for investors but also for patients
2) I find overall market estimates somehow low for the DCVax L label extension to all solid operable tumor cancers. First because if DCvax L is proven effective not sure why it should be marketed only for stage four cancers if it is a way to prevent or delay tumor re-occurrence than why not using it also for lower stages. Moreover why only a 20% market penetration if it is much more effective than SOC.
3) I also find price targets somehow inconsistent with revenue projections. Even if we allow for your assumed market penetration and market size (in fact I believe the market size could be much bigger than what you have assumed, whilst market penetration will depend also on competing new drugs/vaccines) you get, in the best case scenario, to around $60B in annual sales. That would mean $300B in market cap using avg pharma multiples, which even allowing for some further dilution (100M total common shares)it would still mean $3,000 PPS

inveterate

04/12/14 7:45 AM

#8683 RE: Pyrrhonian #8681

Thank you for taking the time to put together such a comprehensive review - I certainly am very grateful for all your efforts - they are very much appreciated.

akasidney86

04/12/14 5:41 PM

#8693 RE: Pyrrhonian #8681

Pyrrhonian:
Three weeks new to the board and the company, looking at a medium term (one-three year) hold, and just wanted to add my thanks to the others who have expressed their gratitude to you for the many informative posts over the past 4 months (that I've reviewed) and particularly your recent opus. I've never seen a situation in bio similar to what NWBO has put together in Europe, and have taken advantage of this recent pull-back to build a small position. I hope you and others continue sharing your insights into the company, the science and it's potential, as it really helps others like myself to inform and drive our own DD. Many thanks again.