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VTLE didn't expect $20/bbl war premium
when they hedged after acquisition...
Israel added the inflation in oil...
We have to be fair about their choices
and when they made them...
If U.S. could keep the Red Sea open
like China can keep the Taiwan Straight
open safely, oil price would be cheaper...
So we watch...LJ
chips...China military keeps Taiwan Strait secure...
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/apr/27/chinese-jets-fly-sorties-over-taiwan-strait-in-show-of-force-as-us-delegation-departs
so we watch...LJ
VTLE is loaded with around $75/bbl.
hedges to protect against downside
risk of oil price drop...
from last company presentation...
~90% of anticipated 2024 oil volume hedged at $75 WTI
peer average was at 19%...
gas hedges at about 40% where
the big production volume increase
should come from after last acquisition...
thesis...wouldn't you sell a put at lower
price now to pocket premium if price
drops and/or to get a lower cost entry
at expiration?...refresh my memory...
Buying put only profits on price drop...
so we watch...LJ
04/26/24 DTCC rule changes heads up
for the bigger swingers...
https://stocktwits.com/JoeCoolTrader/message/571027147
DTCC rule change link
https://www.dtcc.com/-/media/Files/pdf/2024/4/26/B20002-24.pdf
So we watch...LJ
Houthi rebels hit dark fleet Russian tanker...
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-68909912
They are getting better if they
can hit dark fleet ships...
Or either Russia gave them the
coordinates to make the hit...
Ship still sailed on...
So we watch...LJ
SMCI $787 gap open, NVDA $826 gap open
on Friday open of 04/26/24...
MMs paint gap opens to mark
where price on future weakness
needs to hold on pullbacks...
Filling the gap open prices on Monday
or Tuesday before SMCI reports could
add more technical resolve for any
future price rises...
Otherwise it leaves a long time till
NVDA is expected to have ER...
Technicals are very important with
high valuation priced companies...
The gap opens have started since the
recent price drop and recovery period...
Leaving the gap open means more may
target entering the short side after
the SMCI ER and price action to
profit when a gap open fills...
So we watch...LJ
VTLE has 1st dilution pollution ER release
coming on 8th...
Are you tempted to sell a put
on it?...
so we watch...LJ
FB, imagine if Meta chose shareholders
over Ai in past week,
by raising dividend instead of splurging
on Ai spending...
share price tells what folks really
think about it...
Biggest lesson in past week for companies...
So we watch...LJ
SDOW seems only game to play against
market now since Msft has
already reported now...
Qs getting rollover from their fallen
keeps it top heavy and really a
a hard play to bet against...
Decided to cancel a good sized
equipment purchase today...
Market taught me a valuable lesson
over past week,,,
'have no idea what I'm doing'...
plunging U.S. economy in January got
lifted off its rear in March with tax
refund spending, the 2nd quarter has
no relief like that coming to keep a
down turn from setting back in...
It doesn't matter how high the monopolies
in Ai get face paint at this time...
Interest rates are decent enough to
watch things while in more cash...
Every potential uptick in gasoline prices
will hurt spending by folks...
So we watch...LJ
CPI/CPE data...impeded Red Sea shipping
is still adding to inflation
pressure worldwide...
and shows no sign of changing yet...
Hang Seng index spurting now and
recently also shows De Nile on the
prospects of higher prices longer...
Ukraine is now a bigger question mark
for future oil prices since U.S. just shipped
long range missiles to Ukraine...
Duh, more De Nile in potential
bad effects from that...
Peon thesis, of course...
So we watch...LJ
Mandella with Freedom Flotilla headed to Gaza...
https://www.aljazeera.com/program/newsfeed/2024/4/25/gaza-freedom-flotilla-prepares-to-challenge-israeli-blockade
Will be departing from Turkey...
U.S. sending more money for weapons...
U.S. has to borrow that money first...
So we watch...LJ
Say, what? microsoft said they were pushing Ai
in their ER reviews on Thursday...
Tech companies already control enough
and know enough about folks...
Everyone else needs more Ai...
As for me, just trying to remember where
the button is to start the laptop...
Don't need some voice saying,,,
'A lil gentler please'...
Makes you Seriously wonder how much
market activity is pre coded days or
weeks in advance now on everything...
Tsla bouncing this past week after ER
is true example of the coding error
for that one after the ER release, IMO...
we need to shut up, or they may shoot
a lil shot of juice to us when we move
a mouse...
So we watch...LJ
SMCI has gap at $496 on 01/29/24
to heed for potential retrace
to fill it...
SMCI has bounced around $300
on days so could still fill the gap
before ER on Tuesday...
https://www.barchart.com/stocks/quotes/SMCI/interactive-chart
Puts on it for Friday and only
one day are gambling...
But SMCI has the priciest option
action you will ever see...
So you have to wait till 4 minutes left
on Friday to bet on Monday puts...
Option prices dropped up to one half
for week ahead on last Friday with
only 5 minutes till close...
That cost me dearly on an entry...
AMD was the other put bot for Friday
and not NVDA...
AMD just looks pricey...
NVDA looks too strong to bet against...
Saw a video of Cramer last Friday evening,
and he said wait for Friday CPE release
to come out before reacting...
Seemed a harbinger of some pre planned
negative activity coming for this Friday...
That stuck in my thick head like a bad
tune lyric that you can't shake out...
Expecting to lose on puts for Friday after
big pump up after hours on tech on
Thursday evening...
But no profits were left to flop around...
So we watch...LJ
SMCI and NVDA puts for Friday added
before close Thursday...
GDP numbers for 1st quarter came
in better than they could have been...
Folks that had sold Tsla prior to it
dropping and Meta offer the funding
to rollover and bounce the tech companies
back up so strongly...
PCE likely comes in and goes without
much fanfare...
We are still stuck with high prices that
poked the consumer spending numbers
higher in the GDP numbers...
Durable goods numbers weren't showing
rosy because folks are tapped out...
Smci could retreat to the floor around
$700 again that the bigger support money
has chosen to back up...
That mark could easily be seen again
prior to ER on Tuesday because the higher
prices leave little room for misses...
Many think that NVDA follows SMCI...
That could be tested next week if SMCI
ER comes in weaker than expected...
Q balancing has took place on Thursday...
Friday could be a day for some big
players to play hookie...
So we watch...LJ
What happens in after hours had a
reversal yesterday...
so we watch...LJ
Are you liquid?...felt a compelsion to
build some cash this afternoon
with many moving up...
VTLE in the mix of selling...
so we watch...LJ
Will let someone else say this chit...
https://stocktwits.com/CoIumbo/message/570765844
Reminds me of White House getting
attacked with Trump there and D.C.
wanted to Defund police, but then on
January 6 it became a D.C. crime...
Only In America...
So we watch...LJ
GRRR has some new updates on FB page...
https://www.facebook.com/GorillaTechnology
Could be a bigger deal when the
world decides to eliminate the
pirates in the Red Sea...
So we watch...LJ
New NVDA DGX H200 delivered...
https://venturebeat.com/ai/nvidia-ceo-jensen-huang-personally-delivers-first-dgx-h200-to-openai/
so we watch...LJ
NVDA, Tsla expressed plans to buy up
to 50,000 more H100 chips...
around 7:20 in video starts the
Tsla auto and chip review...
https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/04/24/tesla-just-shared-some-great-news-for-nvidia-stock/
Meta already buys H100 chips from
NVDA according to video author,
and Meta plans to spend bigger on
Ai in latest updates...
NVDA CEO delivered first DGX H200
Ai chip to a customer today...
https://venturebeat.com/ai/nvidia-ceo-jensen-huang-personally-delivers-first-dgx-h200-to-openai/
NVDA stock price on Wednesday
was tweaked lower to hail the intro
of the new product...perhaps...
So we watch...LJ
Oil price now looks staged to move to
about $90 on WTI if rate drops don't
come in to stabilize production plans...
Oil production drops in U.S. will lead
to higher prices...
U.S. oil demand started rebounding last
week in U.S. better than earlier in 2024...
EIA demand data in inventory report on
Wednesday painted a down week...
So believe what you want to believe
that Cramer says because he is reading
a script that big money buyers want
folks to hear...
News this week...Tsla will boost spending
on Ai and NVDA chips till year end...
Meta will boost spending on Ai for
period ahead...likely till year end...
Ibm didn't guide higher so other companies
may get that extra Meta spending...
AMD was involved in past working
with Meta to upgrade their platforms,
but who knows who will be In Yet?...
Now is when a company like AMD is deploying
more chips into products in the gaming
area that sell more later in year...
That also applies to NVDA and other
chip companies...
So, the calendar shouldn't show any
rhyme or reason to all the negativity
coming out now,,,
other than to buy cheap before SMCI
reports early next week...
Bears may go back to hibernating some
more after that...
NVDA shows no gaps to fill on chart...
Posters are spreading that flack in places...
https://www.barchart.com/stocks/quotes/NVDA/interactive-chart
NVDA latest contract news is with
a familiar company to them...
https://www.benzinga.com/markets/asia/24/04/38373343/nvidia-chips-to-power-softbanks-near-1b-ai-investment-report
last line in that above report...
Japan’s AI market is expected to grow
to around $13 billion by 2030, about
17 times larger than in 2023, according
to data from Statista Market Insights.
NVDA has quietly had very good info
coming out for them all week while
the Ai sector pricing is looking cheaper...
So we watch...LJ
Looks crooked, Tsla losing in China market
and on gauge items and got
pumped up 12%...
Other companies better able to
compete with China and still showing
good gauge items are getting dropped...
Peon thesis is that you add if you
think something is worth it, and it can
be done without watching TV heads with
scripts written by big money influence
because they want folks shares cheaper...
Still need to catch that one meme picked
by the crowd to beat the negativity bias..
Any good board ideas?...
So we watch...LJ
NVDA add at 784 in after hours to
level up position size to that
of AMD...
AMD reports like SMCI next Tuesday,
so both may get tossed around by the
big traders until then...
NVDA has had several good news items
in their favor in two days...
added an acquisition...
Tsla expressed intent to buy more from
NVDA ahead...
Meta wants more from NVDA ahead...
South Korea company expects more
good things ahead...
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/1-sk-hynix-q1-profit-231616039.html
lol, that was a big baby getting thrown
out with bathwater in after hours...
Tech rally hasn't cared about the higher
interest rates in place since they started
their rally so the media airspace on it
now looks like wasted energy...
So we watch...LJ
AMD, NVDA, SMCI still best of breed in Ai
on the Q or SPX roster...
IBM is on big board...
Meta social platform company still
seems just a wantabe in Ai build out
where the growth comes...
LOL, taking the Tsla sales flop up
12% shows the big money orchestra
can paint anything up...
Like they kept painting Meta up...
Q index now has to roll over the
money to the growth plays to keep
the averages supported...
peon thesis, of course...
So we watch...LJ
Tsla now ungrowth company up big today
while growth tech companies are
down today...
Still hard to gauge the market...
making money in Rei means you get
give yourself an Attaboy pat on back...
so we watch...LJ
GRRR dropped on Tuesday with tech stocks up...
endless irony nowadays...
more roman noodles and rice
will make us fit...
So we watch...LJ
API inventory report info...
https://stocktwits.com/cwh80/message/570580035
so we watch...LJ
AMD, NVDA, SMCI,,,oh no, Mr. Bill!,,,
AMD didn't give any guidance in
their earning's date release...
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amd-report-fiscal-first-quarter-201500323.html
Yahoo Press Release tab instead of
All tab helps Quick Check for actual
company news releases,,,
whew, it makes a difference...Eureka...
So we watch...LJ
SMCI has little following on the Hub...
may need a forward split to draw
more attention...
AMD is the one really looking over
looked by fans...
https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=174247551
The young coders that I know are
all gamers Still and love AMD...
So there is a big fan base out there
that hasn't started chasing AMD up
the Ai price pole, Yet...
If you can figure out how to buy in
the foreign market, Lanner is also
priced cheaper...
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/6245.TWO/
Whoopsy Friday started me reviewing
and the end may not be here, Yet...
So we watch...LJ
GRRR had Disappointment gap down from 7.60
close on 04/09 when the company
surprised with the r/s 8-k filing...
https://www.barchart.com/stocks/quotes/GRRR/interactive-chart
Average daily pricing had been
stronger prior to that while share
holders await audited annual filing...
04/30 is date due for audited annual
filing for 2023 from GRRR...
Foreign companies are allowed 30
extra days for some odd reason...
Another video provider helps add illumination
but is playing the swing against the
Disappointment gap down which is
below most holders' average cost...
And could bag and tag profits and
try to reload cheaper before the
annual filing comes out...
Was able to add more after r/s
in low $5ish range but it wasn't with
short term hopes of $7ish...
Good to see more people watching after
death of tech was pre announced last
Friday by the market...
So we watch...LJ
GRRR down from $70 price in July, 2023...
https://www.barchart.com/stocks/quotes/GRRR/interactive-chart
Several longer term investors would
like to see a rebound in price...
And less sand tossed in their faces...
So we watch...LJ
GRRR new illumination, down from $70
in July, 2023 to $5 in April, 2024...
https://www.barchart.com/stocks/quotes/GRRR/interactive-chart
GRRR started a $300 million project
in July, 2023 causing price to rise
to the $60 to $70 range...
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gorilla-technology-signs-contract-deploy-210000935.html
Iran-Israel war games in Red Sea
torpedoed confidence after new
contract was started...
And contract work has been ongoing...
Adjusting valuation to the $40 to $50
range seems prudent until war games
in Red Sea are completed...
New illumination is afoot to trade the
low float, low price...
Iran-Israel war games have temporarily
disrupted modern commerce and
impeded company growth...
Iran wants more for oil sales...
West wants to generate more defense
spending contracts...
And phock everything else is their
view of the world...
U.S. leaders act like Top Gun was a
movie using cartoon characters,
keeping a mighty Navy in defense stance
while many assets and soldiers sit
in a war zone...
U.S. Navy is designed for Offense...
2024 is first year in history that Pirates
have gone unpunished on world seas,
Iran attacks are Piracy Acts that the
world chooses not to punish...
So we watch...LJ
VTLE and oil companies popping up with
oil price limping surprised me far
more than tech stocks bouncing,,,
tech stock prices are bouncing after
op ex Friday paydays anyway...
so we watch...LJ
any pos can bounce, from way,way oversold...
so we watch...LJ
SMCI had GS do the $825/share offering
back in late March...
https://ir.supermicro.com/news/news-details/2024/Supermicro-Announces-Pricing-of-Public-Offering-of-Common-Stock/default.aspx
They have reportedly expanded production
sites to be able to handle almost double
projected revenue of 2024...
They generate only a small portion of
revenue within their sector now...
Smaller company with lower share count
than peers...
SMCI looks more like a chart play now
with good earnings expected soon...
So we watch...LJ
Trying to stay focused on longer term prospects...
https://stocktwits.com/scascioli91/message/570425686
Security side of tech seems to
offer some potential...
So we watch...LJ
SMCI may have its big bounce day Tuesday
if the February chart pattern
sees a repeat...
Gave AMD a 2 to 1 seeding over
NVDA today,
so, you see that I'm not exactly
batting the best on guesses...
So we watch...LJ
Easier to look right over night with thin
traded green future action...
Oil price dropping due to all
unrest calming down...
Now that is definitely a suspect
idea to think about...
So we watch...LJ
don't come a knockin when mstr is rockin...
hope you get to buy a new shirt
in a few days...
so we watch...LJ