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Thanks Steve.
I appreciate your insight as always. Comments are always appreciated.
I'm soon publishing out the calculator in the windows, google play, and apple app stores along with the proper attribution to this board for help and support. The image I posted is from the android phone version. It's a project I actually started a few years ago, stated in a post, and then got side tracked by my day job.
I am also trying to get out my version of an AIM spreadsheet as an app that will be useful on all the platforms except the phone (tablets-iPad -etc.), desktops, and laptops. I know about the AIM crypto one recently published, but, mine has a more ETF/Stock/Virtual focus and should be able to do automated back testing, maybe. Anyway, like the AIM crypto one, I'll acknowledge this board in the same manner.
I have time on my hands for the next few months and I just feel like sharing what I've done at home in Excel as an app or 2 :)
Thanks for clarification. Being a computer person, how things are stated are more important than what is said. It's just a set of entries where one is optional (OR) shouldn't work when both are entered.
This is part of a larger set of projects for me in cross-platform AIM automation for my phones, tablets and computers. After so many years, my user name is a clue, I'm ready to just push a button so to speak.
@Toofuzzy - In the AIM Calculator, I'm confused matching terms with expectations for Market order The instructions say SHARE PRICE (if one stock) or PORTFOLIO VALUE but the table labels say Price and Stock Value respectively.
Is the stock value the same as portfolio value here?
Here is an example of what I used
It also appears, if I put a price in as well as Stock Value, it will give me an extra prompt for stock value. Would it be better to have one or the other? Or, having at least 1 of the 2 values..
Thanks.
H Adam
I Thought INTC had some pretty good news with a new CEO. The stock was moving higher until the pull back this morning. From the early morning news, the shares did come under pressure after incoming CEO Pat Gelsinger said the majority of Intel’s 2023 products will be made in-house rather than outsourced.
Still, It had a nice run up in the month throught the 13 and again to the 19th.
RT
As far as starting or timing AIM, ocroft has detailed an excellent (imho) method to do this.
Check out the posts here Stock Selection and Timing, here Back to the future, and here Hi Tom.
There are additional post throughout this board from ocroft on this subject as well.
I think it's Safe Withdrawal Rate
Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR) Method
Welcome to the boards!!
AIMing BTC - I would think there would be too much volatility even for AIM. You would almost have to track BTC intraday; not something AIM was intending to do. It would be an interesting test experiment. Then, there would be the difficulty in actually buying and selling. The fees aren't cheap either. This would have to be taken into account as well. I would ask though, is your intent to treat BTC as a security or as currency(BTC pegged to USD)? For example, Would you AIM the Euro pegged to the GBP? Basically, it comes down to your risk tolerance.
There are several variations of spreadsheets developed and used by members of this board. Most here suggest using the spreadsheet to learn how AIM works.
There is a calculator pinned at the top of the boards which can help, but, no web app per se. You may find a program or two out there, just not web based as far as I know.
My thoughts are my own.
Re: Re: AIM vs Buy/Hold................
Thanks for posting this. It's interesting data. A few observations; not being critical, just curious being somewhat of a data junkie.
Your data doesn't give an indication as to trade frequency for AIM. Did you trade monthly, on the X day of every month? If you took the original premise of monthly with no precise date, it's possible you would have better returns.
Is there enough volatility in the SPY? Not a single buy in 5 or 10 years would indicate not enough volatility to me. This is my minor issue with ETFs. AIM, after all, is really a volatility capture engine.
When I look at the 5 year period 2015.02.02 - 2020.01.31, there are potentially 4 minimum buy opportunities. However, those would have been missed depending on the check date/interval except for 1. From 2018.09.17 to 2018.12.17, the price went from 291.99 to 240.70. I would have expected at least 1 to 2 buy opportunities in that time as the price dropped 20%.
Looking overall, you have 0 buys in the last 5 and 10 years yet 45 buys over 27 years. It would be interesting to see the monthly stats.
Opinions vary and this is just mine.
AIM1979
When looking at where to buy/sale, ocroft has a post which uses MACD crossover signals. I use this method as part of my analytics thanks to him. Fairly consistant results for me.
See this post here MACD XOver and the follow on reply threads.
A1979
If the data in word is inside a table, you can export the table to Excel with a right-click. If the data is tab or space delimited, you can highlight an copy it, then paste to a single excel spreadsheet, say cell A1, then use text to columns option with the correct delimiter to do the conversion.
Hi AIM Student
If you look at posts by ocroft like this one
https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=140728630" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" >https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=140728630
you find an interesting perspective on correlating MACD crossovers with transaction opportunities.
Everyone has a method for entry; this one seems pretty worked out.
AIM1979
You could also virtualize stock as it goes above $100k and transfer the funds to a lower risk asset (think LD-AIM). If your "real" portfolio drops below $100k, you could just backfill from the reserved assets. A bit of a bookkeeping challenge but, it could, in theory achieve the desired result.
Thanks, Tom. That'll work. I have a friend whis is a graphics artist and will duplicate in the correct sizes.
Thanks for the info Allen
I discovered another browser based on Chrome which is faster than Chrome or Safari. It's called the Brave Browser. Brave Browser. It blocks most ads, including autoplays, and tracking. I've been using it most of the last few weeks and it's pretty fast. That along with DuckDuckGo search engine (anonymous searching) really makes for a pleasant experience.
Disclaimer: I don't work for either company
AIM 1979
Tom, I'm working on a project for this user group. Not quite ready for public yet, but, Could I use the aim-user image or part of it for an icon. I can credit whomever owns it if necessary. Otherwise, I'll make one of my own.
Thanks!!
Here is an interesting article on recent stock market movement from Mike Harris(I guy I follow on twitter @MikeHarrisNY).
S&P 500 Now 27 Days Without Back-to-Back Gains
Since AIM can be considered a volatility capture engine, there would have been interesting trade potential due to this phenomenon.
Thought you may find it interesting.
Try using the TOR browser. It doesn't allow all that tracking nonsense.
I've read that Ol inventories are going up and the "OPEC production cut" is having minimal effect and should be ending soon.
For silver, some of the mining stocks are taking a beating like SLW because of debt. This one in particular looks like it has been tanking lately.
Not sure about gold though, lots of people betting on a rate hike from the FOMC soon. Maybe people heading to gold for safety.
My opinions are my own :)
RT
Jon, Thanks for that information. I looked at the undertrader.com site. Interesting, he talks about basing his system on AIM but, I think he might have been following this group. He talks about using "Vealies" with his program/system. I would think this is the place he would have gotten that term with AIM. Do a search on his site for Lichello and you'll see what I'm referring to. The last post on the site is June 2016 and ultimately links over to tumblr.
Thanks for the info. I appreciate it.
RT
I can make it look pretty much like yours. I was curious if the Apple App is this one AIM-Trader
The only one I could find (admittedly, I didn't spend a great deal of time on it.
RT
Hi TF, One way I've done it is like this. If you have a desktop computer, go to the page, right click and select view source. Save it to your desktop. it'll be filename.htm or filename.html. You can connect your phone to said computer and should be able to drop it into a documents folder of some kind on your Android device. Or, if you have a dropbox (something similar), you can put the file in up there and then download it to your phone (save not open).
In the meantime, I should have the calculator on the google play store in about a week give or take. It's hard to get a consistent block of time to finish and test. I program for a living and 16 hour days are not uncommon.
RT
Hi TF, If you just save the page to your desktop, it should be runnable from there. Since I have a windows PC at the moment, I would right-click and select View Source. I would then save the view source (using Save AS selection) on my desktop as calculator.htm
This would put the page on your desktop and it should work with a double-click. The ads will be missing and maybe some graphics but, it should work for you, since the page is fairly basic, without internet.
RT
Hi Allen and TF,
The page is simply some HTML tables and a few JavaScript functions that are click events. Pretty straight-forward to convert to an app of any kind. The code reads the values you put in the hold zone table, for example, and produces a result in a message box.
I'll put in the code if someone wants to see it. Not sure how more public it needs to be beyond view source.
RT
Thanks Ray!! I just wanted to be sure it's the one TF was after :)
Thanks, I've got it and am looking at it. Appreciate your sharing with the group.
If this is the one from the web site, shouldn't be an issue. If it is something you own, I am able to do an android app (courtesy of Xamarin Studio). I can arrange a way to get the code from you if you want. However, if you feel uncomfortable turning it over to me. I understand.
Is the QUICK AIM CALCULATOR code available somewhere (spreadsheet or otherwise)?
Hi Allen, Thanks for the tip on the used books. My family and my wallet thank you too :)
Powells didn't have the book and Alibris had it from $54 to $394 (Ouch). Personally, I hope that $394 one was a signed copy in mint condition in shrinkwrap.
RT
Hi Ray, LC has a post on the fool boards here
http://boards.fool.com/sychrovest-12770878.aspx?sort=whole which may or may not be republished in the SIG board.
Mr. Lichello's book "Superpower Investing" is out of print but still available from resellers. It's not cheap (saw it for as little as USD 50) and it is on Amazon if you're interested. You can also go to the old aim-users site ( http://web.archive.org/web/20120830055133id_/http://www.aim-users.com/index.html" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" >http://web.archive.org/web/20120830055133id_/http://www.aim-users.com/index.html sorry if tagging is messed up) and see a page on Twinvest, a modified version of Synchrovest.
Hope this helps.
RT
Hi Ken, The Oscillator...
You can find a brief description from Tom in post 40040 regarding what it means.
RT
Looking at CREE today, I remember in 1997 when the price of that stock was 2.60. Doesn't look so bad at 20 considering. But, I know what you mean about stocks like that. That one seems to jump really high (80)every 4 years then crashes back to 20.
Then again AAPL was 13 in July 1997, look at it today. I owned it at 24 then sold it around 18 before it bottomed out. Who knew :(
RT
Hi Allen, Try here
ETF Hub
RT
DHT historical data from Yahoo
Be aware of this comment at the bottom of the historical listing
PC%
Something I've been pondering.
As a basis for PC%, ocroft has stated in several posts including 40389 that using MACD (24,52,9) as an entry point
Hi Allen,
I still see the 5 pinned posts at the top of the board.
RT