Re: Re: AIM vs Buy/Hold................
Thanks for posting this. It's interesting data. A few observations; not being critical, just curious being somewhat of a data junkie.
Your data doesn't give an indication as to trade frequency for AIM. Did you trade monthly, on the X day of every month? If you took the original premise of monthly with no precise date, it's possible you would have better returns.
Is there enough volatility in the SPY? Not a single buy in 5 or 10 years would indicate not enough volatility to me. This is my minor issue with ETFs. AIM, after all, is really a volatility capture engine.
When I look at the 5 year period 2015.02.02 - 2020.01.31, there are potentially 4 minimum buy opportunities. However, those would have been missed depending on the check date/interval except for 1. From 2018.09.17 to 2018.12.17, the price went from 291.99 to 240.70. I would have expected at least 1 to 2 buy opportunities in that time as the price dropped 20%.
Looking overall, you have 0 buys in the last 5 and 10 years yet 45 buys over 27 years. It would be interesting to see the monthly stats.
Opinions vary and this is just mine.
AIM1979
