You mistake enlightenment and preparation for lack of common sense. Trust me when I tell you that I know how to play the game too, but the writing is on the wall... and you'd be a fool if you choose to ignore it.
I hate to sound like a "Doomsdayer" but your Black Swan event is a lot closer than you think with the idiots at the controls and all those "rich people problems" you rambled on about will disappear in one giant mushroom cloud...peace out!
The biggest macro theme that will continue to weigh on equity valuations is the increase in the required return on equity due to the increase in the risk free rate. There's a limit to how far you can strech the laws of finance.
Just trying to understand though because I'm assuming you're referring to the daily chart which now has the 50 crossing over the 200 but for the past 11 months or so it's been the opposite so what do you mean failed only once in 2016 for about a month?