is... a buy and hold investor of dividend US and Canadian stocks
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What you are suggesting might seem obvious to a newcomer, but the true picture is more complicated. Check out this informed post by Greenband:
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=31925265
#17795
My own observation has been that you really can't read anything into Insider purchases. What the CFO did in this case is totally illogical. He singlehandedly drove the price up from .50 to .80 and was responsible for most of the volume over the course of 3-4 days. They may be required to hold a certain number of shares, or maybe their own egos cause them to purchase shares. I have found it to be not a meaningful indicator. Greenband confirmed my observation.
uWink is a very curious stock. It is affected by several things; it is a great idea with broad application, they have multiple income streams, and have no debt. However, they cannot likely get debt financing and have very poor (negative) cash flow. This results in Financial Risk. Opinions vary about what that means for the stock price and the future of the company. Some people think it is simply a great buy, others not. What i have seen happen in many cases like this is some kind of refinancing that leaves current investors screwed. Sometimes a Reverse Split followed by equity offering. They already did that a few years ago, so that would not likely be well received.
I have been fairly straightforward about my thoughts on this. I am not sure right now what the "bottom" for uWink is... (what situation defines it, not what price) much less at what price. I think they have to get control of their current situation.
You say you are a newcomer, I am not sure where you are at. If you are a paying member and can exchange PMs we can talk about all kind of things unrelated to uWink via Private Messaging. Some advice: don't just fall in love with any stock. Consider the pros/cons, and PPS in comparison with whatever else is out there. Get in the habit of looking using search tools and setting criteria. You will not find your answers here. We spend more time aggravating each other out of boredom and just for fun..
In any case, good luck and welcome to the Board!
I have made my point.. over and over.. now there is no further point to be made really...
aah.. i have to put a date in lol..
well... I simply observed that it went as low as .01 Did I miss something?
GTC? something to do with time frame?
GLTY?
OK, so I have bought into this stock based on amazing financials and numbers, on someone else's recommendation. Please help me to understand why this is such an amazing stock.
This is my take on it: ALIF offers a whole bunch of product, mainly games at this point, but i can see they want to take it to many different areas. I can imagine kids going nuts with this stuff... spending all kinds of money. So, ok great, I get it.
Problem is, I am a former techie (software development background) that has morphed into this Project Manager type. Now I am a business-minded techie at best. My cell phone dates from the year 2000 and is basically a brick. It works to make calls when I need to, which is rare. People try to get me to buy a new phone all the time, but i refuse. Give me a reason to buy! I really just need to make the odd call, and my brick does me just fine. So I have not followed the gadgetry available out there. The only time I do want any other features is sometimes when I am traveling and I need to get on the Net. Happens very rarely, but when you are driving to Florida, there are times when you need to get on the Net, and by God it is difficult to find an internet cafe in that circumstance. Other than that, all is good.
So I see all these kids on the phone all the time... they are in a different world. Constantly doing stuff on the cell phone..
So great product. great market... great numbers... anything else I need to know?
OK, so I admit to not knowing much about this stock or company that i have bought into. It was recommended by somebody. I do know they have amazing, compelling financials... what they actually do seems good, but nothing out of the ordinary.
They offer a stock quote and analysis service which seems fairly typical. They also offer a number of other services, like digital marketing. I so not see any link between the two lines of business. I also do not see any particular differentiators for APTD in their stock quote business, which seems to be their main line of business.
Is there something I am missing?
the pattern with this stock is that when strong earnings are reported,,, the stock jumps up momentarily. It then settles back down into it's normal (level) pattern. In a bear market such as this, if the general pattern is downward.. it will return to it's downward path. It was like this especially with tech stocks, back in 2004.
Great stock...
I had an order in at .015. Doesn't that piss you off when it does not go?
I just posted again there.. I think the author needs a new hairstyle though... the sideburns have got to go.
I never PROMISED! I bet you have to have the LAST word though.
Any more talk like that and I will post daily. Being a man means cutting your losses, and admitting you should never have bought in the first place. That is clearly beyond you and you are beyond my help.
If I feel like posting here i will! I am a paying member of this site.
Just to put your mind at ease, Netman... I see no point in continuing to post here. My satisfaction has been in predicting movement in PPS and trying to predict a bottom. Result: there is no bottom for this one. I said after the last quarter it would go lower than .42 (where it was at at the time). I think it will go lower from where it is today.. Now it is pure gambling, but the cost is truly peanuts. A good time can be had for $100.
So all I can do is wish you the best of luck, but to also say that still.. as we speak.. that money is better deployed elsewhere, based on search criteria.
And all I can do is wish all the best of luck, as they do in Vegas..
hell it may be worth .05 around mid=Dec.
Good luck everybody.
i do not have a wife.. try again..
Hi. I am the Big Guy... ! What the hell is a Swing Trade?
what is UKKI?
I suppose I should not be posting this entirely useless trash... Question.. how many of you here on this Board have ever seen, let alone negotiated or worked with.. a software licensing contract? Or worked for a product-focused software vendor?
You have nothing to say here but what a crappy company you think this is
Right
your words, Tankman. you want or are trying for this company to fail.
Merely commenting because I am interested, I suppose because; I have over 15 years of software experience, and I eat. Oh, and I am a gamer.. excuse me, I am going to have a rousing session of BF2.
the other boards are so boring by comparison :) EOM.
A "deal", when obtained by a software company, usually will read in the following manner:
"X Million over X years".. like 5M over 5 years.
It is composed of:
- license fee (for a niche player like uWInk, $100k-1M), based on # seats in the implementation.
- Services training. maybe up to 50-100k.
- Maintenance fees. a % of the license fee in perpetuity, which gives the customer upgrades and telephone support ongoing.
In that sense, custom features at one implementation become product features in the core product.
The terms may not be revealed for competitive or other reasons... as is the identity of the customer.
Companies tend to focus on services or product, sometimes even waiving the license fee. I worked for one that did that. The % Maintenance can be fairly high... 20%/year? I have not worked in this business since 2001, I can't remember.
The point is, the kind of numbers uWink is reporting and how they are doing that does not give us much ability to forecast.Usually such an announcement will cause the stock price to jump, but that is based on the math. They gave a number ($90k) for the quarter. What can you make of that?
So, going forward.. It looks like uWink has a couple of onesies and twosies kind of pilot things and is working on a couple more. Keep in mind; what kind of impact will it make? 50k? how much impact will that make?
Now a major deal... 1M? a large part of Chilis? That would propel it up to 2-3$ immediately. The fact that they are just setting up sales channels now and getting on preferred vendors lists is disquieting, because they are maybe 6 mo away from a major deal. Why would they even bother mentioning it?
So if they get similar small deals, if the stock jumps.. sell some. most likely it will fall back down again. Unless it is a real deal, than hold for dear life.
panzer, your post speaks to your paranoia and misdirected thinking.
Even if I wanted to see uWink fail, what gives you the idea that I would be able to do that? Do you think that the actions of this board are actually going to influence the market? Do you think uWInk reads this board and gets direction from it? The way markets are supposed to function, that is not possible. Secondly, I am not here to see uWink fail. uWInk is a business that anyone can study because it is nontechnical and basic. We all eat in restaurants. I do not like to see people lose money, I am simply offering opinion/analysis. My statement in my message is building on the financial statements released, not simply quoting from them. Hence adding value. So drop your paranoia. I would ask the CFO and Nolan to their faces if I could. In fact, I did send one of the two an email a few months back asking exactly this.
And I am dimwitted? When I first posted here I relayed a simple methodology I use to pick stocks. Step 1, rank them in a given sector/ market by earnings growth. Step 2, look at the chart. If downward or otherwise not stable, drop it. Then look at Product/ Placement.. other. Then focus in on financials. Usualy I won't buy them until the eps is positive or near zero. When I peruse an Income Statement, I go right to that line. In a good market, of the 20 that resulted from step 1, only 3 or 4 remain past step 2. Furthermore, I found that in almost all cases, a stock with negative eps almost always had a downward chart. For that I CAN give empirical evidence. Check for yourself. And it gets worse with the quality of the market. The NASDAQ and Canadian Venture Exchange are good markets for looking for high tech stocks. The OTC, by comparison, is a wasteland.
The reason? Market imperfection and misleading information. You would think that market price would reflect all known information, even negative eps. I found that not to be true, hence a downward drift or slide. And how many times have I read a financial report and let my emotions get the better of me, and then gone and ignored my criteria as stated in the above para.? For several years invested far too early. I had to learn patience. I learned to stick with the above criteria. btw i have not looked for a stock since December of last year, when I found one that satisfied my criteria. The market is that bad. i have been on the sidelines.
Coupled with that is the effect of financial risk. A company that has a debt problem with negative eps is almost always headed down. uWInk may not have a debt problem, but it has one heck of a cash flow problem. Hence a plummeting chart (uWink Air).
my portfolio is littered with a few "losers". These are stocks I stuck with despite the downward slide. There was no reason why I stuck with them, and i will never do that again. If I am wrong, I take my losses like a man and move on. It is a valuable lesson. I can happily now say that uWink is not on that list. I think uWink may even be worth buying, but I will still wait until more events unfold here.. the story is yet to be told. Their issues are no squarely in their faces for them to deal with. We will see how it pans out....
As for you.. you seem to not accept any of the above. You prefer to buy and hope everything turns out well...
who is the dimwit?
seems logical... they need capital to sell. wonder how they could do this legally..
I would be wondering if shareholders are thinking class action lawsuit, after all.. they funded the creation of that software.... or did they?
and the winner of the pool get to be KING for the remainder of the life of the Board.. or a week, whichever comes first.
that is a bad exasmple. EOM.
OK, in all fairness...
- I realize that they are finally cutting some of their consulting fees. That will make a difference.
- They will implement other cost-cutting measures.
- MV will contribute more...
It might be worth looking at how far 200k will go..
anyway, it is late and I do not feel analytical right now. I may be up for doing proper Pro Forma statements.. and maybe we can start a little pool on how long uWink will last
LAST = all 3 restaurants up and running.. because failure = they have to sell the restaurants to survive..
Good night.
that would be interesting. Proforma statements... man that would require some detailed thought and analysis. Not sure I am up for it....
The way I see it, we are looking at a bare-bones family-run business at some point very soon. Not bad, not good.
I was offered something like that once. I think it was a uWink promotional item... if the price ever got over 2.00. It was at 1.80 at the time...
I would have won. I think it was Brian Hall.
So their next financial statement will read:
We remain ahead of the game in terms of eviction from our restaurant premises. We are at the second notice at HH, while WH has yet to be served. Regular appearances by the Sherriff are not hurting business. We have an elaborate warning system in case the authorities approach, in case any salesmen are trying to sell anything in the "showcase" restaurants. Just like on The Great Escape!
Meanwhile... All of our employees have accepted payment in the form of free computers, lots of internet time, and stock options up the yin yang.
Employees are also being forced to bring their own office supplies.
The lack of telephones and cell phones are not a problem. We project great sales from our mail order business. And the salesmen, well they just yell really loudly, it actually works!
Instead of serving real food.. we are partnering with the local food bank. We offer all of the local vagrants free gaming, in exchange for their food stamps. While the runners are having trouble getting to/ from the local dining hall in time to fill the orders... the service level has never been better! (it was never good). They say it is a great workout as well.
sorry, I thought that was one of my nicer posts. I can be far more lecturing than that.. don't get me going.
no I don't have any good empirical information.
btw I just plucked that word "empirical" out of thin air. I have no idea what it means, but it sounds great.
I can't imagine a company being behind on it's bills and having a snowball's chance in Los Angeles of closing a sale or convincing anybody to buy technology from them. I know you guys have never seen snow... but go with it.
I really don' know what will happen. Possibly, global warming will create a huge storm that will unleash all of it's fury on the HH location and that will be the end of uWink. That is about the same chance of them closing enough business to survive, so it is a wash.
No, I really don't know. We need someone who has gone bankrupt.. or an accountant.. or just lots of nBeer.
A real stupid statement by Mr Hernandez. This is classic... take a read of this gem:
No, I haven’t checked into how well they are being received. The problem with that is that if I asked management, I doubt they would tell me if things weren’t going well.
So, it is almost a moot point.
I think that the proof would be in future orders.
The poster, Claude, was wondering how the terminals were doing at the Arbor Court retirement home.
And this guy is writing in a national rag pumping uWink. Guys are buying based on what they read. What he is saying is, he really does not know anything in any depth! Just buy anyway...
lol.. LMAO.
actually that information is public. Go to Yahoo Finance and look at Ownership. At this point in time... uWInk is 9% owned by institutions, that is a change from the summer, when that number was about 30%. It is also 22% owned by "insiders and 5% owners". It has truly become a cult stock, owned by a small number of believers...
I can't reproduce it for you, because I can't figure out how to get it in jpeg format. Just go to Yahoo Finance under UWKI and hit the Major Holders link.
have fun guys.
I just posted this on PeakStocks:
Chris/Ryan:
Take a look at their latest quarterly earnings report, Ryan. You might find your answer there. Tell you what, get back with what you think. I will not say a word.
Next time... look before you buy.
Yes it is a bad market, but that is a constant. The market goes through these things, you have to work within that framework. To blame it accomplishes nothing.
Then ask yourself this question: if you "hold tight", will uWink still be there?
Last thing... any stock can be $2-3 in a couple of years. Also, if you go to Las Vegas, it is possible to become a millionaire overnight.
Let's see the response.
his statement is irresponsible. It is typical for small investors to blame the market in this situation. The market is what it is. Live with it. It is far from perfect. use that to your advantage.
Even an excellent stock (I can name a few) cannot hold it's own in this market. A good earnings report will result in a level chart, that is it.
Well, uWInk had another brutal earnings report, so of course it is going to crash. It would go down in any market. For Chris not to connect the two is simply misleading to everyone.
To blame the market is to ignore reality and look for a scapegoat.
yes I can Netman, but I am wise enough not to take it verbatim and i am objective.
So the price is simply wrong right? Well then it "should" be $3.50 and the market pricing it (which is composed of all the Buy and Sell orders out there, or all of the opinions of those Buys and Sellers) is screwed up. Hence, all those Buyers and Sellers are idiots.. is that correct? right....
so 2 quarters at this pace will require 2-3M (1.5 anyway), of the top of my head. Unless something changes... where are they going to get that money?. Just wondering.. there Smart Boy.
When are you going to stop quoting uWink statements like they are the gospel.. and clearly not true.
they have about 200k ST to play with right now, is that not true? Actually it is gone now.. right now..
ST Assets - ST liabilities, assuming no other financing.
I can read, Netman, just trying to get you to get your head out of that financial statement, have a coffee, and wake up to the true reality... before it kills you.
This is open to debate. I simply can't believe that that could happen. I think the ST creditors would be wise and simply demand cash/ payment fairly quickly. Then uWink's and Nolan's reputation would be mud. He would never be able to get lines of credit again.
I am not a banker, but I would think that the bank must remain apprised of their business affairs and would shut down their bank account fairly quickly if they felt anything was unpayable.
There was a Subway across the street from me in Toronto. Nice little Lebanese fellow ran it. One day, it was shut down. A sign was up.. closed for non-payment of lease payments. Done. Just like that.
Possibly, was the timing of the offering such that anybody in the know knew that the proceeds of the offering were imminent at that time last year? Hence the latitude wrt obligations.
I am just wondering something Netman. If you have some connections there and were talking to them, would perchance have asked them how they intend to fund their business over the next (this) quarter? I know that is the first thing I would ask them. A product is a product is a product, good and bad. Selling something takes skill and time. Time is money. It is not a matter of getting on a preferred vendors list and distributing a bunch of brochures to dealers. The product will never sell itself.
No, I did not read the entire Q, but I don't need to. I can see what matters. It is the above.
What the funds are doing is not insane. It is a reaction to the statement. These are business people asking the same question, especially in today's credit market. I have seen this many times. Examples abound. Funds simply ditch anything that is not financially viable, and their prudence is usually warranted. Consequently, nothing is worse for a stock price than this kind of turmoil.
Without funding, the ST creditors will simply stop delivering supplies. Banks will demand payment. etc. Eventually leaseholders will lock the door. Recommending closing WH is useless. It is a revenue-generator. Better to keep it. Very dollar counts.
What I would like to talk about is what are the financing options available to the company? That is what we should be wondering. I really don't know because uWink is so unique. I cannot see a bank lending them money even in good times. Banks would require that the debtor at least be cash-flow positive.
And this is a paradox to the above: what advantage does it give uWink that they have no debt... lol.?
What about a Private Placement (PP)?
WHat about some kind of takeover or partnership where uWink give up some control? uWInk is not unattractive in the right hands. A sales-driven organization could do wonders for it.
This is such a weird situation that I really don't know what even the options are.. but that is what I would be asking about, not how great their products are and how they will sell. That is irrelevant, secondary at best, now.
So I was incorrect on everything else eh? Just with that one little exception? lol... thanks.
I really don't know what is going to happen here.. It would help if uWink would say/ do something other than their present course. I can compare it to another company I follow. AZD (Azure Dynamics). They build hybrid drivetrains for vehicles. Have a relationship with Ford (another winner...).
They are currently at .06. They are selling at negative gross margin right now. Looking for that big deal.
Some time back they got a PP with a Pension fund at .25, to my surprise. Usually financing would be at a premium to market, so the price was a surprise. They got enough for 8-9 mo. more. That was 4-5 mo. ago. At the time of the PP, the price was .17.
So UWKI at .10 is probably a pretty good bet, given the people involved and all factors. But you could get screwed... if you look at Nolan's Letter to Shareholders and what has happened since.. you have to think that management's commitment to shareholders is not really there. A R/S or something else detrimental is not beyond reason. I would think another R/S would not be taken very seriously by anybody.
today UWKI formed a "Black Spinning Top" and the advice is to "WAIT...".
Our WAIT tag says all that is to say. Stay at cash or check the other stocks while waiting the next signal. Do not bother with buying or short selling this stock as long as the WAIT tag stays.
Today a Black Spinning Top was formed. This represents complete indecision between the bulls and the bears.
I would like to hear an accountant's analysis of their financial statements. According to GAAP? Example... the "Going Concern" principle in Minimum Compliance. Are they representing themselves as a Going Concern.. I am not an accountant, just wondering.
know anybody with the designation?
I guess I spoke too soon. I was trying to be supportive and positive. I have noticed for the last 4 or 5 trading days.. the stock has started out fairly high and then plummeted throughout the day. Seems as if this will become a true penny stock (worth pennies). It may go even lower than my target range of .10 -.20. Based on this, I think uWink may be a good buy around mid-December... waiting for the financials was smart. I would think that between now and then.... some changes must happen in terms of cost-cutting. This will also have a negative effect on the stock, at which it is the perfect time to pounce. .05?
Just remember, the people doing the dumping are mainly institutions.. and individuals thinking about getting a nice tax loss. They know that uWink must get 10 TIMES the volume in licensing revenue this next quarter just to break even. Practical and logical, not emotional.
I will join you as a shareholder in mid-Dec at .05. Here's to a Happy New Year!