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Hi all, the Ibox should now show the trading picture. I had to wait until my ISP opened up, so I could setup my web space, they give me 10 meg's of room.
Humm, windows 98 will run with 64 meg's of ram, but you really need 128 meg's, if you have less than 128 meg's I recommend buying more. Also there are programs out there that will help to free up memory. I recommend Cacheman, for ten dollars you can't beat it. How much free memory do you have left on your hard drive, windows likes a lot. If you have less than a gig, things are starting to get tight. When was the last time you defrag your hard drive, if you are tight on free memory, the swap file is probably fragmented too. Normally windows will not defrag the swap file, so what you have to do is adjust the swap file to zero bites, and then defrag. Then you reset the swap file back to normal. You may want to see what size your browsers cache is set for, 60 meg's should be plenty, you may want to empty it, that may be part of the slowness. You will find that java runs slower than regular programs, if you have the money, upgrade the motherboard and cpu. I have a amd k6/2 at 300mhz, and am trying to explain to the wife why I need to upgrade.
Oh, install and run the latest version of ad-aware, you may have some ad programs on your machine, they will slow down your internet. You may want to empty your cookie folder, and install CookieCop 2. I have only had it a few weeks, but I think it is worth the download.
If you still have problems here is a good place to look for answers. http://www.mvps.org/inetexplorer/
Sounds Good to me, I have to help a friend from 29 June until 6 July, but after that I am open. I live in Krum, just the other side of Denton. Should everyone bring a dish or you supply food and soft drinks, and we bring money to reimburse you?
Conrad, did you know that Robert A. Heinlein was a engineer.
To All Thanks for the input. For some reason I can see it, and you can't. Are you able to grab any of the spread sheets from here? http://www.geocities.com/lostcowboy5/Spreadsheets/
You may need to right click on a link and use save target. I am currently using IE5.5 for my browser,with the IE poverty's IE5WA.exe, and webdevaccess.exe installed. When I click on the link above I get a new window showing a index of the directory, and when I click on a spread sheet link it will open the spread sheet up, or I can right click on it and use save target.
I need some people to try to get the spread sheets, let me know what browser you are using and any IE power toy's, and if successful, how you were able to save it.
Not at all, You will just have longer to go, to get there.
Hi John, about the free AIM spread sheet, he did protect it, but only so you don't accidently change something. You can un-protect it, if you want to experiment with it. If staroffice won't un-protect it, just let us know, and we will send you a unprotected version by email.
Hi All, Don sent me a PM, saying that he could not see the picture, is anyone else having problems seeing it?
I believe the PCA spread sheet has a lot of VB programing in it. Try the free AIM spread sheet at http://www.aim-users.com/aimware.htm
Hi Butch, I see we have another North Texas Texan in the bunch. The numbers are getting up there. Soon we will have enough to have a meeting somewhere.
Conrad may be you are missing your calling, how does scifi writer sound to you?
Bulletin MS01-020 was superseded by MS01-027
I read a little book on saving recently Called the (One Percent Solution, how to save money without really trying by Richard James Curtis. Copyright 1988). In order to invest you ether have to have money already, or be able to save it. They say that America has one of the lowest saving rates of the world. Lets face it we are addicted to spending, some people spend so much that they are in debt.
So how do we change things?
This book has some very good Ideals.
1. Find a goal! Write down ten goals, if possible.
2. Set your goal! Out of the ten pick one that you would do anything to have.
3. Set your saving goal! Most saving books say you should be putting away 10 percent of your income.
4. How to reach your saving goal! This is where the title of the book come's in if you are not saving start out with one percent of your monthly income, and put it away, do this for two months, you are now used to putting away one percent. Now raise it to two percent, at the end of two months raise it again. At the end of 20 months you are at 10 percent. Some of you may be able to do more than 10 percent, and some may have to do less at first.
5. Keep looking for ways to save money.
Before you know it you will be there, you will now have good saving habits set up.
Added a new picture to the Ibox. I have always liked this picture.
Hi Conrad, thank's for the pat on the back. Yes I agree that a person does need to revaluate he's buying and selling criteria on a continuous time frame. I once read a thin book called How to get rich slowly. That had a diagram with both a positive/ and negative feedback loop in it. You would compare a stock to your buying criteria and if it passed, you bought it, If later you were able to sell it at a profit you would put more weight on the criteria that made it a good buy. But if you sold it at a loss, you would review the buying criteria, to ether get rid of the bad criteria that made you have a bad buy, or give it less weight.
Yes that was it. thank you. sent you a email.
Hi all, a long time ago I was trying to Get X-DEV to use average cost, I had made a spreadshheet for this but had not been able to show any improvments. Recently my hard drive crashed and I lost this spreadsheet. I remember giving a copy to someone on the board. If you still have a copy of my spreadsheet, could you send it to lostcowboy@vei.net , think you.
He has several one's, http://www.home.golden.net/~pjponzo/Bollinger.htm#VMA , http://www.home.golden.net/~pjponzo/VMA.htm , http://www.home.golden.net/~pjponzo/EMA.htm ,
Note: look for spread sheets. he likes to give them away. He normaly has them protected so you do not change a cell by mistake. But you can unprotect them to change or add somthing.
You may want to go over to Gummy's web site http://www.home.golden.net/~pjponzo/gummy_stuff.htm
Note be sure to take some Tylenol, before you go, as the higher math may make your head hurt.
Conrad, check which (Portfolio Control) you use. In my old aim spread sheet I use the (Portfolio Control) from the previous Excel line with no errors. I think when you do that your error will go away. Yes you are right Portflio Value(PV) should be from the current line.
A while back I was able to download it. but it did not work with excel97.
Good question, Don't think I have a answer, but here are their top 10 holding's that may help. http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/partsub/funds/holdings.asp?Funds=1&Symbol=SMCFX
And here is a url for what moneycentral calls like funds.
http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/invsub/finder/finderx.asp?Query=MV1QF41Z03T%22SMCFX%22ZF34Z03T%...
I am sure you will want to add to it.
Click on large scale, and you can see around your place. Then click on the download button to save as one picture.
Hi banjanxed, you have not given us very much to go on. But I will try. When you first bought these stocks, you thought to your self I will buy this stock, It is a great stock because, ( fill in the blank). What you have to ask now is, is it still a great stock? If the answer is yes, You should ask your self hard hitting questions like, will this stock survive the current bad times. If the answer is still yes, keep the stock. If the answer is no, sell the stock, and never look back. You have just made the best decision, on the knowledge available to you. Now then what are you to do with the stocks you have left, and what do you do with the money you got from the stocks you decided to sell. Well first you need to be diversified ( minimum of 10 stocks, preferably 20-30 stocks). If you don't have enough money to do that, I say you need to get out of stocks for now and go into a mutual fund, later when you have more money you can go back into stocks.
If you were still putting money in to this IRA, I would say switch to Synchrovest for now. One of the things you need to know for Synchrovest is the average cost. As you probably did not keep a average cost, here is a rough way to get one, right now before selling any stock. Add up all the money you have put into the IRA, and divide by all your shares. This will give you a rough average cost. As the good stocks recover, the portfolio value will go up, when the value is equal to Total cost, if you want to you can go back to AIM ( if you do you want to make a new portfolio control value, I think make it equal to Total cost), but ask Tom Veale, as he has real experience with AIM.
Mr. Lichello said it was ok to switch stocks if you wanted to, and this is a IRA right, so you don't have to worry about taxes. Why not have some dividend paying stocks in the mix, that way you can AIM or Synchrovest the dividends.
Ok, lets say you need to switch some stocks. You need some stocks to look at right. Lets go to some stocks screener's. Lets go to http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/finder/predefstocks.asp first, Now me I like to use the deluxe screener, so hit the link on the top left, this will install the stock screener program onto your computer, Oh I almost forgot, you have to be using internet explorer, now that you have it installed go back to the screen page, read down the left hand side and pick the investing style that you like. Of hand I think you need some Righteous Rockets, but that is for you to decide.
Now then over at http://www.quicken.com/investments/strategies/
They have some more Idea's, maybe you have read The Warren Buffett Way and want to try that, go down until you find his section and click on strong interest. They have four investing styles on this page. Well this should be enough for you to look at for now. Go get them Tiger!
Hi Rien,
In case A three, I think in your hurry you forgot the $20 profit from the short. You have $20+$2=$22, and you have a loss of -$13, so you end up with a profit of $7 If the stock goes down. Of course we did not include commissions here. With commissions added in you may not want to do this deal.
I was talking more in the line of case B, In this case the stock can go down to $45, before your $2 is at risk, but the option cost the person who bought it $2, so he probably won't put any stock to you until the option is worth $2, which will be when the stock is at $43.
Note in my opinion case B should be called covered Put selling, as you have the money in your account to cover any losses. Case A, I would call a hedge
As far as calculating % gain or %loss, It should be based on the amount of money at risk. In this case You have to buy the stock at $45, but you got paid $2 up front, so the amount at risk is $43. Say the stock drops to $20, your %loss would be calculated as ($20-$43)/$43=-.53, -.53*100=-53%
Now then I said that selling a naked call is more dangerous, and the percent loss could be greater than 100%. If I remember right a naked call is when you write a call and do not have the shares in your account, but you do have the money to buy the stock in your account. Lets continue with the stock above. The stock is at $50, you write a call for $55 and get $2 for it.
1. The stock goes to $55 and you get called, You have just lost $3, $52-$55=-$3.
2. The stock goes to $102, you lost !00% of the first $50. If I am not mistaken as the stock goes up you get calls from you broker that you have to put more money in to the account to cover. Now if instead you have the stocks in the account, you will not lose any real money unless the stock goes below $48.
Yes I realize that you could work up a hedge for this trade,but my head is starting to hurt. That's the trouble with options, and shorting, and buying on margin, they make your head hurt figuring them out, and if you figure them wrong they are very likely to hurt you somewhere else.
Ergo, I think that is wrong, selling naked puts, you can only lose 100%, If you sell a naked call you could lose more than 100%
Well yahoo is using adjusted data on the chart being displayed. here is a chart of NAT, one will be from yahoo and one from msn. not sure if I can show the one from msn but will try.
If these show up you can see a large difference in starting price.
To Myst and all, Gerald Appel In his book, where he introduced MACD, found two moving averages that worked best. the one for short term was 12 days. Yes sometimes a 13 day or 11 day would work a little better, but he found that stocks kept coming back to 12 days. I would give you the name of the book again but when the hard drive died I lost my file of good books to read. The book came out in 1979 I believe, and he said he back tested for 10 years. From how good the charts are looking, I would say that the 12 day is still good to day also.
That's ok, here is my outlook on readjusting the data. I think it will have minimum effect on X-DEV if you re-update your historical data, and re-optimize.
Say mm, I don't know if you know of Teresa Lo, she has a web site called http://www.trendvue.com/ Any way she had a group on yahoo, which is closed now, but all the information on swing trading is still there. Here is the url, It may be that you can still join the group and get access to the files. http://groups.yahoo.com/group/ispec/ . If not I can send you the spread sheet on risk.
Hi Rien, call me nuts, but I thought X-DEV was using all four bits of data, open-close-high-low. So the odds are high that they are using the RAW historical data. Try this put REITS in X-DEV and compare it to a yahoo chart. If they both show the up ramp, then they are using the same data feed.
Hi Jibes, nice spread sheet. I am sorry that I was not able to help you on it. I had hard drive problems. I was just starting on the one you sent to me, and checked your new spread sheet and saw that you had fixed it yourself.
Thanks Irwin, I'll check them out. The only negitive about that site that I can see is that you have to give them your email address and they send you the program. A lot of isp's only let you have files one meg or less in sixe.
Cool, glad to hear of it. I had to put my 20 gig hard drive to rest. I am now running on a 4 gig and a old 2 gig. I had planed on putting the 2 gig to rest as some times he has bad bits. But the 5 month old 20 gig beat him to the grave. I will try to get a replacement from western digital, as it was under warrenty.
Yes, I agree it would not work for short term trading, did you get a chance to look at the two books I spoke of? While they are not day trading, they do talk of using stops, and moving them up as the stock goes up. I have read a few books on day trading, not good one's, any sugestions? Not that I could day trade, but I am interested in every thing about the market. As a day trader do you get reduced commisions, because you are in and out of a stock within a day?
I thought I would post some url's to some free software. http://www.fongan.com/MT/ This is my trader in the free version you can track stocks with only a 15 min delay. from what I could see they have a lot of indecators, so if you want to try your luck, you can paper trade to test your ideas. Here is another free software, http://www.stock-anal.com/ I have not tryed it much, but it looks very interesting.
Hi MM, First I don't mind if you guy's talk about other things besides systematic investing, I may learn something. Concerning AIM, when you get right down to it, it is a form of averaging down in a stock or fund. So you will have deep drawdown's. Some people do not like that idea, so AIM is not really for them. In Mr Lichello's book, he wanted you to use dividend paying blue chip stocks or funds. as any stock can lose 50% or more in a bear market, but if you have bought into higher dividend yields it makes the pain easyer to handle.
Excel, don't be to hard on the wife, proberly not her fault. There is proberly a driver that got corupted. The reason you are going into safe mode is that windows wants you to fix it. It is proberly your video driver. In safe mode right click on the desktop, select properties. Then click on the setting tab, then click on advance,then click on adapter then click on change, select bottom button,then next. Select bottom button again, and next. You should now see a window that shows your adapter and compatable drivers. for my machine I have a savage4 pci board. so it is showing two drivers, the savage4 driver that I am using and the standard pci graphic adapter(vga). If you only see one, then click onj the bottom button, in the left window select standard drivers, then in the right window select a vga driver. In my case I think my current driver is corupted so I switch to the standard pci vga one. I the click ok to all the screens and restart the machine. select normual mode. If you come up in normal you know the video driver needs to be reinstalled.
NOTE: your colors will look odd, you are in 16 color mode!
If you still come up in safe mode, to me the quickest way to fix it would be to reinstall windows right on top of the windows you have now. You should not have to reinstall to many programs that way. If you have windows ME or XP you may be able to recover back to a time when you knew the machine ran good.
Let us know how you make out.
Acehi, you need the VB runtime dll's you should be able to get them of the web. You are looking VB6 runtime dll's
What a cool site.