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Um.. restrictions on insider purchases? That's new. If I knew it was a blockbuster, I would invest every last dollar, mortgage my house, take loans out on everything and buy as much stock as I could. They know exactly what is going on with direct and they haven't purchased one measly share. But don't worry, huge news coming next month..
Nwbo execs all make 300k + per year. Not a single one is buying shares at these firesale prices. Don't they want to profit from the huge news in the next couple of months? Don't they want to load their boats before the halt and rec for approval comes next year? Nah..
If there is huge news coming in a few weeks, why didn't NWBO wait to raise capital?
Market is up 2% today and NWBO is down 8% on 3x average volume. That darn market moving AF! Must be somebody with a lot of shares selling today.
No I didn't buy based solely on this board, but it has provided me with a lot of resources over the years. However, I fear there have been many caught up in the hype that constantly resonates here and probably did buy based largely the opinions and speculation. Why do you think companies pay big bucks to PR firms that hire people to post on these boards. Because it is effective. I do feel sorry for the retail folks that lost their ass in this stock.
You seem like a good guy so I'll just say this. Don't let your biased opinions cloud your judgement. You have clearly invested endless hours over the years into this. I honestly hope you have been compensated for your time. It will hurt less when everything is said and done. Good day.
My condolences to everyone who bought earlier this year based on all the hype promoted by this board. AF is going to have the last laugh.
Thanks RK. I hope we hear something positive soon.
Sure, unblinded trial, makes sense.
Good point. I also thought maybe NW has patients sign an agreement to not discuss their clinical activity/results publically.
She certainly is a wild chica.
I have been struggling with some doubt lately regarding the DCVAX L trial. I’ll try to keep this as brief as possible. I’m hoping others that have had the same thoughts at times can help assuage my fears. I like the science behind the vaccine, I love the phase I/II results, but I have a list of concerns regarding the phase III trial:
• Pace of enrollment and trial delays. I understand the delay caused by the market collapse, but that was many years ago. Why haven’t clinics completed enrollment by now? If I was a doctor or investigator in this trial, and 2/3 of my group had exceeded the OS or PFS by a substantial amount, it would be pretty obvious to me that this treatment might be working. Based on that information, I would encourage as many patients as possible to give it a try. This doesn’t seem to be happening.
• Lack of anecdotal evidence of trial participation. We live in an age where people share what they ate for dinner with the world, but there isn’t much discussion anywhere about patients actually enrolled in the trial. I’m not talking about details on how they are fairing, but more like ‘hey I have a friend or relative in that trial.’ There are a couple of long term survivors from the early days, a couple of others that we know may have either received the placebo or did not respond to the vaccine, and a few others mentioned on blogs, etc. (I hope I don’t sound apathetic to the human element in my comments. I realize these patients and their families/friends have endured a tremendous amount of pain and suffering). My point is that it is way too quiet for a trial that has hopefully enrolled well over a hundred people by now.
• Where’s the buzz about this trial in the medical community? If this is the next big thing in science, why haven’t more medical doctors or scientists chimed in?
• Lack of institutional interest and performance of the stock. I would bet all of my money that large investment firms, hedge funds, and big pharma have contacts in the participating clinics. There is a lot of evidence to support my opinion. I understand that it is a double blind trial, however, the participating physicians would know firsthand if there might be a chance of success. Based on the limited institutional investment and rampant selling by hedge funds, I really have to wonder how this treatment could be performing at the exceptional level believed by many on this board. Such significant news would be bound to leak.
Anyway, those are some of my concerns. Feel free to rip them apart.
Good to know he cares so deeply about the retail folks.
Are you still whistling Dixie? Quite the chart indeed!
Why would they restrict the warrants for 6 months? It doesn't deter shorting (6 months to cover, ok no problem). Wouldnt nwbo want the cash raised from the warrants asap rather than defer it six months? What is the strategy here?
Any more NWBO management interviews available.....anyone? I hear management interviews are the most valuable type of posts.
Did you ever hear back from Obama regarding the stock manipulation?
Get ready for 3's.
I understand that the investor will have to pay 5.15 per share to exercise the warrants. For a typical investor, say you or me, we would have to pay to have this option on the table for 2.5 years. Think about how valuable this would be if we reach $20, $50, $100. And this was added for free, as a bonus, to the 11.5 million stock purchase.
$14.1 million of free warrants to sweeten the deal?
So did this institutional investor just get 14.1 million in free warrants?
As you accurately stated, it is a 2:1 vaccine/placebo, so doesn't it seem more likely that he received the vaccine? It is impossible for anyone to know for sure so I would strongly caution against jumping to conclusions. Even under SOC, it is possible for an individual patient to vary from the historical OS (in either direction).
You may want to revisit some of Pyrr's previous posts on this topic. Specifically regarding the unknown patient populations of this group and how different configurations would relate to overall survival.
I think what ticks me off the most, is that even with a great product, lack of execution in the business will inevitably guarantee failure. Without knowing management on a personal level (their level of integrity, honesty, business acumen, etc.) how is one to conduct DD on this one variable that seems absolutely critical to success? I thought I had done a good amount of DD on the products (verified that they were in stores, compared to other products, had friends and family try the drinks for unbiased opinions, etc.) and felt fairly confident that success would be forthcoming, but management has failed on almost every prediction made and the stock with it. So frustrating!
If I misjudged your motives, I apologize.
Really?? Would you have thought buying in the .30s or .40s and selling in the 1.30's or 1.40's was lame?
I just feel like it has been nothing but deception from this company and this board. Yeah I'm bitter. Maybe this is just what investing is all about. I guess you just can't trust anyone anymore (including management).
Hey that's great that you were lucky enough to sell when you did. I'm just saying I think it is disingenuous to promote a stock (while you are selling), especially at a time when many new investors are looking at the stock and probably buying. I guess my approach would be to say something like; hey I think this is a great company, but the stock is getting a little ahead of itself and because of that I'm taking some off the table. I guess that is the difference between us. You lead people to believe the opposite of how you really feel.
Metro told us the day that he sold, and he told us why, and I appreciate and respect that. I don't know if you have been selling recently or not, but I am pretty certain there are others here that are (while they pump). And it wouldn't surprise me at all if you tell us in a few weeks how happy you are that you sold in the 40's. One poster in particular only seems to show up on this board right before a little run up in price followed by a nice dump. Do you know what a pump and dump is?
I totally agree with your post. I hope management understands the liability they will face if the C-water statement about orders proves to be false.
So you don't care to talk about all the posts you made while you were selling in the 1.30's? I seem to recall several posts talking about new highs, 2.00 by the end of the year, 5.00 in a couple of years, etc. All while you were selling. Actually sounds pretty similar to what we have been hearing around here lately.
There are some good comments on the ymb with regard to the history of Clearly Canadian. The gross over estimation of product demand by management and high pricing are striking similarities. Check it out if you are interested in doing some DD.
What is really funny is that one of the paid for investment reports last year actually referred to plsb as Clearly Canadian II. There was probably more truth to that then they ever realized.
Driller, you are incorrect in your assumptions. The people gripping on this board are the folks that have been invested for several years. Your comments about day trading and making a quick buck are insulting. It is the people trading in and out that have nothing but praise for the company. Not sure if you are intentionally ignoring this fact or not.
What happened? Weren't we just in the .40's? Everything had turned around. .30's were gone for good. Now here we are back at .32, looking for 20's.
Solid advice. Maybe you could also provide some advice related to stock pumpers, their objectives, some of the clues to look for, and the associated risks.
Something has to change in order for the situation to improve. New sales outlets, new product rollout, financing news, something..anything.
34's are available today. Please buy all you can. Thanks
Mr. Flipper,
I forgot to say thank you for taking the time to respond to my questions last night. Your message was well written and heartfelt. I hope the power of intent is strong enough with regard to Direct.
Cheers
The 2nd time around it almost sounds like a payment dispute ending with the clinic upset and withdrawing from further treatment.
From earlier today - Rkmatters:
"Do you know how much hospitals are paid to be part of the clinical trial? In one of Pearlson's comments back to me yesterday, he said NYU has stopped recruiting because they aren't being paid much (my nephew was treated there). Meanwhile, they recruited for years, and so did Overlook. Both remain active (meaning they have patients still receiving the vaccine) but have stopped enrollment. I believe Anthony's doctor was Dr. Michael Gruber, but he had so many, and I don't want to ask my brother. I know as of December 2013, Overlook still referred to the study. Anyway, what I'm really asking is that "not getting paid much" possibly just code for enrollment being close to done in the US, so they are scaling on sites here, but mostly adding patients overseas before the HE payor kicks in coverage? For a hospital, who frankly isn't doing much as far as DC Vax-L treatment is concerned, to suddenly bow out after years of being in the study and him to be told (by whom I don't know) it's related to payment is odd. Wonder if you had thoughts on this."
No further discussion on this? I find it quite odd too. I believe the vaccine has to be provided at no cost to the clinics and of course imagined training and setup costs for each facility prior to treatment, but does NWBO have to pay other fees on top of all that? Does anyone know if this is per patient, amount, etc? Maybe this is why some of the other sites have also withdrawn. If additional sites withdraw, how much of an impact will this have on the already very slow enrollment?
What do you see as the big catalyst?
Great post. Thank you for your contributions to the board.