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OT Jimlur, do you have any idea why I can't post on raging bull, I can read the messages, but whenever I try to post I get that internet explorer page page not found etc., is there a glitch to the site, have you heard of this happening before, thanks
Good find Jim, I have always been a believer in the Peter Lynch philosophy of investing, I do believe we will find that answer out by early 2005
I don't know, doubt he was saying it to set up some future statement about IDCC, does anyone know his contact info
just one more post to refer back to when you are wrong
100 dollars it is less than 8 points, it won't be higher than 3, right now most polls have you up by 3, you will go no higher than 6 up
then after the first debate it will be back to even, maybe even kerry ahead, but you are forgetting one thing, the popular vote poll means nothing, the electoral one is what counts
check zogby.com to find a wakeup call for you
Jim, I wish I knew his number, if anyone knows how to contact him, by all means do it
dmiller that was just a minimum of what he was looking for
ATTN NEWS Peter Lynch Says "I'm going to take a look at IDCC"
Well close, in the latest issue of Smart Money page 93, he says
"If I can buy a company that's close to breakeven that has 80 million in cash and no debt, and the company is valued at 40 million, I'm going to take a look at it. I don't care if they're selling software or semiconductors or computer components."
Sounds like we fit all of those parameters, maybe one of you guys should email him some information on IDCC.
The Last Word: Too Close to Call? Maybe.By John Zogby
Newsweek InternationalSept. 6-13 issue - One of the most divisive elections in U.S. history is entering its home stretch, and the race is tighter than ever. As John Kerry and President George W. Bush wage war in the battleground states—courting swing voters and the all-important undecideds—pollsters such as John Zogby, president and CEO of Zogby International, are trying desperately to track each minute shift in public sentiment. With many key states—Florida, Missouri, Tennessee, Iowa and Arkansas, among others—"too close to call," as Zogby puts it, making a prediction right now is impossible. "My balls are made of steel, not crystal," he says. But the veteran pollster did share some of his insights on the election with NEWSWEEK's Malcolm Beith shortly before the Republican convention in New York. Excerpts:
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NEWSWEEK: The latest polls, including one by the L.A. Times, show Bush ahead for this first time this year.
ZOGBY: According to our last polls, Kerry is still ahead. These polls don't really change the way I see the race. The popular vote is close, with the edge to Kerry. And I think Kerry has the edge in many battleground states. If the election were today, it would be a close popular vote, but a not-so-close electoral vote.
Kerry didn't get much of a bounce from the Democratic convention. Will Bush fare better after the Republican National Convention?
This is not a big-bounce election. You really only have 5 percent hardcore undecideds. We're already in two warring camps. But yes, Bush will do better. I think he will at the very least recapture many disaffected Republicans.
We keep hearing about the importance of swing states and undecideds. How exactly will they determine this election?
Because there are so many of them that are too close to call, you're seeing candidates go to Native American tribes, tripping over each other to visit Arab-American communities. No group is too small this year. In terms of the undecideds, they traditionally break for the challenger. They know the incumbent, they've made up their minds. Now who's the new guy? We are coming out with an extensive poll of undecideds. The bottom line is they don't like the job [Bush] is doing. They're closer to the president, though, in terms of traditional values. They're closer to Kerry on issues. Take the economy for example—Kerry leads by double digits. For those who cite the war as the top issue, Kerry leads by double digits. Education, health care, Kerry by double digits. The issues are clearly with Kerry.
Do you believe current disapproval of Bush can be reversed?
It will be hard to turn around. The president is in the uncomfortable position of being beholden to situations beyond his control. What does he do about the economy between now and November? The war in Iraq, how can he manage that?
A recent Pew poll showed many Americans consider foreign policy to be a crucial election issue this year. Which candidate does this benefit most?
The president—you don't change captains in the middle of a war. Also, Kerry's position on the war has hardly been different. It's too nuanced for the undecideds to pick up. However, opposition to the war is growing, which does fuel Kerry as the anti-Bush.
Surveys also show that many Americans feel their country's standing in the world needs to be improved.
This is very important to groups already inclined against Bush—but apparently not to the undecideds. Still, issues like this keep the anger level up, and make a lot of people hang their raincoats and boots next to the door, ready to vote at a moment's notice, despite the weather.
So it will help turn out the vote. What about an October surprise—capturing Osama bin Laden, say? Would that bounce Bush to victory?
I call this the fourth bounce. Take a rubber ball and bounce it as hard as you can—physics takes over from there. The big bounce came after 9/11, but the president went right back down again. He jumped up again because of the war, but only to the high 60s rather than the high 80s. He went right back down in six weeks, to 50-50. On Dec. 15, Saddam was captured. A very big deal, but this time—the third bounce of the rubber ball—he went up to 57 in my poll and was back down in two weeks. My sense is that something like the capture of Osama bin Laden would give him a very small short bounce, not a long-lasting one.
How about a major attack in the United States?
Interestingly, that number has been zigzagging. I don't know where it'll end up.
And a major attack on U.S. soldiers or civilians in Iraq?
Anything in Iraq hurts the president right now. The most important thing is that we are approaching the 1,000 mark of American soldier losses, and that will be a very unfortunate front-page story for the president.
You believe this election is in Kerry's grasp?
Yes. It's his to lose.
I agree about those accusations, they are the stupidest things I have ever heard, you really are brainwashed if you believe those conspiracies
bulldozer aren't you a member of the Houston Cabal, how in the hell are you not a Republican
if Bush gets reelected I can only think that at the current time we have the most uninformed and stupidest people in history
To ALL, check out Bush's interview with NY Times, what kind of reporters do we have when bush said i don't give dictators timelines, hmmm, could we get a follow up question
The Al Franken Show's Blog
Tuesday, August 3: Paul Krugman, Joy Behar, Jehane Noujaim.
NEW THREAD
Smell that new-thread smell.
Ben Wikler
Posted 08.28.2004 · Comments (250)
PIRATE DAY: DOWNLOAD "BARNACLE BILL"
On the first Pirate Day--that is, when we actually did it live--we posted the lyrics to our closing song, Barnacle Bill the Sailor.
This time, we're posting the audio.
(Incidentally: if you're ever trying to figure out how to link to a particular blog entry, search for it using the "search" box on the right-hand side of the page. The results will give you permanent links. Yes, we know--primitive. But for now, it works.)
Ben Wikler
Posted 08.27.2004 · Comments (490)
BACKFIRE
The AP (via DailyKos) reports:
Americans increasingly believe President Bush's re-election campaign is behind the ads attacking Democrat John Kerry's Vietnam experience, a poll found.
Almost half in a poll taken this week say they think the president's campaign is behind the ads that try to undercut Kerry's medals for heroism while just over a third think the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth is an independent group, the National Annenberg Election Survey found.
The Swift boat ads, which ran in three swing states earlier this month, challenged Kerry's wartime service in Vietnam for which he received five medals.
The public's belief that Kerry did not earn his medals grew to 30 percent when the attack ads got widespread publicity on cable news networks. But that number has dropped to 24 percent now.
If Bush actually directly disavows the Swift Liar ads, it will create another huge wave of news coverage of his campaign's links to them, which hurt him. And if he continues to fail to denounce them, which is more likely, the appearance that he's behind them will also continue to grow. This is what happens when you smear someone--and they hit back.
Ben Wikler
Posted 08.27.2004 · Comments (57)
CHOICES
From the guy who got Bush into the National Guard: video; context.
Ben Wikler
Posted 08.27.2004 · Comments (299)
BUSH
From an fantastically clearly-written NYTimes article about an interview with Bush. Read it, read it, read it.
A few highlights:
Mr. Bush ... acknowledged for the first time that he made a "miscalculation of what the conditions would be'' in postwar Iraq.
Great! The first step is admitting that you made a mistake. So, far, so good. But soon...
Mr. Bush deflected efforts to inquire further into what went wrong with the occupation, suggesting that such questions should be left to historians, and insisting, as his father used to, that he would resist going "on the couch'' to rethink decisions.
Ah. See, the next step is usually to learn from your mistakes. Nuts. And then:
On environmental issues, Mr. Bush appeared unfamiliar with an administration report delivered to Congress on Wednesday that indicated that emissions of carbon dioxide and other heat-trapping gases were the only likely explanation for global warming over the last three decades. Previously, Mr. Bush and other officials had emphasized uncertainties in understanding the causes and consequences of global warming.
The new report was signed by Mr. Bush's secretaries of energy and commerce and his science adviser. Asked why the administration had changed its position on what causes global warming, Mr. Bush replied, "Ah, we did? I don't think so."
Um. Comforting. And things get even weirder:
Mr. Bush conducted the interview in an unusual setting: A cinderblock dressing room, outfitted with a conference table and leather reclining chairs, accessible only by walking through a men's room underneath a small stadium here, where he appeared for a campaign rally.
...which is particularly perplexing, given that
The president was joined by one of his closest advisers, Karen P. Hughes, who is now traveling with him; the national security adviser, Condoleezza Rice; former Mayor Rudolph W. Giuliani of New York, who was introducing him at rallies across the state; and his press secretary, Scott McClellan.
...meaning that Hughes and Rice must have walked through the men's room. But I guess he is the president, so he can change the rules.
This was also comforting:
Showing none of the alarm about [North Korea's] growing arsenal that he once voiced regularly about Iraq, he opened his palms and shrugged when an interviewer noted that new intelligence reports indicate that the North may now have the fuel to produce six or eight nuclear weapons.
Don't worry--President Bush had an explanation.
He said that in North Korea's case, and in Iran's, he would not be rushed to set deadlines for the countries to disarm, despite his past declaration that he would not "tolerate'' nuclear capability in either nation. He declined to define what he meant by "tolerate.''
"I don't think you give timelines to dictators,'' Mr. Bush said.
Of course not! That would be ridiculous! Nobody would ever do that.
Nobody would ever say something like
Saddam Hussein and his sons must leave Iraq within 48 hours. Their refusal to do so will result in military conflict commenced at a time of our choosing.
Ben Wikler
Barnes says he regrets getting Bush into Texas Air National Guard in 1968
By R.G. RATCLIFFE
Copyright 2004 Houston Chronicle
RESOURCES
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Current time in Baghdad: 10:43 p.m. Saturday
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Abu Ghraib scandal:
• DOD independent panel's final report
• The Taguba report
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
What's next:
• Click through blueprint for a new Iraq
• Timetable for Iraqi elections
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Video:
• Soldier agrees to plea deal in Abu Ghraib case / 8/24
• Iraq calls on militants to leave shrine / 8/19
• Mortar attacks kills 7 in Baghdad / 8/17
• Delegates urged al-Sadr to leave shrine / 8/16
• Iraqi government tells journalists to leave Najaf / 8/15
• Iraqi conference to proceed amid violence / 8/14
• Truce talks collapse in Najaf / 8/14
• U.S. bombing runs target militants in Samarrah / 8/14
• Al-Sadr aides negotiate truce / 8/13
• Helicopters pound Najaf cemetery / 8/10
• Car bomb kills 6 Iraqi policemen / 8/9
• Chalabi, nephew reject charges / 8/9
• 3 U.S. troops killed in Najaf fighting / 8/6
• Militants down U.S. helicopter / 8/5
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Webcast:
Department of Defense daily briefings
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Multimedia:
• Abu Ghraib Prison
• Geneva Convention
• Iraq: A year of war
• Saddam's hideout
• Iraq profile
• Reconstructing Iraq
(Requires Flash plug-in)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Photo galleries:
• Soldiers accused of Abu Ghraib abuse
• Prisoner abuse photos (Warning: Graphic content)
• Changing times: April 2004
• Iraqis attack U.S. contractors, parade corpses (Warning: Graphic content)
• Saddam Hussein caught
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Background:
• Map of Iraq
• Security Council resolution / 6/8
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HOT TOPIC
• AMERICA IN IRAQ: Complete coverage
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Video courtesy The AP; (Free Real Player required.)
(PDF files require Acrobat Reader.)
Former Democratic Lt. Gov. Ben Barnes, in a video posted on the Internet, says he is ashamed that he got President Bush and other young men from important families into the Texas Air National Guard to avoid service in Vietnam.
Barnes, a supporter of Democratic presidential nominee John Kerry, in the past has not personally discussed his role in getting Bush into the Guard. He previously said in a statement that he recommended Bush for a pilot's position at the request of a Bush family friend.
Bush has denied entering the Guard in 1968 to avoid Vietnam service.
With controversy swirling around Kerry's service as a swift boat commander in Vietnam, Barnes' latest statements renew questions about Bush's military record but also about Barnes' motivation for telling his story.
"It is no surprise that a partisan Democrat is making these statements," said Bush spokeswoman Claire Buchan.
"This was addressed five years ago, and there's nothing new," she added.
The Barnes video was shot at a May 27 meeting of Kerry supporters in Austin.
"I got a young man named George W. Bush into the National Guard when I was lieutenant governor of Texas, and I'm not necessarily proud of that, but I did it," Barnes said. Barnes actually was Texas House speaker when Bush entered the Guard.
Bush's father at the time was a congressman from Houston.
"I got a lot of other people in the National Guard because I thought that's what people should do when you're in office: You help a lot of rich people."
Barnes told the crowd he came to seriously regret his actions recently after visiting the Vietnam Veterans Memorial and seeing the names of men and women who died in the Southeast Asian conflict.
r.g.ratcliffe@chron.com
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If we are on ignore than why are you still bothering us
Wow, can we find a subject more boring than Japanese patents, doubt it, I've been hearing on these boards for years about these Japanese patents, if we don't get a favorable Nokia ruling this company is dead, everything else does not matter
smart move I have the jan 35 2006 options, I think that is a great play right now, because by 2006 if we are not above 50 then we are not looking good at all
Sounds like a good play, I own Jan 35 2006 options, I'd say it is worth it to go for those, although if I were you I might wait a little longer, doesn't look like my august prediction of news is panning out, you might be able to get those a little cheaper, although if it went to 60 cents you only gain 200 bucks on the premium, so I would say go for it, I might even pick up some, good luck
To All Can you or anyone here answer the question of why there are only 12,000 troops hunting Bin Laden, I mean if Bush got Bin Laden before the election it would probably seal the deal for him, I can't find any conceivable reason why we don't have at a minimum 50,000 troops there, if it were me I would pour the same resources we have in Iraq there, right on the Pakistan/Afghanistan border, I wouldn't leave until Bin Laden and his cronies were dead or in chains
I wouldn't care what Pakistan told me, I would tell them this is what we are doing, if you don't like it too bad
Did anything Mickeybritt say ever come true, I don't recall one of his rumors panning out
Reelect Bush and you just might see the draft
Typical quote from somebody who probably never served, I bet you have no family fighting in Iraq, no what you don't understand is that yes you volunteer to defend this nation at all costs, but the responsibility falls to our leaders and to number one our commander in chief to use those forces only when it is absolutely necessary
and don't smear the victims of 9/11, Iraq had nothing to do with 9/11, the Iraq war has nothing to do with fighting terrorism, we currently have 12,000 troops hunting Bin Laden, that is our enemy, I guess you like the fact that the man behind 9/11 is enjoying life with hardly any troops hunting him, laughing why we make life easy for his recruiting station with our Iraq folly and over 120,000 troops
If we were looking to control terrorism we would have 100,000 troops pouring into that Pakistan Afghanistan border and we wouldn't leave until we had Bin Laden and his top associates dead or in chains. It is amazing that the country is not up in arms over that, and it is amazing that pseudo conservatives like you support wars against countries that never attacked us
That is the sickness of guys like you, lies about sex bother you, but lies that send young men to die don't bother you, very strange, I wonder if the thing with Clinton and guys like you is jealousy, what's the matter, didn't get laid enough
Time to get some new lines, a little intelligence is all it takes for some creativity
it is a smart play
of course there is easy money in the stock market, you just have to know how to find it, if there wasn't then a lot of people wouldn't be here
zit you are such a liar, if this media was so liberal than the swift boat liars would have been regulated to the 3 states that their ads played on, all of those Soros 527's have gotten zero coverage in the press, pick one move on ad you heard of and maybe it had 5 percent of the coverage that the swift boat clowns got, the whole liberal media is a lie made up by you and guys like Rush and Hannity, of course news is biased and opinionated, it is impossible not to be, but if you think there is a bunch of media barons sitting in a room plotting to favor democrats you are smoking crack, the media worships money, there are some really good writers and tv guys who try to be independent and do a good job, then you have right wing hacks and left wing hacks, but the bottom line is media is owned by corporations and they are going to favor money first over any party
the media's objective right now is to keep the race close so the public watches, that has always been their mo in these presidential elections, that is one of the reasons the swifties are getting so much coverage, they don't want Kerry jumping too far ahead, if Bush gets a bounce out of the convention, you will see them knock him down, it is all a game with the media
ok chicken hawk
You are a very intelligent man eom
So now let me get this straight, we are letting Sadr's men walk away free with their weapons for a 4th time, biggest mistake, you don't invite a thug to the government, when are we going to learn, we keep fighting this SENSITIVE war and more gi's are getting killed, they should have finished Sadr off the first time
Still not sure of the effect of those ads, right now most national polls show Kerry down by 2 or 3 points, not too much to worry about, within the margin of error, more importantly the very accurate zogby poll has Kerry ahead in the electoral college 286 to 214
right now i don't feel too confident or too scared, just in the middle, i think Kerry survived the swift boat blitz, but it did cause him to waste time and lose any momentum he could garner before the convention
however if it makes some independents to rally behind him in the end then the ads were a mistake
just not sure right now, he has always been a strong finisher, after the convention, we better see some action from the Kerry campaign, the independents are just sitting there begging to be convinced, hopefully Kerry can get the job done
no they just make commercials putting pictures of saddamm with max cleland, give me a break, you don't have to use those exact words to question someone's patriotism, what are we in kindergarten, we are a little more intelligent than that
anyway if you answer this post i will show quotes from sean hannity questioning patriotism, but of course you have to answer if you or any family member served in the military for which you are such a big brave man
in fact I am trying to find the wav file from GlenGarry Glen Ross, if someone can find it, please let me know, because I know Zit likes those, well anyway here is the Al Pacino quote which fits Zitboy perfectly
OH WHAT A BIG MAN YOU ARE, HEY LET ME BUY YOU A PACK OF GUM, SHOW YOU HOW TO CHEW IT
HERE IS THE LINK
http://www.ebaumsworld.com/pacino2.html
for some reason can't extract the file so we can hear it here
Ed, Savage makes me laugh on occasion, actually like when he talks about life in general more than politics, if you listen to him talk about life the man is extremely intelligent and thoughtful and has a pragmatic and funny view about life
But to say he is independent is laughable, the man basically blames terrorism on hillary clinton and the democrats, when paul johnson got beheaded he blamed it on the democrats and liberals, he is way off base when it comes to politics, but you know where he is coming from so it is funny, and actually he is one of the few conservative talk radio guys who is not afraid to criticize Bush and other Republicans
but rarely if ever will he praise a Democrat, he is no independent, but I give him credit for saying some things that are true but people are afraid to say because we live in fear of political correctness
thank you
surprised we are not up after this report
pretty funny but as usual your posted articles are pretty distorted
did Bush's family invest in companies that supported the Nazi's, yes, so did most of America, did any of these companies know that their money would go on to fund concentration camps, nope
in fact big business liked hitler in the beginning because he was anti communist and pro business
did Bush's family try to cover up the fact of who they supported, yes, i'm sure every company did, now the question is did they still do business when it was forbidden, if the answer is yes than that is a crime and should be dealt with, but by no means can you link the Nazi's killing of the Jews with the Bush family
you really know how to alienate people with your articles
hahaha, boy you are funny, apples and oranges, they don't compare, so you are saying we have the same level of freedom as nazi germany, first of all you can't cherrypick events and leave out others and claim it is a similar situation, secondly the burning of the reichstag was an intentional act,
yes the patriot act is flawed, but nobody is sneaking into homes right now, besides that part of the patriot act has already been repealed
bush didn't even want the department of homeland security, he only gave in because democrats were going to initiate the legislation
you are so far off, how convenient you left out 90 percent of the rest of german history
when did I say I was embedded in the doctrine, I can disagree with them without labeling them as evil, they are patriots, you think they don't believe in what they are doing, they are just wrong
yes congratulations, so do I, how many people do you know 10, 20, that makes what you say correct, come off of it, trying to compare our country with nazi germany, i can blow 20 million holes in your argument, it is not even worth it, you think a guy like michael moore would be walking around in nazi germany if he had made a film making fun of hitler, please, get another wacked out theory
yes congratulations, so do I, how many people do you know 10, 20, that makes what you say correct, come off of it, trying to compare our country with nazi germany, i can blow 20 million holes in your argument, it is not even worth it, you think a guy like michael moore would be walking around in nazi germany if he had made a film making fun of hitler, please, get another wacked out theory
yes congratulations, so do I, how many people do you know 10, 20, that makes what you say correct, come off of it, trying to compare our country with nazi germany, i can blow 20 million holes in your argument, it is not even worth it, you think a guy like michael moore would be walking around in nazi germany if he had made a film making fun of hitler, please, get another wacked out theory