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short volume as a % of total daily volume is growing on a daily basis again
there are at least 2 situations where a short squeeze could occur
1)where such volume exceeds 30%-short squeeze sites follow such companies-
2)when the price and volume rise suddenly and substantively- the most likely scenario when ZN announces a commercial field
then due to rising volume shorts day to cover(number of shorts divided by the daily volume-will shrink rapidly from the current 12 days reported by tisdale to perhaps just a couple days w sufficient volume-
which will cause a short panic -bashing to the nth degree and other attempted manipulations--they-at least the organized group-are counting on their old friend and ally to get them out of trouble and profit as they expect every time
http://www.volumebot.com/?s=zn
thanks for introducing yourself and keeping a dry roof over peoples heads
i'm assuming that in just a few seconds it wasnt possible to determine whether it might be a ZN rig- date of the program might be useful.
nice moniker-grace and peace were roman and greek greetings used often in the nt letters,as you probably know,similar to the hebrew shalom,which embraced the physical mental and spiritual as well economic well being.
one way to date tbn programs is by who is leading them- Paul Crouch sr or jr(left nov 2011) or Matt,who assumed control after paul sr and pink hair lady left this earth
yes they wouldn't spend however long it has been in testing-oil was reported in the drilling mud Feb 13-on a dry well.
again, kyoil says he has never seen a well with even 2 of the conditions present here be anything other than a commercial well
you mention all the reports just for the israeli authorities- people are not aware of all the reports they have to be working on at the same time-working on reports must feel like a full time job itself right now
if people go back and look at the extensively detailed report just for a previous dry well you can imagine all the detail they will have to provide for this well- jryan posted a link to a previous detailed report some time ago
every stock i've looked at has experienced delays just as we do in our personal lives-1 of shorters jobs is to convince that only happens w whatever stock they are reporting on at the time to get longs running around in circles
the adversary is running in circles-'i cant let longs win even one battle-the well is commercial-so i have to use my swamp era alphabet agency to try to stop this bc i'm the g-d of this world-follow me-not Him'
if He wants to bless His people and the only company i've ever seen with this witness,this would be the logical place to start-pray that His will be done on earth
there have been many positive reports without revealing material non-public info
shouldn't read too much into the perceived 'attitude' of just 1 email-its not Dustin Guinns job- that's IR's job---
in the countless stocks i've studied only 1 other officer answered emails that i can remember
he's probably received 100's or thousands of emails- its hard for me to keep up w the hundreds of emails i get everyday and to read thru every post plus handle another job,
just as dustin has to do-he's probably working long hours handling suppliers, contacts, minor mechanical problems,sec, the coming 10q due aug 15,testing, working with other officers and employees
its a pressure situation culminating an 18 year search
and he has many pressuring him for material non-public info which would be an sec violation unless he PR'd within ca 24 hours-doesnt need that headache
inevitably you have some who give up and start posting negatively - happens in just about every if not every stock-we live in a microwave generation that has lost the art and ability of patience and endurance
they have a dream team-we saw and heard that at the meeting and from tisdale etc
the 2 pronged goal-to help israel-the apple of his eye- though still secular- in its geopolitical situation by providing oil and by glorifying Him- is unique among these stocks-and if you follow the social political situation- the long promised judgment deliverance has begun-the release of the wealth of the wic--- to the just-the 'punishment' of the wealth of the wic---(the latter i just personally heard july 26) as we see in Mark Taylors words
for whatever reason i, like many, feel like i've been led back to this situation-to be punished for zn's 2 goals -no!
some say He told them its a gigantic find-somebody sold and since has posted negatively-i didn't respond bc i felt that might be rude
one or more big boys/funds have been prying cheap shares loose- big boys know how to do/buy dd!
the adversary knows whether the field is commercial- if it were a dry hole w just some oil in it then why would the adversary have to resort to operating thru the sec???? imo thats where the danger is -and why i've said that situation calls for prayer
kyoil has said he's never seen a situation with 2 of the 3 conditions here be non-commercial!!!
and why would it take this long to test a dry hole -kyoil said it wouldn't-
they wouldn't keep spending money on something that was a dry hole! common sense
we are not ignorant of the adversaries devices but if the unique community here and the unique dream team with a witness i've never seen before despite several decades of being sent-then we might as well all give into the adversary and dig our graves,which unfortunately would not hold us
more like the fields beyond the parking lot
-but big boys are still buying-even though some buyer fund managers take fridays off-
many use the word scam bc they mistakenly rely on a single court opinion that they think absolves them of all defamation bc that one court opinion said the use of that word was just an opinion
the U.S Supreme ct in 1964 set 'reckless disregard for the truth' as the defamation standard for public officials and famous personalities- negligence for the ordinary person- zn officials are somewhere in between those 2 standards
transitions are always stressful- stress indexes show that good events are mark a change in life are equally stressful
i agree-think he's tired because its been a lot of work -the culmination of an 18 yr search- he's probably received 100's, maybe thousands, of queries -so i dont email myself - i just read what others share here
i only know offhand of one other officer of a company that even bothered to reply to emails
he's had to deal with usual minor mechanical delays as per another posters email reply-anybody would be tired
they -based on past wells-are having to put together a very long detailed well report
plus a 10Q
plus deal with a shorters best friends inquiry
as tisdale reported shorts rose 2 million despite the timeline to announcement getting closer
since that is illogical in the normal sense,I suspect its because a specialized cartel which shorts stocks under sec watch is betting their old friend sec will come through for them again.
During the swamp era-since 2009-the sec dtcc otc mm's brokers etc have in my experience aided shorters every time in their quest.
Such agencies and the entities they greenlight have seemingly attacked every good stock i've had a position in,which is why I've emphasized the need for prayer re this issue.
I just bought some more as well-Fridays are usually slow trading days which alter buy sell ratio in favor of sellers until news
I didnt see any statement of downgrade in the article-as another poster pointed out obliquely this kind of analyst has nothing to go on since there isnt officially any revenue reported yet
they are still testing-cant start next hole while still using derrick on this one- one thing at a time
if the pps rises rapidly it would also be cheaper to buy direct from
ZN on their website with as you say the 10k cap/buyer preventing big boys from taking advantage with their supercomputers,since such buying averages the low and high of the day
it is 10k/buyer/day isnt it?
the transition from 18 years of effort/dry holes to a meaningful preliminary estimate of a reservoir should be dramatic,
realizing as Jryan and Kyoil and tisdale etc have said it would require additional wells to more fully map any reservoir
the above have mentioned 25-50/share or more- I really couldnt even guess,especially with oil companies on peoples radar due to rising price of oil
but my mention of triple was in reference to only the 2 days after an announcement,trying to be conservative because such an announcement would be much more dramatic than the Feb 13 report of oil in the drilling mud, since Kyoil has said many such holes are not commercial,but he's never seen a hole with even 2 of the 3 conditions here turn out to be non-commercial
on average Fridays and Mondays are slow trading days which benefit shorts but I bought more yesterday because could not chance a PR providing results
ZN went from 2.25 Feb 12 to 4.47 Feb 13 on announcement of oil in the drilling mud-almost doubling in one day
so there's a good chance ZN would triple in a couple days on announcement of a decent commercial resource if shorters swamp era friend stays out of it
sorry I didnt say before but many years ago I paid 1.xx per share-bought more today- becoming a regular event this year
I hope you are right -but if you are it would be a first in my experience
pps on average has been on a steady rise since the 3.05 low ca 10 days ago-i see somebody is still prying loose cheap fares for his employer
sec stated "this does not mean they have concluded that zn nor anybody else has violated the law" to paraphrase
that statement is part of the official filing and i have pointed out before this is not a sec vs zn lawsuit by sec against zn but merely "a non public fact finding investigation" at this point.
https://www.otcmarkets.com/filing/html?id=12856777&guid=OXHoUpRXNqSxBbh
all indications are this is a commercial well-an oil expert here says he has never seen a well with even 2 of the 3 conditions here turn out to be non-commercial and challenged anybody to show otherwise-and nobody has even attempted to take up the challenge
during the period from 2009-2017 shorters effectively instigated sec investigations and actions via their complaints to the sec
as has been shown by jryan etc happened here,effectively using not just the sec as an atm but brokers(1000's of stocks restricted during that time frame) and dtcc (many have stated is effectively controlled by brokers) and otc etc to drop pps and thus profit
but the latter 3 types of manipulations are unlikely for a fully listed NASDAQ stock like zn,which is why they are trying their old friend-the sec atm.
The only question this time is whether He is going to allow that type of manipulation(meaning an sec action vs the present non public fact finding investigation)now that 2 of the 5 sec commissioners last i looked are new political appointees who dont believe the swamp mantra that "all business is evil and has to be stopped"(even though the sec commissioners themselves dont usually rule on these things themselves,they and even the new administration have some influence on these things.
So this info is something to be used as an object of focused prayer,including that a third probusiness constitution minded sec commissioner replace an anti-business commissioner,so that orders cannot proceed from the sec commissioners themselves to subordinates to...
they may have said it first at the june 5 meeting- dont remember
but I've always interpreted the June 19 update as resetting the clock:
"Therefore, we will not be releasing any information, other than operational updates, until we have concluded the initial testing and analyzed the results of the primary targets at a minimum.
"This should take weeks, not months, unless unexpected mechanical issues arise.
and there was a report by a poster noting IR had said there were minor mechanical delays
but an operational update was not going to be issued
any such request by the state of israel- if a voluntary request -would have to be weighed by zn,considering the fiduciary duty to keep stockholders informed-with sec watching over zn's shoulders re such fiduciary duty
but if the state had a compelling state interest to blackout news for a period and exercised authority to do so for security etc purposes,then it would be ok for zn to do so.
i dont want to direct link, but, no, the o/s is ca 59 million- jryans use of 77,777.777 shares assumes a rights offering to raise capital to drill additional wells
w the shares after such an offering being, e.g 77,777,777.
just ask a mod to remove it -posts can be removed at authors request-
on some boards there is a time limit for mods to remove a post-like the zn board i mod-and then after a set time for mods to remove a post mods can relay your request to admin,who can remove a post anytime
somebody reported from IR a day or 2 ago that there were 1 or more mechanical delays but nothing out of the ordinary- apparently nothing major
not everybody knows there is actually an oil drill rig on land in n israel!!
so without notifying IDF they might think enemy fire and interpret top of oil rig on radar as air craft sneaking under radar
and we wouldnt want idf to send a heat seeking missile to meet the flare stack
I'm sure ZN is aware of the geopolitical situation-after all their purpose is to give Israel oil so they are not beholden to unfriendly countries for that oil
maybe they better inform idf before they produce a fireball that big
after my faith, logic was my next strongest field -and from what i've seen of the market up close since 2009 i've not seen much logic-mostly emotion and overreaction
loosely the current book value(bv)of zn is the stockholders equity(23m as of last 10q) due to 25.9 m of exploration cost being capitalized (expenditures that are counted as assets for accounting purposes though they are not assets in the normal sense)so right now zn only has a ca .39 bv (23m stockholders equity divided by ca 59m shares o/s)
since the market has already factored in some present value of future oil since the 2-13 PR re oil in the circulating mud
once zn has earnings can of course do eps and PE- price earnings ratio -as you already know
but net present value of the amount of oil presumed to be recovered each year -discounted to the current value of those future earnings-would seem to be 1 of the best methods- IF those future figures were known-which of course they are not- since we have no figures from testing yet
and of course if infrastructure-future build out- cost is known-but it is not known yet-so too many variables for me to compute
fundamental investors buy based on bv- w best stocks having pps less than 3 times of the bv
does anybody know what average pps to bv is in the oil industry?
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/n/npv.asp
excellent-wanted to make sure everybody understood what u had said prior re this
and assuming all other things being equal:
Flow rate is directly proportional to the pressure gradient and the fourth power of the radius of the pipe.
Applying Poiseuille's Law
Even when turbulence is a factor, you can still use Poiseuille's equation to get a reasonably accurate idea of the how flow rate changes with pipe diameter. Keep in mind that the stated size of a pipe is a measure of its diameter, and you need the radius to apply Poiseuille's law. The radius is half the diameter.
Suppose you have a length of 2-inch water pipe, and you want to know how much the flow rate will increase if you replace it with 6-inch pipe. That's a change in radius of 2 inches. Assume the length of the pipe and the pressure are constant. The temperature of the water should also be constant, because the viscosity of water increases as the temperature decreases. If all these conditions are met, the flow rate will change by a factor of 24, or 16.
https://sciencing.com/flow-rate-vs-pipe-size-7270380.html
a short squeeze usually isnt likely til 30% short-short squeeze sites are set up to follow stocks w 30% or more short-
but days to cover are usually only 1-3 days on many stocks -since zn's average volume is low cf to shares short such short shares have an unusally long time to cover
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/daystocover.asp
its fine with me if they wait til 10 dollar pps to cover
but you've also never seen a non-commercial well tested this long ,right?
and w a commercial well being at least ca 800 bopd?
maybe all this activity will help to shake and bake Zions oil field
but dont forget the effect of the recent large quakes on the earths axis and rotation period
https://www.nasa.gov/topics/earth/features/japanquake/earth20110314.html
and as kyoil has said they would not still be in testing this long for a non-commercial well-isnt that right kyoil?
ZN has said the earthquakes- most have been 30 miles north- have had no impact on operations- but maybe this extra planetary pull can help pull the oil out(joke)
yes- noticed much brighter than usual mars on my nightly jogs last few weeks, and yes very surprisingly is brighter than jupiter(at -2.2 magnitude the 2nd brightest object in the night sky after venus and the moon) but lower in the sky and reddish
http://www.digipac.ca/chemical/mtom/contents/chapter1/marsfacts.htm
once they realized it was a non-public fact finding mission only at this point,big boys began buying again,w what i believe was the help of a hired hand who disappeared after last thursday probably bc that fund employer filled their quota of zn stock cheap
yes sir, we had a round of posts on that
kyoil had a good post where he said he had never seen all 3 specific conditions here turn out to be a dry well-then later i believe another post where he said never seen a well w 2 of the 3 conditions we have here turn out to be dry-will have to check to see if 1 of those posts is in the stickies
i guess he has told some- one said He said gigantic-he hasnt told me-just not to chase when pps was 4.20 and rising bc He usually operates on a need to know basis only in our personal lives
might have got a good price renting the grilling rig bc the parent company of the subsidiary the rig came from is going thru bankruptcy or something
thanks thought pipe would be 40 ft
so pipe is somewhere between chain mail and rigid steel?
i've done some surveying and i know w a very small error or deflection you can get off quite a bit over time- thats what happened w the 20 degree deviation in the well?
didnt realize the pipe was flexible but the turns are long turns then
they would not be working on the 9th of av
and dustin said at the meeting that they pulled something out of the hole every week in preparation for saturday sabbath and that they werent even circulating the drilling mud or running the pumps on the sabbath
since 9th of av sunday was next day after sabbath would be same no operations status as every sabbath
so its extremely unlucky that the pic was on 9th of av just after sabbath to cause paranoia to forget these things and cause unnecessary upset