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It is crazy to think in the next month NCLH is probably in the single digits low 10s
3 -4 months a viable vaccine for Corona comes out (NCLH jumps into 20s)
Within 2 years all is back to normal with forward looking earnings and NCLH is in 40s and 50s
200-300% annual gains.
Downside - collapse in economy is so bad people cant afford to vacation and they can’t return for years... NCLH near $10-15 until profit comes back.
Either way no major debt is owed this year and this is a very high reward, with relatively minimal downside in my opinion.
I just shorted 10k to offset my long positions. I think we’re going to test 220 again.
Crazy to think NCLH was planning to earn about $5 per share in 2020 before this and now is a $10 stock.
It appears it’s heading back to single digits after touching $20 just a week ago. Strong swings on this one, crazy.
It’s worth 2B one week, 6B the next and maybe 0 the following?
I’ve talked with a lot many friends and we all can’t wait to go cruising the Caribbean again soon. This will blow over and create a 10 bagger stock in just 3-4 years.
PLAY one of the worse positioned restaurants for covid. People won’t rush back to it either. Under $5 is probably a buy but keeping the short since $16.50.
Shorted 200 shares. D&B was struggling before and they have massive liabilities to cover with their growing balance sheet.
Let alone they have been negative comps before this happened and in one year stockholder equity dropped 50% and will likely drop to zero this year on impairment charges.
Good opportunity to sell the bounce and wait or short it. This market is heading down. “Sells the stimulus news” is coming this week in my opinion.
GL!
Picked up 2,000 shares today. Went back and looked at the last quarter report and things are fine. Management is just being conservative but they actually guided for 200M ebitda which is significant cash flow for a 80m market cap.
They also have a 25M budget on common stock which would knock out almost 1/3 of common shares in 2020.
My gut tells me this is a fake rally and we’re heading to SP 2,000. Curious to hear others thoughts.
I remember a month ago when people thought $12 was a good deal for this stock.
Sold some puts that expire in 9 days for $2 at $8 strike price.
Owning shares at $6 if the price is under $8 in 9 days. If not I’ll take a $2 per option premium. Gotta like that.
Good news is it can only drop $8 more dollars lol.
Loading up for the future.
That’s exactly my point. It’s not really diversifying when you buy different company’s in the same sector. But some will recover better than others. And some management may prove to handle the costs/execution better than others.
I also bought today. 150 shares. Will take it higher in the single digits but wondering if I should buy RCL or CCL to diversify the single stock.
Also picked up 400 shares of SAVE.
The market is crushing smaller cap growth. Anything without a dividend has no floor.
But 1 year from now I think we have at least 50% gains and that’s a conservative thought.
Loaded up at $14 this morning. Feels like a gift from above.
Just loaded here @$17.
Just made a quick trade in 45 out 51 in just an hour. Will cover the groceries this week lol.
I think $40 ish is a good buy and hold though.
Great earnings!!
Picked up 300 shares avg cost of $34.
Wow, this is getting stupid cheap!
Thx for the great pick Funman!! I owe you a ginger beer!
Back to even... nice lol
I’m pretty sure the company can turn immediately profitable if they cut back on their marketing budget. But I’ve been waiting for them to do that for some time.
The market is telling ROX: “it’s time to turn a profit before we reward your stock price”
I’ve seen price movements like this several times in the past and for genuine companies like ROX, it normally results in a big lift in PPS when they turn the corner.
Does anyone think 50c is a good time to buy new shares? Seems like a good deal to me. Castle Brands has a lot going for them.
Got my 4,000 shares at .725. Glad I waited. Pretty confident there’s not much downside from here.
I just put a limit order for 4,000 shares at .725. Hopefully I can dip in here with you guys.
What also is a killer is their creditors don’t trust them with their money anymore. Raising their line of credit by 2% higher wipes a lot of AFFO out.
I anticipate the market to crush UNIT today, but I also think shares below $7 would be good to buy and hold. UNIT will make it out one day.
Reminds me of what happened to Kinder Morgan a little bit. It took KMI 3 years, but now they have less debt and a better overall picture.
I was thinking about putting a starter limit order in for ROX. Probably only 3,000 shares or so. Anyone have any technical chart advice on this?
You think this could hit .75c or should I set the limit a little higher?
Great price here, just picked up 75 shares under $57.
Hey Funman!
It’s been awhile. Just checking in I got alerted ROX under .85. You think it’s a buy or is the company messing around too much?
I’m sure the MMs just want to see more profit.
I’ve been a long time shareholder and I’m not typically one to sell in panic, but this time I just don’t feel comfortable holding it. Just cashed out my 200 some shares. I’ll keep an eye on it. Probably a mistake, but my gut tells me it might go to $6 or lower with the dividend cut.
If they cut in half to be in a much better position it’s still a 12% dividend. I don’t think it would be wise to sell here.
I mean if a 11% relatively safe dividend is what we are forecasting again for 2019, I’m good with it and reinvesting shares. One day their strategic repositioning should allow for the dividend to go up and that’s when shareholders will get rewarded again.
The market just doesn’t buy that MICs assets are high quality.
Booya loaded up this week!
Just picked up some SD. Safe levels to buy here imo given the buyout offers already 20% higher and still “too low”
Would love to load up on this stock near $3
This has been my top holding of the year. I sold puts at $37.50 for $3 each. It exercised them when it was at $37 and a month later it was straight up!!
My cost basis is somehow $34.50 which is just incredible.
Boom!!
Great earnings release. Everything is on target. If you consider the 2018 forecast of $2.05 DCF per share, this stock is trading at only 7.5X DCF. Even though it's not all being paid out to shareholders its funding organic growth which is more healthy then dividends.
I believe we see KMI at $20 by year end. Maybe a little higher.
I wouldn't say $1 from a 52 week low and a 5 year low "doing great" lol.
There is the old news that their bigger brother intended to buy more shares starting in early April.
Depending on how the markets trade, this could work its way down to the low $30s. A 13-14% yield should keep it above $30 though.
Watching closely, but patiently.
You might be right but at the same time the market was down 400 points yesterday and the oil/gas market is getting hammered.
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