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sold all my shares in your aggressive growth fund...
before i bought them...
but i wish you nothing but,
the best of luck!
lp
he is sending replies to me on other boards too!!!
enough is enough
Just an update for everyone who hasn't witnessed what's transpired over the weekend.
Our friend Defender has created a new alias that just happens to be my name. As if that wasn't bad enough, Defender is posting to other boards using my name saying ever so intelligent and witty things like "I like to touch myself."
Now aside from illustrating that Defender is a complete and utter waste of human life, this individual has CLEARLY stepped over the legal and moral lines of what is acceptable in a public forum.
Personally, I probably wouldn't hesitate to post my name publicly (in fact many of you know it already), however, it is NOT ACCEPTABLE for Defender to make that decision for me completely lacking my consent.
This is just bizarre to me how someone can be so devoid of any redeeming qualities and has nothing better to do than to personally accost a complete stranger just because they disagree on the future of a certain company.
I would love to know what happened between Defender and IFUE to result in such a vile and morally bankrupt human being.
Since the Admin here is having difficulty blocking Defender, I have no choice but to discontinue posting on IHUB.
If you enjoy the discussion, the IFUE chat, the stock picks, whatever, send your contact information to sag.fund@gmail.com and I'll let you know where I'll be building the new forum. Those of you whose email addresses I'll recognize, I'll contact you right away. Email addresses I don't recognize will be harder because I have to make sure Defender isn't trolling for information (he's done that before also, that's how he got my name).
Those of you who regularly speak to Gman or Devildog, they can certainly pass along the new location also as it comes online.
Thanks and Good luck to all...Stinkeye.
Stinkeye, If you have everyones email address why not start a new board but only announce the letters of it through email to people you know. If it is 4 letters (better yet 5 or 6 if you could do it)what are the odds of someone hitting the right combination. Even though by then IFT should be well on its way.....
It's definite. Defender is one sick puppy. Get help Defender, seriously. You are a twisted and obsessive stalker.
SO DEFENDER YOU BETTER WATCH WHATTHE HELLLLYOU SAY, BECAUSE THATIS STUFF PEOPLE TAKE PRETTY SERIOSLY.
FURTHERMORE WHAT PURPOSE DOES IT SERVE.
i THINK AN APOLOGY IS AT HAND REGARDLESS OFWHAT PEOPLE THINK OF YOU AND VICE VERSA!!
THAT ISJUST PLAIN CROSSING THE LINEDEFENDER!!!!!!!!!
COLBY WHO LIVES NEAR GARY INDIANA!!!!!
I was once a target of identity theft and robberyuat my office 3 yrs ago.
I was robbedat myback door one night, got my deposit info and lots of checks.
took my car.
thatnight at 3 am the tried breaking into my office.
I had to spend 5 k getting it secure being I live so close to gary, it was a good idea.
they found mycar and it was repaired.
the first day i had my car back, it was stolen again from my office when I was working.
thesame daymy house wasbroken into when my wife and kids were not home.
the car was found 6 days later loaded with bullet casings and a bighuge molatov cocktail.
theauthoriteshad internet copies of my info and a step by step way to steal ones identity.
I was tripping.
thevehicle was used in a murder in gary so I didnt want it back , nut Ihad too.
the story wraps up when 2 weeks later I get a callfrom a htel in tennessee that said wehad a guy here andhe took off, buta whole bunch of your mail is here.
we freaked out.
the fbi caught the bastage and so far nothing else.
though we had to change everything.
Im watching right now, hey looks like you found my donkey!!!!!
stink let itbe, I am 100% sure a few of the patrons will be getting together this yr.
Iam sure in your professional and leadership role here you have given out infothat may give a clueas toyour local, as have I.
its what someone will do with itor in defenders case how someone can use it to manipulate that hurts!
It's hilarious Colby, sad and creepy, but still hilarious nonetheless...You should check out my pad in Google Earth, it's really a nice spread from the satellite view.
defender acts like hes got some importance in knowing where you live stink, we all know defender, so give it up.
Defender...go away..we have no use for you here. Your posts will continue to be deleted as soon as I see them.
Right on time? Only your negative comments about IFUE have been "right on time." Defender/Savannah/Never, everyone has lost track on how many times you have flipped or purchased. But we are happy that you are the all time most successful, NEVER to be surpassed IFUE investor. What a snoozefest.
1/28/06 Associated Press article. Saudi Arabia's oil minister, Ali Naimi, said prices are unlikely to fall in the near term and OPEC's president suggested the global economy could live with $60 a barrel.
Thanks jongalt. Defender, it constantly amazes me why a person with no shares has any interest in a company at all. Why the grudge against IFUE? Do you have a crush on Stink? Angry because he rebuffs your advances? Did you screw-up and sell your shares? Do you have 24/7 PMS? Why are you on a board @ 11:30 at night? Quite frankly, I could have made hundreds of thousands on IFUE. But I'm not greedy, I'm patient. I'll just wait for the millions that will come in due time. Laughing the whole while that you are crying. Life is too short, either get busy living, or get busy dying! (Preferably the latter for your existence on this board.)
Oh the over due factor? In a recent issue of Forbes they mentioned Genetech was formed in 1975. This can be confirmed on their web site. I wondered how long it took investors to make money is this company so I pulled out Value Line. As recently as 2000 they lost 16 million. In 2002 the stock hit a low of $12.5 per share.(It split 2 for 1 three times since 1999.) By 2005 the stock hit a high of $100 and the company was estimated to make $1,250 billion.
Currently it is given Value Lines highest rank for timeliness. Although I don't know what year the company went public it was at least by 1995. Thats how far back Value Line currently tracks all their stocks. It makes you wonder how long Genentech investors toughed out a promising idea. Is 6-7 years for IFUE a long time? Depends on your time horizon. Maybe a long term Genetech investor could answer that.
As a said before, Defender/Never adds nothing to this board. She is not worth answering. This post is for those out there who might be new to the board.
IFUE - thanks for the additional info, I'll be reading up on it this weekend.
Your calculations estimated the cost to the end user at .03 cents per gallon.
Do you know what profit IFUE would make per gallon?
.03 sounds like it doesn't leave a lot of room for profit unless it is an extremely inexpensive product to produce.
Thanks!... Aiming4.
Why doesn't the Phillipine govt. just purchase from IFT:) I, for one, would love to see a purchase in the near future! I feel confident that a PR just has to be coming soon! We are certainly due.
Not a problem Stink...It was worth a try:) I will cease & desist! (Not worth the time anyway...just kind of fun)
RDS - congrats on CPTC .... re: EMFP....
If this thing breaks below that bottom trendline, you better get out quick...It's on the brink right now....I'd bail at break below .68.....
You're not supposed to be posting now Defender...now crawl back under your rock until you give me that list...Remember anybody can do this....
Stink - EMFP, check your charts. It seems ready to pop past $1.14 soon. Been adding along but thinking of adding a lot more at these levels. What are your thoughts?
CPTC - Still holding strong, sold 15k shares to keep some powder in case something comes up, but definetly still long. Looking for $3 by end of February. Big PR firm pumping this baby all over town.
ISV - $1.53 from .90...unstoppable...
Posted by: stinkeye
In reply to: stinkeye who wrote msg# 3782
Date:1/4/2006 1:01:50 AM
Post #of 4050
ISV - I'd tiptoe in on a break of .90 and then load heavy on a break above .95....competitor of EYET in the macular degeneration drug space...
IMNR up 45% today...
Sorry Hoss....had to delete that one....Defender would have ran to the Admin....
IMNR getting very jumpy....another winner for SAG, but anybody can do this, right Defender??
Defender, I'm responding simply for the sake of new lurkers here. You know as well as I do that your post is utter non-sense. However, for the sake of any newbies.....
You said:
"IF the Rail industry wanted alternative additives they would have been at IFT's door years ago."
Response:
Years ago (up to and including 2004) diesel fuel prices weren't an issue for the railroad industry. The major US railroads were paying under $1.00/gallon as recently as 2004. They've seen increases over 50% per year in 2005 and project the same for 2006.
Here's a figure to study. The shows CSX's hedged position for 2006....which is virtually 0% protection....
You said:
"not one carrier has even individually tested the product."
Response:
Patently false statement. IFUE PR'ed months ago that a regional RR was buying product after trialing it for 3 months. Since then, numerous trials have commenced both internationally and domestically. Not the least of which is my contact who owns nearly a dozen regional shortlines.
You said:
"try not to overstate no shares being sold."
Response:
Frankly, it's impossible to OVERSTATE no shares being sold by insiders. The share price has more than quadrupled in a year and maintained those levels. At no time in the last 3 years has anyone inside sold a share. Just for arguments sake let's take Jon Burst CEO. He could DOUBLE his annual salary of $250,000 with just one sale. You don't think he'd like to double his annual salary? Sure he would, who wouldn't? It happens everyday in every publicly traded company in the World. The fact that it DOESN'T happen at IFUE tells me they know the shares are worth significantly more than current prices.
that's a longer term play there Colby...
rds1 has found a strong stock in cptc.
I truly expected itto retrace at least 25%, but it continues to stay green and move forward!!!!
iyxi down a bit, I will place a stop loss at 2.35
with whatyou printed and with the pressures on fuel, It is a matter of time before the dominoesstart lining up!!!
thank you for your continued insight
140k more ,I will stop it at .032
IMNR - you can add more Colby...but that's gonna make a stop at .03 be a bit more of a loss....it could easily go to .06...
too late to add more , does it have rocket ship potential.
Oh I forgot it a sag fund future hall of famer!!!!!!!!!!!!
IMNR - getting primed...
Lets see that wall start tumbling.
It is our year at ifue.
the question is, will it be today
Now let's look at the revenue side for IFUE...
I'm assuming cost to the end user of $.03/gallon....
Union Pacific - 1.3 billion gallons x $.03 = $39 Million
BNSF - 1 billion gallons x $.03 = $30 Million
Canadian National - 403 million gallons x $.03 = $12.09 Million
Norfolk Southern - 513 million gallons x $.03 = $15.39 Million
CSX - 595 million gallons x $.03 = $17.85 Million
Accounting for only the 5 largest US Rail Companies, we have a potential annual revenue figure of $114.3 Million The average Price to Sales ratio of a growing company in the Specialty Chemical sector is 8-10 times sales.
Using this Price/Sales Metric, IFUE would conservatively be valued in the above scenario at $114 Million X 8 = $912 Million or $10.85/share based on today's 84million shares outstanding.
Keep in mind, as sexy as those revenue numbers and price per share are, that is assuming ONLY the 5 largest DOMESTIC railways are users. Those numbers don't include trucking, power generation, or international rail.
[edit] Also keep in mind that once a growth story like IFUE gets rolling, valuations relative to its sector are meaningless. For an example just look at the SAG Funds recent play of the SUF run-up. Sulphco went from nowhere to a $1 Billion market cap on ZERO sales. A move undoubtedly triggered by speculation, but nonetheless, an example of how rational valuations quickly get forgotten when exponential growth is perceived. [end edit]
We can do the same math for Union Pacific....
Union Pacific burned 1.3 Billion gallons of diesel in 2005 at an average cost per gallon of $1.77. It should be noted that the $1.77/gallon in '05 is a 45% increase over '04's $1.22/gallon cost.
Union Pacific spent $2.4 Billion for fuel in 2005.
--hypothetically--
Additizing $2.4 Billion at a 5% increase in fuel economy throws of $119 Million annually.
Savings per week = $2.28 Million...
Savings per day = $326,923...
You may be asking where the cost of the additive is worked in the equation? For the sake of simple math, let's say it's built into the 5% increase in fuel economy as that figure is probably a conservative estimate.
MUST READ IFUE LONGS......
The following is simple mathematical exercise to put the "Value Proposition" embedded in DieselIFT in perspective....
Burlington Northern - Santa FE, the nation's 2nd largest railroad after Union Pacific, presented their results for the 4th quarter of 2005 earlier this week. After listening to the call, here's what we should take away from it:
BNSF spent almost exactly $2 Billion on diesel fuel in 2005.
--hypothetically--
If BNSF had additized that $2 billion worth of fuel, assuming a 5% increase in fuel economy, dieselIFT would throw off a savings of $100 million in 2005.
Want more granularity? OK....
That's a savings of $1.9 million per week or $274,000 per day!
you've got mail...
Thanks for the COR chart, I'll post a link on the COR board to it.
I've followed COR for several years and I think, at this early stage (still Phase IIa trials and no U.S. BP deal), Ampakines have an excellent chance of attracting a BP partner for Phase IIb and Phase III trials.
So the future will be fraught with additional decision points (as with ANY biotech trying to get a drug to market), but I think the odds of success right now are high.
I'll be interested to follow your swing trade technique - if you take a position in COR please let me know so I can see your style of handling it.
I'll follow up on IFUE this weekend, for now it's time to grab some shuteye... Aiming4.
COR annotated chart...
Aiming, if I were going long here, of course my stop would be lower. But this is a good example of my swing trade approach where the stops are kept tighter....
Funny, cause I'm reading about COR right now.....Chart looks nice...generally don't play Pharmas with impending trial data though as I was burned badly by FMTI in '04....doing some DD though...be back in a minute....
Thanks, your strategy with Stops makes sense.
I just read the IFUE PDF in your previous post #msg-9435350, I'm intrigued enough to plan on taking a look into IFUE.
My only high level question for the moment is what stage is IFUE in right now?
Are they ready to sell their product and just trying to convince customers?
If they convince some customers (as the PDF sure seems like it would), do they have production and sales infrastructure in place?
If you have any good DD links handy, they would be appreciated.
Thanks again... Aiming4.
Welcome Aiming and thanks for the kind words....
With regard to CTCH...the registration statement for 9mm shares really took a toll on the PPS this AM. My stop at $1.00 was based on support at the 50% fib retrace which is at .99. Yes, this AM you would have been stopped out, but that downside protection is a hallmark of the SAG trading method.
I look for plays with clearly defined support levels and those levels are only worth finding if you're willing to be disciplined enough to take action when they are tested and subsequently fail.
Will you get stopped out occasionally? Sure. I can find numerous posts where I was stopped out of a play only to have it run in subsequent days. However, those same stops more often than not help me preserve the capital necessary to generate the kind of returns you see posted here in real time everyday.
Remember, keep your losses small and let your winners run, and just when you think your winner is going to make you rich and change your life......sell it, right then and there. LOL!
Fair question defender, and for the benefit of any new lurkers we may have here, I'll answer it....
A) Rail Co's have trialed and are trialing the additive as we speak. I can speak for a group of Short Line carriers throughout the Southeast US personally as I put them in touch with IFUE. They are trialing product currently with the help of a third party technical consultant. I spoke with the head of the RR's mechanical dept. two weeks ago via phone and he told me that the product is a "slam dunk" for the RR industry. Moreover, he said if it was up to him solely, he would be additizing their entire fleet right now.
Sidebar --> One factor most people aren't aware of is the desire of the RR's to find a solution to trackside fires caused by carbon build-up sending sparks out of the locomotive exhaust. This is a major problem for the RR above and the EPA is a constant thorn in their side.
B) I think ANY IFUE investor would grant you that the process to commercialization has been an agonizingly slow one. I would be lying if I said otherwise. That being said, I take solice in the fact that the PPS is 4x higher than when I purchased it, not a SINGLE insider has sold a share, and no effort is made by management to artificially pump the PPS with grandiose PR's. This tells me that they know what they've got and will quietly but relentlessly work on shareholders' behalf to see it pay the dividends we all anticipate it can.
PS - See how if you keep your posts non-combative they don't get deleted? I have no problem with opposing viewpoints, they just have to be presented in a reasonable and adult manner.
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