Hurricane Stocks (HSTOCKS)

[LicharTin]

Tropical Storm Katia forecast to become major hurricane

Katia is expected to grow into a major Category 3 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 115 mph by Sunday, the hurricane center said.

http://news.blogs.cnn.com/2011/08/30/tropical-storm-katia-forms-in-atlantic/

[littlejohn]

Discussion has an early hint of possible west steering from day 5 forward but still a few days too early to see if the models pick up a narrow steering ridge on the north...LJ

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT2+shtml/300240.shtml

[littlejohn]

lol, so what tipped you off that it might be a major cane?...LJ

[DOLLARLAND]

Too early to say where "Katia" might end up, but she will be a major hurricane, IMO.

[littlejohn]

When the Federales had all the sat views of the East coast down Saturday night it left the Caribbean to look over...

A system with some spin had developed in the Eastern Caribbean below Eastern Cuba...The last system down there kept moving west...

Oddly enough it is being watched now if the eternally lingering high over Texas finally moves...

visible sat view...
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/vis-l.jpg

Visible loop shows the system rotation but there has been very little westerly movement since Saturday night...LJ

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/flash-vis.html

[littlejohn]

1 cane a month is more than enough...LJ

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Crews-rush-to-restore-power-apf-1287446347.html?x=0&sec=topStories&pos=3&asset=&ccode=

[bbotcs]

Deewar25: Newfoundland doesn't need any more wind than it has on a normal day!

[Deewar25]

nope, non issue - maybe newfoundland, but nothing more..

[Drugdoctor]

CPST $1.19 back to HOD - If you had a Capstone Turbine generator for your business, you are still in business, not waiting for a repair crew!

[bbotcs]

littlejohn: Our attention now shifts to TD 12! Isabelle is stimulating the economy. Restaurants are packed. If U have no power, you eat out.

[bbotcs]

littlejohn: Good report. 800K without power in Maryland. That tops Isabelle, which was the worst storm we have had in decades. Isabelle was far worse for flooding and property damage. Irene was no Isabelle!

[bbotcs]

SIX CENTS A westerly track sounds good. Fingers crossed.

[littlejohn]

Monday morning update on Irene impact estimates...LJ

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-08-29/hurricane-irene-damage-deaths-flooding-losses-of-power-state-by-state.html

[littlejohn]

Link to some local coverage in Va. on Irene aftermath...LJ

http://www2.timesdispatch.com/weather/storm_center/hurricanes/

[littlejohn]

Hate to read that...Wounded and weakened tree limbs will be randomly dropping until the 1st big snow or ice clear a lot of them out...

TD 12 formed in southeastern Atlantic...

About 4 or 5 days till a track may be projected though...LJ

[DOLLARLAND]

TD #5 should get pretty intense, but may be too far north to keep a westerly track. Very early, though.

[bbotcs]

littlejohn: At the very end of the storm, when there were wind gusts here and there, actually after the storm had passed, a limb came down off of a tree and messed up the side of our house.

I heard on a local weather report last evening that the system I mentioned off of Africa now has a 100 percent, not a 70 percent, chance of forming into a tropical cyclone.

[Drugdoctor]

CPST - $1.18 - Capstone Turbine looking good, and is in the I-box as a hurricane play already!

[littlejohn]

If a company announces contracts within 2 weeks after a major cane makes landfall then it is a restoration company...

Substantial contracts are what make small companies make really substantial moves...

Postings prior to storms is more for awareness for preparation...LJ

[littlejohn]

Yep, Cargo, those 2 won't be funding early retirement next week...

When are you gonna find the new ones for us that replaced them?...LJ

[littlejohn]

re GV...some very high numbers of power outages being reported from areas that Irene impacted for a cat 1 beginning storm front...

last restoration effort that GV worked per their filings was the 2009 Missouri ice storm...

http://www.columbiamissourian.com/stories/2010/02/04/mo-reimburse-counties-2009-ice-storm/

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/January_2009_Central_Plains_and_Midwest_ice_storm

Incredible flooding concerns remain also...

De ja vu...weather reporter was describing trees being knocked over in Vermont as Irene 1st impacted that area after midnight Saturday night...

same weather reporter just commented on some more reports coming in of trees being reported knocked down in Vermont as Irene is moving out of that area...nearing midnight Sunday night...

12 or more hours of rain and blowing winds for many areas impacted the hardest...

And yes NY concrete, steel, asphalt, and large buildings were spared...But a cat 4 or higher didn't role into Manhattan that has always been feared for major potential problems to that area...LJ

[littlejohn]

Power grid being put under extreme stress by Irene wasn't under estimated...LJ

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Millions-wait-for-power-to-apf-2011674395.html?x=0&sec=topStories&pos=main&asset=&ccode=

[bbotcs]

Guesss what? There's a depression about 400 miles south of the Cape Verde Islands off of the African coast that has a 70 percent change of becoming a tropic cyclone. We'll know in the next 48 years.

[Crazy Money]

Relatives in VA Beach area getting flooded

[bbotcs]

littlejohn: Good morning. It is a big CAT 1, but a CAT 1 still is worse than a nor'easter. If it lingers over the Mid-Atlantic, there will be a LOT of beach erosion. The good news is that the beach builds itself back up quickly during this time of year.

Tornado WARNING for Dewey and Rehobeth Beaches. Yikes.

[Drugdoctor]

WEGI and PDGE lost most of their assets, are basically hurricane play shells... However, both usually run with the cane plays... we will see!

[10bags]

wegi was a hurrican play but now?!

[littlejohn]

A smidgen of the hot, dry air that has plagued football practices across the Southeast for the last few weeks was pulled into Irene for the last 24 to 30 hours...

Not enough but appeared enough to hamper holding more intensity and may lower the heavy rain totals some...

GFDL model for 30 hrs...

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2.cgi?time=2011082700-irene09l&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=030hr

Stay safe...Property may be tougher than you expect when it comes time to look it over...

North Carolina is gonna take the worst blows to help slow Irene for others some...LJ

[bbotcs]

LJ: NOAA discussion at 11:00 p.m. EDT: "THE FORECAST
TRACK HAS ONLY BEEN NUDGED SLIGHTLY EASTWARD OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK
THROUGH 36 HOURS DUE TO THE MORE EASTWARD INITIAL POSITION.
HOWEVER...ALL OF THE MODELS SUGGEST THAT SOME SLIGHT MID-LEVEL
RIDGING WILL OCCUR ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES DURING THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS...WHICH SHOULD ACT TO KEEP IRENE CLOSE TO THE COASTS OF NEW JERSEY AND THE DELMARVA PENINSULA."

Irene will be the mother of all nor'easters for the Delmarva and Jersey coasts.

[littlejohn]

GV could get some contracts for the Southeast Power subsidiary contracting in the Carolinas...

But the storm of the century for the East coast is looking tired and ragged around some of the edges...LJ

[bbotcs]

littlejohn: I sure hope she makes that turn in a few hours.
Otherwise--Chesapeake Bay time.

[littlejohn]

Irene may have expanded the cane force winds further out at the expense of some inner core windspeed...

Could be another attempted growth stage prior to landfall...

Earlier forcast had cane force winds out to 90 miles...

Latest forcast tested cane force winds out to 135 miles...keyword...East

More affected may not be better at a little lower windspeed...LJ

discussion...
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT4+shtml/262049.shtml

latest sat view...
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/vis-l.jpg

[Drugdoctor]

Why is CPST $1.13-such a great HURRICANE PLAY???

It is over sold and has great fundamentals whether hurricane play status makes it rally or not...

Here's a write-up...

Will this stock generate some heat?
Strong revenue growth at microturbine maker Capstone Turbine is fueling investors' hopes that it will prove successful. Last quarter, I asked if investors had the patience to wait out the loss-producing period it was going through, and it doesn't seem they do. Shares are almost 30% lower than where they were in mid-June.

While Capstone saw revenues jump 51% from the year-ago period, to $24.3 million, they still fell short of expectations, which pegged sales at more than $25 million. It also turned a break-even quarter last year into a loss-making one this time around. Antidilutive warrant liabilities played havoc with its results, though, and it would have recorded a $0.04-per-share loss last year were it not for the warrants. Of course, this year's results would have been a lot worse had it not recorded the benefit, too.

Capstone's technology finds itself competing against other technologies -- such as fuel cells and solar- and wind-powered systems -- that have benefited from high government subsidies. FuelCell Energy (Nasdaq: FCEL ) and Ballard Power are just two of those seeking to gain an upper hand.

CAPS member Indiscr33t isn't so worried, believing the company's work in the shale gas areas of the Eagle Ford and Marcellus regions will put it ahead of the competition:

Say what you want, but Capstone technology is going to dominate shale gas decentralized energy production. With that in mind, their margins will continue to expand as their premium products, despite being more expensive than GE or CAT engines, are being bought nonetheless by [international energy giants].
Go to the Capstone Turbine CAPS page and let your fellow Fools know your views on whether it can generate enough investor interest to survive


http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2011/08/24/these-cold-stocks-are-heating-up.aspx

[bbotcs]

littlejohn: "Didn't know that at 10 stories or higher that the wind can be up to category higher either...LJ"

[littlejohn]

Battery powered radio is the only communication available from stations powered by generators if widespread power outages occur from tropical force and higher winds...

Water in jugs becomes a premium item...

Camping stove or Lp gas grills become essential items...

canned goods, crackers, chips, and so forth...

instant coffee instead of a lattee...

and on and on if power goes off for any period of time or extended periods...LJ

[Drugdoctor]

CPST 1.15 is being bought hard before the close!

[littlejohn]

GFS is projecting cat 1 strength going into NY landfall...

So estimate cat 1 winds out to 90 miles x 2 and divided by 15 mph...potential of 10 hrs of cat 1 winds...10 hours of tropical force winds at 40 to 50 mph would be bad enough with the area so wet...

Plan for the worst and hope for the best...

Didn't know that at 10 stories or higher that the wind can be up to category higher either...LJ

[Red Hat Trader]

GMND IS A MAJOR HURRICANE STOCK AS THE MANAGEMENT OF BUGS IS THE SAME AS GMND. ALSO HAS AN OIL TERMINAL DEAL THAT HAS NAMES LIKE T. BOONE PICKENS AND SUNOCO IN IT.

BUT IT RIGHTR NOW BEFOREE THE CLOSE AT .014 AND BEFORE IRENE HITS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1

[bbotcs]

From NOAA at 11:00 EDT today: "IRENE SHOULD MOVE NORTHWARD FOR ANOTHER
12 HOURS OR SO....FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST
AS IT MOVES ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES. THE TRACK
GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THIS SCENARIO AND NO CHANGE WAS
REQUIRED FROM THE PREVIOUS NHC FORECAST THROUGH 72 HOURS."

Let's hope that she makes that turn! Otherwise, I don't want to think about it.

Can U imagine how the people of New Orleans and the nearby Miss. coast must have felt with Katrina barreling down on them.
Irene is a weak sister in comparison to a Katrina.

[littlejohn]

Fella with a powersaw is better prepared than the fella with the most gold in an area that a cat 1 cane goes thru...LJ

[bbotcs]

littlejohn: Someone said to me, "It was recently downgraded to a Cat 1 for this area." Hope people don't let their guard down.

[littlejohn]

Lot of leaders taking advice and passing it along...

*20 hr to 30 hr. potential of dealing with a large cane isn't easily understood...

Windspeed lowered some but over very hot water...

Drawing from the south also looks to be now getting some drawing from the East also to maybe sustain size...LJ

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=atlantic&sat=wg8&prod=wvir&zoom=&time

[titonick]

Activashun of east coast on watch,people move away from coasts i sink chee cheeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee

[bbotcs]

littlejohn: Thanks for the update. I wouldn't want to own ocean front property on the Outer Banks. In the best case, they can expect a lot of beach erosion. If only the damn thing would shift to the east some. Film at 11:00, as the saying goes--11:00 a.m. on Sunday morning!

[bbotcs]

Thanks, Hegotgame. I hope to hold the UVE shares into next Spring. The big hurricane month is ahead. Jeez.

[littlejohn]

The sat view shows how the eastern US coast line is in or near the projected movement of Irene...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/vis-l.jpg



When the cane isn't headed toward the south the plays aren't getting as much push...know what I mean...LJ

[Hegotgame]

UVE..I am still watching, just in case something bigger is coming behind Irene. No hurry. There might be a little selling in Oct after the divy is paid, but I think you will do well come Nov-Dec.

[bbotcs]

littlejohn: I get the message! Delmarva Peninsula is in big trouble.

[littlejohn]

The storm surge models north of the outer banks should be watched locally...LJ

[littlejohn]

Ha, hs oa is the one who tried to flim-flam RGMI out of all their equipment with a share offer...

Its in the past filings...LJ